Overall Red Tropical Cyclone alert for EVAN-12 in Fiji, Wallis and Futuna, Samoa from 12 Dec 2012 06:00 UTC to 19 Dec 2012 18:00 UTC

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone EVAN-12 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Exposed countries	Fiji, Wallis and Futuna, Samoa
Exposed population	650 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	212 km/h
Maximum storm surge	1.2 m (17 Dec 05:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	Medium (Fiji)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	64 km/h	1.2 m	n.a.	0.5
Overall	212 km/h	1.2 m	n.a.	2.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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Wind

64 km/h Current Max.

Up to 1.2 million people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
1	11 Dec 2012 18:00	185	No people	110 thousand	Samoa
2	12 Dec 2012 06:00	167	No people	420 thousand	Fiji, Samoa
3	12 Dec 2012 12:00	175	No people	550 thousand	Fiji, Samoa
4	12 Dec 2012 18:00	195	No people	100 thousand	Fiji, American Samoa
5	13 Dec 2012 00:00	212	No people	100 thousand	American Samoa
6	13 Dec 2012 06:00	204	No people	610 thousand	Fiji, Samoa
7	13 Dec 2012 12:00	204	No people	570 thousand	Fiji, Samoa
8	13 Dec 2012 18:00	204	No people	610 thousand	Fiji, Samoa
9	14 Dec 2012 00:00	204	No people	390 thousand	Fiji, Wallis and Futuna, Samoa
10	14 Dec 2012 06:00	212	No people	180 thousand	Wallis and Futuna, Samoa
11	14 Dec 2012 12:00	212	No people	180 thousand	Wallis and Futuna
12	14 Dec 2012 18:00	204	No people	170 thousand	Wallis and Futuna
14	15 Dec 2012 18:00	204	No people	190 thousand	Wallis and Futuna
15	16 Dec 2012 06:00	204	No people	480 thousand	Fiji
16	16 Dec 2012 18:00	212	No people	560 thousand	Fiji
17	17 Dec 2012 06:00	212	No people	640 thousand	Fiji
18	17 Dec 2012 18:00	195	No people	650 thousand	Fiji
19	18 Dec 2012 06:00	175	No people	650 thousand	Fiji
20	18 Dec 2012 18:00	121	No people	650 thousand
21	19 Dec 2012 06:00	84	No people	650 thousand
22	19 Dec 2012 18:00	64	No people	650 thousand

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)	Countries
1	12/11/2012 6:00:00 PM	Tropical storm	64	no people	no people	-14.3, -175.6
2	12/12/2012 6:00:00 AM	Tropical storm	74	no people	16000 people	-14.1, -173.9	Samoa
3	12/12/2012 12:00:00 PM	Tropical storm	93	no people	210000 people	-13.9, -173.2	Samoa
4	12/12/2012 6:00:00 PM	Category 1	121	13000 people	270000 people	-14.1, -172	Samoa
5	12/13/2012	Category 1	148	30000 people	240000 people	-14.1, -171.3	Samoa
6	12/13/2012 6:00:00 AM	Category 1	148	140000 people	270000 people	-13.9, -171.4	Samoa
7	12/13/2012 12:00:00 PM	Category 2	167	140000 people	270000 people	-13.7, -171.6	Samoa
8	12/13/2012 6:00:00 PM	Category 3	185	110000 people	240000 people	-13.4, -171.7	Samoa
9	12/14/2012	Category 3	185	7600 people	210000 people	-13, -172.1	Samoa
10	12/14/2012 6:00:00 AM	Category 3	185	6300 people	210000 people	-12.9, -172.5	Samoa
11	12/14/2012 12:00:00 PM	Category 3	185	no people	200000 people	-12.6, -173	Samoa
12	12/14/2012 6:00:00 PM	Category 3	185	7500 people	33000 people	-12.3, -174	Wallis and Futuna
13		Category 2	167	15000 people	16000 people	-13, -175.6	Wallis and Futuna
14	12/15/2012 6:00:00 PM	Category 3	185	<1000 people	160000 people	-13.4, -177.7	Wallis and Futuna
15	12/16/2012 6:00:00 AM	Category 3	195	52000 people	890000 people	-14.9, -179.9	Fiji
16	12/16/2012 6:00:00 PM	Category 4	212	440000 people	900000 people	-16.4, 178.3	Fiji
17	12/17/2012 6:00:00 AM	Category 4	212	350000 people	750000 people	-17.9, 177.3	Fiji
18	12/17/2012 6:00:00 PM	Category 3	195	no people	500000 people	-19.7, 177.2	Fiji
19	12/18/2012 6:00:00 AM	Category 2	175	no people	5600 people	-21, 177.1	Fiji
20	12/18/2012 6:00:00 PM	Category 1	121	no people	no people	-22.3, 177.4
21	12/19/2012 6:00:00 AM	Tropical storm	84	no people	no people	-23.4, 178.2
22	12/19/2012 6:00:00 PM	Tropical storm	64	no people	no people	-24.3, 178.5
22	12/20/2012 6:00:00 AM	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	-25.2, 178.8

