Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for GABRIELLE-23
in Norfolk Island, New Caledonia
10 Feb 2023 18 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
  • GDACS JTWC
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

    Tropical Cyclone GABRIELLE-23 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

    Meteorological source GDACS
    Exposed countries Norfolk Island, New Caledonia
    Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
    Maximum wind speed 167 km/h
    Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (09 Feb 01:00 UTC)
    Vulnerability Medium (New Caledonia)
    Landfall between
    10 Feb 2023 18:00 - 11 Feb 2023 06:00
    in Norfolk Island

    GDACS Score

    GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
    For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
      Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
    Current 102 km/h 0.3 m n.a. 0.5
    Overall 167 km/h 0.4 m n.a. 0.5

    Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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    Wind

      102 km/h Current Max.

      Up to 180000 people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

      Impact Timeline

        Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
        Tropical Storm or higher        		 Population in
        Cat 1. or higher        		 Countries
        Green 1 08 Feb 2023 00:00 139 1.7 million 2 thousand Norfolk Island
        Green 2 08 Feb 2023 06:00 139 2.7 million 2 thousand Norfolk Island
        Green 3 08 Feb 2023 12:00 139 200 thousand No people Norfolk Island, New Zealand
        Green 4 08 Feb 2023 18:00 139 560 thousand 2 thousand Norfolk Island
        Green 5 09 Feb 2023 00:00 139 20 thousand 2 thousand Norfolk Island
        Green 6 09 Feb 2023 06:00 148 210 thousand No people New Caledonia, Norfolk Island
        Green 7 09 Feb 2023 12:00 148 240 thousand No people New Caledonia, Norfolk Island
        Green 8 09 Feb 2023 18:00 148 200 thousand 2 thousand Norfolk Island
        Green 9 10 Feb 2023 00:00 148 2 thousand 2 thousand Norfolk Island
        Green 10 10 Feb 2023 06:00 167 190 thousand No people New Caledonia, Norfolk Island, New Zealand
        Green 11 10 Feb 2023 12:00 139 190 thousand No people New Caledonia, Norfolk Island
        Green 12 10 Feb 2023 18:00 102 180 thousand No people Norfolk Island, New Caledonia

        Bulletin Timeline

          Alert N° Date (UTC) Category
          (SSHS)           		Max winds
          (km/h)           		Population in
          Cat.1 or higher           		Population in
          Tropical Storm
          or higher           		Location (lat, lon) Countries
          GREEN
          		 1 08 Feb 2023 00:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people -15.4, 153.4
          GREEN
          		 2 08 Feb 2023 06:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people -16, 152.8
          GREEN
          		 3 08 Feb 2023 12:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people -16.8, 152.6
          GREEN
          		 4 08 Feb 2023 18:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people -17, 152.8
          GREEN
          		 5 09 Feb 2023 00:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people -18.1, 153
          GREEN
          		 6 09 Feb 2023 06:00 Category 1 120 no people no people -18.9, 153.9
          GREEN
          		 7 09 Feb 2023 12:00 Category 1 130 no people no people -19.6, 154.8
          GREEN
          		 8 09 Feb 2023 18:00 Category 1 139 no people no people -20.7, 156.1
          GREEN
          		 9 10 Feb 2023 00:00 Category 1 148 no people no people -22.2, 157.7
          GREEN
          		 10 10 Feb 2023 06:00 Category 2 167 no people 110000 people -23.3, 159.6
          GREEN
          		 11 10 Feb 2023 12:00 Category 1 139 no people 190000 people -24.8, 162.4
          GREEN
          		 12 10 Feb 2023 18:00 Tropical storm 102 no people 180000 people -26.6, 164.4
          GREEN
          		 12 11 Feb 2023 06:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people -28.9, 167.8 Norfolk Island
          Actual track of the current bulletin
          The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
          Download:



          Exposed population - AoIs

          Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

          Countries

          Country Population in Tropical Storm or higher strength
          Norfolk I. 2400 people
          New Caledonia 170000 people

          Provinces

          Region Province Country Population in Tropical Storm or higher strength
          Norfolk I. Norfolk Island 2400 people
          New Caledonia New Caledonia 170000 people

          Populated places

          Name Region Province Country City class Population
          Kingston Norfolk Island Capital <1000 people
          Nouméa New Caledonia Capital 83000 people
          Comm. du Mont-Dore New Caledonia City -

          Critical infrastructure

          Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

          Airports

          Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
          Norfolk Island International NLK 113 Civ. Paved Yes 6500
          Ile Ouen IOU unknown 0
          Noumea / Magenta GEA 3 Civ. Paved Yes 4100
          Ile Des Pins Moue ILP 96 Civ. Paved No 3600

          Ports

          Name LOCODE Country
          Kingston Norfolk Island
          Ducos NCDUS New Caledonia
          Noumea NCNOU New Caledonia
          Kuto New Caledonia
          Cato Island Coral Sea Islands
          Chesterfield Iles Coral Sea Islands
          Three Kings Island New Zealand
          TOP

          Rainfall

          Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

          ...

