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Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for BERGUITTA-18
in Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands, Mauritiusfrom 12 Jan 2018 18:00 UTC to 13 Jan 2018 00:00 UTC
Automatic impact report for tropical cyclone BERGUITTA-18
alertimage

Current Green alert for wind impact in Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands, Mauritius as of 13 Jan 2018 00:00:00 UTC

This tropical cyclone is expected to have a medium humanitarian impact based on the storm strength and the affected population in the past and forecasted path.

Current storm status

This report is for advisory number 29 of tropical cyclone BERGUITTA-18 issued at 19 Jan 2018 18:00 UTC (GDACS Event ID 1000432, Latest episode ID: 29, inserted at 13 Jan 2018 02:04 UTC ).

Current impact estimate:

  • Population affected by Category 1 (120 km/h) wind speeds or higher is 0.34 million
  • Tropical Storm (maximum wind speed of 185 km/h)
  • Vulnerability of affected countries: Medium

Impact of Extreme Wind

1  2  3  4  5  6  7  8  9  10  11  12  13  14  15  16  17  18  19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28  29  
Cloud map
Cloud map. Track and wind-buffer map. Green area: Area that can be affected by winds of more than 64 km/h (Tropical Storm strength). Orange area: Same, for winds of more than 92 km/h. Red area: Same, for winds above 120 km/h (Hurricane or Typhoon strength) (Source: JRC)
Cloud Map Zoomed on last forecast
Cloud Map Zoomed on last forecast. The zoomed map on the last track. (Source: JRC)

Affected population

Up to no people people can be affected by wind speeds of cyclone strength or above. In addition, no people people are living in coastal areas below 5m and can therefore be affected by storm surge.

Affected country

Affected provinces

Affected Populated Places (first 20 records)

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

See complete report

Event time line

The storm evolution is shown in the table below. Alert levels and population estimates are related to the area from a point to the next.

Advisory Alert color Date (UTC) Category Wind speed Wind gusts Population affected
by cyclone winds (>120km/h)
Location (lat, lon)
1
GREEN
12 Jan 2018 18:00 Tropical storm 65 km/h (40 mph) km/h ( mph) no people -17, 66.9
2
GREEN
13 Jan 2018 00:00 Tropical storm 65 km/h (40 mph) km/h ( mph) no people -17.3, 65.6
2
GREEN
13 Jan 2018 12:00 Tropical storm 83 km/h (52 mph) km/h ( mph) no people -17.5, 64.1
2
GREEN
14 Jan 2018 00:00 Tropical storm 102 km/h (63 mph) km/h ( mph) no people -17.6, 63.2
2
GREEN
14 Jan 2018 12:00 Category 1 120 km/h (75 mph) km/h ( mph) no people -17.5, 62.7
2
GREEN
15 Jan 2018 00:00 Category 1 148 km/h (92 mph) km/h ( mph) no people -17.4, 62.3
2
GREEN
16 Jan 2018 00:00 Category 2 167 km/h (103 mph) km/h ( mph) no people -17.3, 61.8
2
GREEN
17 Jan 2018 00:00 Category 2 176 km/h (109 mph) km/h ( mph) no people -18.2, 60.8
2
GREEN
18 Jan 2018 00:00 Category 2 176 km/h (109 mph) km/h ( mph) no people -19.5, 59.3

Previous advisories

For accessing reports of previous advisories, please click on the advisory number in the table below.

IDAlert ColorDate (UTC)CategoryMaximum sustained
wind speed (km/h)
Population affected
by cyclone winds (>120km/h)
Affected countries
1 12 Jan 2018 18:00 Category 2 176 No people affected Mauritius
2 13 Jan 2018 00:00 Category 2 176 No people affected Mauritius, Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands
3 13 Jan 2018 06:00 Category 2 176 1.2 million Mauritius
4 13 Jan 2018 12:00 Category 2 176 2.1 million Mauritius, Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands
5 13 Jan 2018 18:00 Category 2 167 2.1 million Mauritius, Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands
6 14 Jan 2018 00:00 Category 2 167 2.1 million Mauritius, Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands
7 14 Jan 2018 06:00 Category 2 167 2.1 million Mauritius, Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands
8 14 Jan 2018 12:00 Category 2 176 2.1 million Mauritius, Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands
9 14 Jan 2018 18:00 Category 2 176 2.1 million Mauritius, Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands
10 15 Jan 2018 00:00 Category 3 185 2.1 million Mauritius, Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands
11 15 Jan 2018 06:00 Category 3 194 1.8 million Mauritius, Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands
12 15 Jan 2018 12:00 Category 3 194 1.5 million Mauritius, Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands
13 15 Jan 2018 18:00 Category 3 185 1.4 million Mauritius, Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands
14 16 Jan 2018 00:00 Category 2 176 1.3 million Mauritius, Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands
15 16 Jan 2018 06:00 Category 2 157 2.1 million Mauritius, Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands
16 16 Jan 2018 12:00 Category 2 157 2.1 million Mauritius, Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands
17 16 Jan 2018 18:00 Category 1 139 2.1 million Mauritius, Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands
18 17 Jan 2018 00:00 Category 1 139 1.8 million Mauritius, Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands
19 17 Jan 2018 06:00 Category 1 130 2.1 million Mauritius, Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands
20 17 Jan 2018 12:00 Category 1 120 2.1 million Mauritius, Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands
21 17 Jan 2018 18:00 Category 1 120 1.3 million Mauritius, Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands
22 18 Jan 2018 00:00 Category 1 120 1.6 million Mauritius, Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands
23 18 Jan 2018 06:00 Category 1 120 740 thousand Mauritius, Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands
24 18 Jan 2018 12:00 Category 1 120 760 thousand Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands, Mauritius
25 18 Jan 2018 18:00 Tropical storm 111 880 thousand Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands, Mauritius
26 19 Jan 2018 00:00 Tropical storm 102 880 thousand Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands, Mauritius
27 19 Jan 2018 06:00 Tropical storm 102 880 thousand Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands, Mauritius
28 19 Jan 2018 12:00 Tropical storm 93 880 thousand Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands, Mauritius
29 19 Jan 2018 18:00 Tropical storm 93 880 thousand Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands, Mauritius

More information

Data resources

For a full list of available products related to this event, please refer to the GDACS Resources page.

About the data

JRC set up an automatic routine that includes the Tropical Cyclone (TC) bulletins produced by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) and the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) into a single database, covering all TC basins.

JRC calculates areas affected by high winds (wind buffers at 39, 58 and 74mph). This is done using the maximum reported wind radius (maximum of 4 quadrants) or, in case no wind radii are provided, through a regression analysis based on historical data. JRC also calculates the area affected by storm surge using HyFlux2 (hydrodynamic software).

Sources for data on critical infrastructure are: JRC NUMAS database (nuclear plants), ESRI (hydro dams, 1996), Global Discovery (airports, ports and cities).

Population data is from LandScan 2014.

Disclaimer

While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information. The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.