Tropical disturbance/Weak low pressure area/Remnant low (Vmax < 51 km/h), see WMO

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

Download:

Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Provinces

Country	Region Province
Fiji	Fiji
American Samoa	American Samoa
Wallis and Futuna	Wallis & Futuna
Samoa	Samoa
Fiji	Fiji

Populated places

Name	Country	City class	Population
Nadi	Fiji	Major city	54000 people
Nasau	Fiji	City	-
Soso	Fiji	City	-
Navua	Fiji	City	5900 people
Nausori	Fiji	City	32000 people
Momi	Fiji	City	-
Korovou	Fiji	City	<1000 people
Sigatoka	Fiji	City	12000 people
Levuka	Fiji	City	4700 people
Lautoka	Fiji	City	49000 people
Vatukoula	Fiji	City	10000 people
Tavua	Fiji	City	2600 people
Somosomo	Fiji	City	-
Suva	Fiji	Capital	200000 people
Ba	Fiji	City	20000 people
Mata-Utu	Wallis and Futuna	Capital	970000 people
Apia	Samoa	Capital	40000 people
Pago Pago	American Samoa	Capital	4200 people
Afono	American Samoa	City	<1000 people
Alao	American Samoa	City	<1000 people
Alofau	American Samoa	City	<1000 people
Amouli	American Samoa	City	<1000 people
Aoa	American Samoa	City	<1000 people
Fagasa	American Samoa	City	<1000 people
Futiga	American Samoa	City	<1000 people
Leloaloa	American Samoa	City	<1000 people
Mesepa	American Samoa	City	<1000 people
Taputimu	American Samoa	City	<1000 people
Tula	American Samoa	City	<1000 people
Utulei	American Samoa	City	<1000 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

1.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 1.2m in Lautoka, Fiji. This height is estimated for 17 Dec 2012 05:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (210 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 21 of 19 Dec 2012 06:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 2 minute resolution)