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          StormSurge

          0.4 m

          The maximum Storm surge height is  0.4m in Te Kowai, Australia. This height is estimated for 09 Feb 2023 01:00 UTC .

          The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

          Locations affected by Storm surge (122 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 11 of 10 Feb 2023 12:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

          Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
          09 Feb 2023 01:00 Te Kowai Australia  0.4
          09 Feb 2023 04:00 Lethebrook Australia  0.3
          09 Feb 2023 05:00 Etowri Australia  0.3
          09 Feb 2023 05:00 Nindaroo Australia  0.3
          09 Feb 2023 05:00 Bucasia Australia  0.3
          09 Feb 2023 05:00 Eimeo Australia  0.3
          09 Feb 2023 05:00 Andergrove Australia  0.3
          09 Feb 2023 05:00 Blacks Beach Australia  0.3
          09 Feb 2023 04:00 Banana Pocket Australia  0.3
          09 Feb 2023 04:00 Midgeton Australia  0.3
          09 Feb 2023 04:00 Slade Point Australia  0.3
          09 Feb 2023 04:00 Amhurst Australia  0.3
          09 Feb 2023 04:00 North Mackay Australia  0.3
          09 Feb 2023 04:00 Cremorne Australia  0.3
          09 Feb 2023 05:00 Glenella Australia  0.3
          09 Feb 2023 05:00 Bakers Creek Australia  0.3
          09 Feb 2023 04:00 Mackay Australia  0.3
          09 Feb 2023 03:00 Carmila Australia  0.3
          09 Feb 2023 02:00 Farnborough Australia  0.3
          09 Feb 2023 02:00 Yeppoon Australia  0.3
          09 Feb 2023 02:00 Emu Park Australia  0.3
          09 Feb 2023 05:00 Rosella Australia  0.3
          09 Feb 2023 05:00 Chelona Australia  0.3
          09 Feb 2023 02:00 Southend Australia  0.3
          09 Feb 2023 05:00 Hay Point Australia  0.3
          09 Feb 2023 02:00 Parsons Point Australia  0.3
          11 Feb 2023 08:00 Kingston Norfolk Island  0.3
          09 Feb 2023 05:00 Alligator Creek Australia  0.2
          09 Feb 2023 03:00 Keppel Sands Australia  0.2
          08 Feb 2023 07:00 Losuia Papua New Guinea  0.2
          09 Feb 2023 06:00 Taffy Islet Australia  0.2
          08 Feb 2023 15:00 Flaggy Rock Australia  0.2
          09 Feb 2023 06:00 Seaforth Australia  0.2
          09 Feb 2023 07:00 Carstairs Australia  0.2
          09 Feb 2023 07:00 Jarvisfield Australia  0.2
          09 Feb 2023 07:00 Rita Island Australia  0.2
          09 Feb 2023 08:00 Alva Australia  0.2
          09 Feb 2023 07:00 Inveroona Australia  0.2
          09 Feb 2023 07:00 Queens Beach Australia  0.2
          09 Feb 2023 07:00 Merinda Australia  0.2
          09 Feb 2023 07:00 Delta Australia  0.2
          09 Feb 2023 07:00 Bootooloo Australia  0.2
          08 Feb 2023 15:00 Elalie Australia  0.2
          09 Feb 2023 07:00 Bowen Australia  0.2
          09 Feb 2023 07:00 Yumbabullo Australia  0.2
          08 Feb 2023 07:00 Auneri Papua New Guinea  0.2
          09 Feb 2023 03:00 Targinie Australia  0.2
          09 Feb 2023 03:00 Beecher Australia  0.2
          09 Feb 2023 03:00 Gladstone Australia  0.2
          09 Feb 2023 03:00 Toolooa Australia  0.2
          08 Feb 2023 15:00 Kalarka Australia  0.2
          08 Feb 2023 15:00 Clairview Australia  0.2
          09 Feb 2023 07:00 Cannonvale Australia  0.2
          09 Feb 2023 07:00 Airlie Australia  0.2
          10 Feb 2023 22:00 Gadji New Caledonia  0.2
          08 Feb 2023 07:00 Bona Bona I Papua New Guinea  0.2
          08 Feb 2023 08:00 Pantava Papua New Guinea  0.2
          10 Feb 2023 10:00 Arama New Caledonia  0.2
