Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for ELLIE-22
in Australia
22 Dec 2022 18 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
  • GDACS JTWC
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

    Tropical Cyclone ELLIE-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

    Meteorological source GDACS
    Exposed countries Australia
    Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
    Maximum wind speed 74 km/h
    Maximum storm surge 0.5 m (22 Dec 14:00 UTC)
    Vulnerability Low (Australia)
    Landfall between
    22 Dec 2022 06:00 - 22 Dec 2022 12:00
    in Australia

    GDACS Score

    GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
    For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
      Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
    Current 65 km/h 0.2 m n.a. 0.5
    Overall 74 km/h 0.5 m n.a. 0.5

    Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

    TOP

    Wind

      65 km/h Current Max.

      Up to 1400 people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

      Impact Timeline

        Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
        Tropical Storm or higher        		 Population in
        Cat 1. or higher        		 Countries
        Green 1 22 Dec 2022 06:00 93 3 thousand No people Australia
        Green 2 22 Dec 2022 12:00 74 2 thousand No people Australia
        Green 3 22 Dec 2022 18:00 65 1 thousand No people Australia

        Bulletin Timeline

          Alert N° Date (UTC) Category
          (SSHS)           		Max winds
          (km/h)           		Population in
          Cat.1 or higher           		Population in
          Tropical Storm
          or higher           		Location (lat, lon) Countries
          GREEN
          		 1 22 Dec 2022 06:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 2500 people -12.8, 129.1
          GREEN
          		 2 22 Dec 2022 12:00 Tropical storm 74 no people 1000 people -13.3, 129.8 Australia
          GREEN
          		 3 22 Dec 2022 18:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 1200 people -14.2, 130.1 Australia
          GREEN
          		 3 23 Dec 2022 06:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people -15.7, 130.6 Australia
          GREEN
          		 3 23 Dec 2022 18:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people -17, 130.8 Australia
          Actual track of the current bulletin
          The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
          Download:



          Exposed population - AoIs

          Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

          Countries

          Country Population in Tropical Storm or higher strength
          Australia 1300 people

          Provinces

          Region Province Country Population in Tropical Storm or higher strength
          Northern Territory Australia 1300 people

          Critical infrastructure

          Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

          Airports

          Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
          Peppimenarti PEP unknown 0
          Timber Creek TBK unknown 0
          Coolibah COB unknown 0
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          Rainfall

          Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

          ...

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          StormSurge

          0.5 m

          The maximum Storm surge height is  0.5m in Nightcliff, Australia. This height is estimated for 22 Dec 2022 14:00 UTC .

          The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

          Locations affected by Storm surge (44 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 2 of 22 Dec 2022 12:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

          Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
          22 Dec 2022 14:00 Nightcliff Australia  0.5
          22 Dec 2022 15:00 Larrakeyah Australia  0.5
          22 Dec 2022 14:00 Fannie Bay Australia  0.5
          22 Dec 2022 14:00 Parap Australia  0.5
          22 Dec 2022 14:00 Darwin Australia  0.5
          22 Dec 2022 14:00 Ludmilla Australia  0.5
          22 Dec 2022 14:00 Bagot Australia  0.5
          22 Dec 2022 14:00 Leanyer Australia  0.4
          23 Dec 2022 06:00 Kladar Indonesia  0.2
          23 Dec 2022 06:00 Sabon Indonesia  0.2
          23 Dec 2022 06:00 Tor Indonesia  0.2
          22 Dec 2022 22:00 Minjilang Australia  0.2
          23 Dec 2022 05:00 Dolatanden Indonesia  0.2
          23 Dec 2022 03:00 Sanindara Indonesia  0.2
          23 Dec 2022 02:00 Naoer Indonesia  0.2
          23 Dec 2022 03:00 Agatebi Indonesia  0.1
          23 Dec 2022 03:00 Taroea Anim Indonesia  0.1
          23 Dec 2022 03:00 Sakaoeni Indonesia  0.1
          23 Dec 2022 03:00 Sajengga Indonesia  0.1
          23 Dec 2022 03:00 Tanam Indonesia  0.1
          23 Dec 2022 03:00 Kamboeriami Indonesia  0.1
          23 Dec 2022 03:00 Aoem Indonesia  0.1
          23 Dec 2022 03:00 Moegoetira Indonesia  0.1
          23 Dec 2022 13:00 Onggalie Indonesia  0.1
          23 Dec 2022 14:00 Kumbe Indonesia  0.1
          23 Dec 2022 14:00 Anansai Indonesia  0.1
          23 Dec 2022 14:00 Wendu Indonesia  0.1
          23 Dec 2022 14:00 Sarire Indonesia  0.1
          23 Dec 2022 03:00 Kinara Indonesia  0.1
          23 Dec 2022 04:00 Tambani Indonesia  0.1
          23 Dec 2022 13:00 Papisote Indonesia  0.1
          23 Dec 2022 13:00 Welab Indonesia  0.1
          23 Dec 2022 13:00 Kobiem Indonesia  0.1
          23 Dec 2022 13:00 Okaba Indonesia  0.1
          23 Dec 2022 13:00 Moegaigare Indonesia  0.1
          23 Dec 2022 13:00 Alakoe Indonesia  0.1
          23 Dec 2022 13:00 Alatepi Indonesia  0.1
          23 Dec 2022 13:00 Kotad Indonesia  0.1
          23 Dec 2022 13:00 Dumande Indonesia  0.1
          23 Dec 2022 14:00 Matara Indonesia  0.1
          23 Dec 2022 14:00 Urum Indonesia  0.1
          23 Dec 2022 14:00 Merauke Indonesia  0.1
          23 Dec 2022 03:00 Otsjanep Indonesia  0.1
          23 Dec 2022 03:00 Birab Indonesia  0.1