Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for ELLIE-22
in Australia
22 Dec 2022 06 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
  • GDACS JTWC
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

    Tropical Cyclone ELLIE-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

    Meteorological source GDACS
    Exposed countries Australia
    Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
    Maximum wind speed 74 km/h
    Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (22 Dec 19:00 UTC)
    Vulnerability Low (Australia)
    Landfall between
    22 Dec 2022 18:00 - 23 Dec 2022 06:00
    in Australia

    GDACS Score

    GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
    For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
      Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
    Current 93 km/h 0.3 m n.a. 0.5
    Overall 74 km/h 0.2 m n.a. 0.5

    Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

    TOP

    Wind

      93 km/h Current Max.

      Up to 3100 people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

      Impact Timeline

        Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
        Tropical Storm or higher        		 Population in
        Cat 1. or higher        		 Countries
        Green 1 22 Dec 2022 06:00 93 3 thousand No people Australia

        Bulletin Timeline

          Alert N° Date (UTC) Category
          (SSHS)           		Max winds
          (km/h)           		Population in
          Cat.1 or higher           		Population in
          Tropical Storm
          or higher           		Location (lat, lon) Countries
          GREEN
          		 1 22 Dec 2022 06:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 2500 people -12.8, 129.1
          GREEN
          		 1 22 Dec 2022 18:00 Tropical storm 83 no people 3000 people -14, 129.3
          GREEN
          		 1 23 Dec 2022 06:00 Tropical storm 93 no people <1000 people -15.2, 129.8 Australia
          GREEN
          		 1 23 Dec 2022 18:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people -16.2, 130.2 Australia
          GREEN
          		 1 24 Dec 2022 06:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people -17.2, 130.2 Australia
          GREEN
          		 1 25 Dec 2022 06:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people -19.2, 129.7 Australia
          GREEN
          		 1 26 Dec 2022 06:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people -20.9, 129 Australia
          GREEN
          		 1 27 Dec 2022 06:00 Tropical depression 37 no people no people -23, 129.3 Australia
          Actual track of the current bulletin
          The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
          Download:



          Exposed population - AoIs

          Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

          Countries

          Country Population in Tropical Storm or higher strength
          Australia 3100 people

          Provinces

          Region Province Country Population in Tropical Storm or higher strength
          Northern Territory Australia 3100 people

          Critical infrastructure

          Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

          Airports

          Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
          Port Keats PKT 28 Civ. Unpaved No 4600
          Auvergne AVG unknown 0
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          Rainfall

          Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

          ...

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          StormSurge

          0.2 m

          The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Nightcliff, Australia. This height is estimated for 22 Dec 2022 19:00 UTC .

          The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

          Locations affected by Storm surge (8 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 1 of 22 Dec 2022 06:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

          Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
          22 Dec 2022 19:00 Nightcliff Australia  0.3
          22 Dec 2022 20:00 Larrakeyah Australia  0.3
          22 Dec 2022 19:00 Fannie Bay Australia  0.3
          22 Dec 2022 19:00 Parap Australia  0.3
          22 Dec 2022 19:00 Darwin Australia  0.3
          22 Dec 2022 19:00 Ludmilla Australia  0.3
          22 Dec 2022 19:00 Bagot Australia  0.3
          22 Dec 2022 20:00 Leanyer Australia  0.2