          10 Feb 2023 10:00 Pam New Caledonia  0.2
          08 Feb 2023 08:00 Kamaua Papua New Guinea  0.1
          08 Feb 2023 07:00 Sidabadu Papua New Guinea  0.1
          08 Feb 2023 06:00 Saibai Australia  0.1
          08 Feb 2023 06:00 Hamlet of Togo Papua New Guinea  0.1
          08 Feb 2023 06:00 Mabaduan Papua New Guinea  0.1
          11 Feb 2023 00:00 Kuto New Caledonia  0.1
          11 Feb 2023 00:00 Vao New Caledonia  0.1
          08 Feb 2023 08:00 Madaua Papua New Guinea  0.1
          08 Feb 2023 08:00 Rewe Papua New Guinea  0.1
          08 Feb 2023 08:00 Mira Papua New Guinea  0.1
          08 Feb 2023 08:00 Mirimairau Papua New Guinea  0.1
          10 Feb 2023 18:00 Paagoumene New Caledonia  0.1
          08 Feb 2023 07:00 Tagula Papua New Guinea  0.1
          08 Feb 2023 09:00 Uramu I Papua New Guinea  0.1
          08 Feb 2023 09:00 Kaivu Papua New Guinea  0.1
          08 Feb 2023 09:00 Mairipepea Papua New Guinea  0.1
          08 Feb 2023 09:00 Moravamu Papua New Guinea  0.1
          08 Feb 2023 09:00 Apeawa Papua New Guinea  0.1
          08 Feb 2023 09:00 Babai Papua New Guinea  0.1
          09 Feb 2023 03:00 Boyne Island Australia  0.1
          08 Feb 2023 09:00 Tovai Papua New Guinea  0.1
          08 Feb 2023 14:00 Saint Lawrence Australia  0.1
          11 Feb 2023 00:00 Ouara New Caledonia  0.1
          11 Feb 2023 00:00 Wapan New Caledonia  0.1
          08 Feb 2023 08:00 Griffin Point Papua New Guinea  0.1
          08 Feb 2023 07:00 Gadaisu Papua New Guinea  0.1
          11 Feb 2023 01:00 Tomo New Caledonia  0.1
          10 Feb 2023 22:00 Wadrilla New Caledonia  0.1
          10 Feb 2023 22:00 Ouaco New Caledonia  0.1
          10 Feb 2023 22:00 Wegnec St-Joseph New Caledonia  0.1
          08 Feb 2023 08:00 Avioua Papua New Guinea  0.1
          08 Feb 2023 09:00 Veraibari Papua New Guinea  0.1
          09 Feb 2023 03:00 Benaraby Australia  0.1
          11 Feb 2023 00:00 Paita New Caledonia  0.1
          11 Feb 2023 00:00 Nouville New Caledonia  0.1
          11 Feb 2023 00:00 Noumea New Caledonia  0.1
          11 Feb 2023 00:00 Dumbea New Caledonia  0.1
          11 Feb 2023 00:00 Comm. du Mont-Dore New Caledonia  0.1
          11 Feb 2023 00:00 Saint-Louis New Caledonia  0.1
          11 Feb 2023 00:00 Plum New Caledonia  0.1
          11 Feb 2023 01:00 Prony New Caledonia  0.1
          08 Feb 2023 08:00 Lahimoina Papua New Guinea  0.1
          08 Feb 2023 08:00 Leileiafa Papua New Guinea  0.1
          08 Feb 2023 07:00 Ture Ture Papua New Guinea  0.1
          10 Feb 2023 10:00 Poum-Plage New Caledonia  0.1
          10 Feb 2023 21:00 Fayaoue New Caledonia  0.1
          10 Feb 2023 21:00 Ognahu New Caledonia  0.1
          10 Feb 2023 23:00 Nde New Caledonia  0.1
          08 Feb 2023 07:00 Lawes College Papua New Guinea  0.1
          08 Feb 2023 07:00 Hekampan Papua New Guinea  0.1
          08 Feb 2023 09:00 Goari Papua New Guinea  0.1
          08 Feb 2023 09:00 Maubi Papua New Guinea  0.1
          08 Feb 2023 09:00 Ubua Papua New Guinea  0.1
          08 Feb 2023 09:00 Dopima Papua New Guinea  0.1
          09 Feb 2023 02:00 Bustard Head Australia  0.1
          09 Feb 2023 02:00 Seventeen Seventy Australia  0.1
          10 Feb 2023 21:00 Goro New Caledonia  0.1
          08 Feb 2023 08:00 Mariki Papua New Guinea  0.1
          08 Feb 2023 07:00 Gogsiba Papua New Guinea  0.1
          10 Feb 2023 19:00 Tiabet New Caledonia  0.1
          11 Feb 2023 03:00 Bouloupari New Caledonia  0.1
          10 Feb 2023 22:00 Lekia New Caledonia  0.1
          11 Feb 2023 00:00 Teouta New Caledonia  0.1