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	17 Dec 2012 05:00	Lautoka	Fiji	1.2
	17 Dec 2012 06:00	Nadi	Fiji	1.1
	17 Dec 2012 06:00	Namaka	Fiji	1.1
	17 Dec 2012 01:00	Rabulu	Fiji	1.0
	16 Dec 2012 18:00	Yangganga	Fiji	0.9
	16 Dec 2012 18:00	Nawailevu	Fiji	0.9
	16 Dec 2012 18:00	Navinggiri	Fiji	0.9
	17 Dec 2012 02:00	Togowere	Fiji	0.8
	17 Dec 2012 01:00	Vaileka	Fiji	0.7
	17 Dec 2012 06:00	Solevu	Fiji	0.7
	15 Dec 2012 09:00	Mata-Utu	Wallis and Futuna	0.6
	16 Dec 2012 21:00	Ndenimanu	Fiji	0.6
	17 Dec 2012 03:00	Natunuka	Fiji	0.6
	17 Dec 2012 03:00	Tavua	Fiji	0.6
	17 Dec 2012 03:00	Nailanga	Fiji	0.6
	17 Dec 2012 03:00	Sorokoba	Fiji	0.6
	17 Dec 2012 04:00	Soso	Fiji	0.6
	17 Dec 2012 04:00	Somosomo	Fiji	0.6
	17 Dec 2012 04:00	Ba	Fiji	0.6
	17 Dec 2012 06:00	Momi	Fiji	0.6
	17 Dec 2012 07:00	Lomawal	Fiji	0.6
	17 Dec 2012 08:00	Mbatiri	Fiji	0.6
	17 Dec 2012 08:00	Cuvu	Fiji	0.6
	15 Dec 2012 09:00	Mua	Wallis and Futuna	0.5
	16 Dec 2012 18:00	Nasarowangga	Fiji	0.5
	17 Dec 2012 00:00	Teci	Fiji	0.5
	17 Dec 2012 00:00	Mbukama	Fiji	0.5
	17 Dec 2012 08:00	Sigatoka	Fiji	0.5
	17 Dec 2012 08:00	Laselase	Fiji	0.5
	13 Dec 2012 08:00	Amaile	Samoa	0.4
	13 Dec 2012 11:00	Solosolo	Samoa	0.4
	13 Dec 2012 12:00	Apia	Samoa	0.4
	16 Dec 2012 21:00	Koroinasolo	Fiji	0.4
	16 Dec 2012 21:00	Savu Sau	Fiji	0.4
	16 Dec 2012 23:00	Yasawairara	Fiji	0.4
	17 Dec 2012 00:00	Matayalevu	Fiji	0.4
	17 Dec 2012 00:00	Matacawalevu	Fiji	0.4
	17 Dec 2012 00:00	Sisili	Fiji	0.4
	17 Dec 2012 00:00	Nacula	Fiji	0.4
	17 Dec 2012 00:00	Navotua	Fiji	0.4
	17 Dec 2012 00:00	Tamusua	Fiji	0.4
	17 Dec 2012 00:00	Nasau	Fiji	0.4
	17 Dec 2012 01:00	Rakiraki	Fiji	0.4
	12 Dec 2012 23:00	Lotofago	Samoa	0.3
	13 Dec 2012 14:00	Saleimoa	Samoa	0.3
	13 Dec 2012 14:00	Utuavanua	Samoa	0.3
	16 Dec 2012 15:00	Korotasere	Fiji	0.3
	16 Dec 2012 15:00	Viani	Fiji	0.3
	16 Dec 2012 17:00	Nagumu	Fiji	0.3
	16 Dec 2012 17:00	Nanduri	Fiji	0.3
	16 Dec 2012 17:00	Vatutandova	Fiji	0.3
	16 Dec 2012 17:00	Navindamu	Fiji	0.3
	17 Dec 2012 00:00	Lawaki	Fiji	0.3
	17 Dec 2012 01:00	Kasavu	Fiji	0.3
	17 Dec 2012 01:00	Korovou	Fiji	0.3
	17 Dec 2012 01:00	Lodoni	Fiji	0.3
	17 Dec 2012 01:00	Naimasimasi	Fiji	0.3
	17 Dec 2012 01:00	Ucunivanua	Fiji	0.3
	17 Dec 2012 01:00	Cautata	Fiji	0.3
	17 Dec 2012 03:00	Dromuna	Fiji	0.3
	17 Dec 2012 05:00	Nalauwaki	Fiji	0.3
	17 Dec 2012 06:00	Tavua	Fiji	0.3
	17 Dec 2012 08:00	Vatukarasa	Fiji	0.3
	17 Dec 2012 10:00	Taunovo	Fiji	0.3
	17 Dec 2012 11:00	Bouwanga	Fiji	0.3
	12 Dec 2012 17:00	Tuasivi	Samoa	0.2
	12 Dec 2012 19:00	Samatau	Samoa	0.2
	12 Dec 2012 19:00	Fuailalo	Samoa	0.2
	12 Dec 2012 20:00	Fasitootai	Samoa	0.2
	12 Dec 2012 20:00	Faleaseela	Samoa	0.2
	12 Dec 2012 20:00	Matautu	Samoa	0.2
	12 Dec 2012 21:00	Siumu	Samoa	0.2
	12 Dec 2012 22:00	Poutasi	Samoa	0.2
	13 Dec 2012 00:00	Poloa	American Samoa	0.2
	13 Dec 2012 00:00	Amanave	American Samoa	0.2
	13 Dec 2012 00:00	Seetaga	American Samoa	0.2
	13 Dec 2012 00:00	Fagamalo	American Samoa	0.2
	13 Dec 2012 21:00	Puapua	Samoa	0.2
	14 Dec 2012 04:00	Fagamalo	Samoa	0.2
	15 Dec 2012 22:00	Leava	Wallis and Futuna	0.2
	16 Dec 2012 14:00	Nailou	Fiji	0.2
	16 Dec 2012 14:00	Namboutini	Fiji	0.2
	16 Dec 2012 14:00	Vunivatu	Fiji	0.2
	16 Dec 2012 14:00	Navukembuli	Fiji	0.2
	16 Dec 2012 14:00	Naua	Fiji	0.2
	16 Dec 2012 15:00	Lao	Fiji	0.2
	16 Dec 2012 15:00	Nawi	Fiji	0.2
	16 Dec 2012 15:00	Vunikura	Fiji	0.2
	16 Dec 2012 15:00	Namukalau	Fiji	0.2
	16 Dec 2012 15:00	Biagunu	Fiji	0.2
	16 Dec 2012 15:00	Naweni	Fiji	0.2
	16 Dec 2012 15:00	Nakarambo	Fiji	0.2
	16 Dec 2012 15:00	Malake	Fiji	0.2
	16 Dec 2012 15:00	Ndrekeniwai	Fiji	0.2
	16 Dec 2012 15:00	Mbangasau	Fiji	0.2
	16 Dec 2012 15:00	Vangai	Fiji	0.2
	16 Dec 2012 21:00	Naruwai	Fiji	0.2
	16 Dec 2012 23:00	Naingani	Fiji	0.2
	16 Dec 2012 23:00	Nanukuloa	Fiji	0.2
	17 Dec 2012 01:00	Nabouwalu	Fiji	0.2
	17 Dec 2012 01:00	Rukuruku	Fiji	0.2
	17 Dec 2012 01:00	Lovoni	Fiji	0.2
	17 Dec 2012 01:00	Nayavutoka	Fiji	0.2
	17 Dec 2012 02:00	Ndalomo	Fiji	0.2
	17 Dec 2012 02:00	Navuti	Fiji	0.2
	17 Dec 2012 02:00	Nasaga	Fiji	0.2
	17 Dec 2012 02:00	Nausori	Fiji	0.2
	17 Dec 2012 02:00	Lokia	Fiji	0.2
	17 Dec 2012 02:00	Nasilai	Fiji	0.2
	17 Dec 2012 09:00	Korolevu	Fiji	0.2
	17 Dec 2012 09:00	Yanutha	Fiji	0.2
	17 Dec 2012 10:00	Matavuralevu	Fiji	0.2
	17 Dec 2012 15:00	Nalotu	Fiji	0.2
	12 Dec 2012 13:00	Falelima	Samoa	0.1
	12 Dec 2012 15:00	Salailua	Samoa	0.1
	12 Dec 2012 16:00	Gautavai	Samoa	0.1
	12 Dec 2012 16:00	Salelologa	Samoa	0.1
	12 Dec 2012 17:00	Satupaitea	Samoa	0.1
	13 Dec 2012 00:00	Amaluia	American Samoa	0.1
	13 Dec 2012 00:00	Leone	American Samoa	0.1
	13 Dec 2012 00:00	Vailoatai	American Samoa	0.1
	13 Dec 2012 00:00	Taputimu	American Samoa	0.1
	13 Dec 2012 00:00	Aasu	American Samoa	0.1
	13 Dec 2012 00:00	Futiga	American Samoa	0.1
	13 Dec 2012 00:00	Pavaiai	American Samoa	0.1
	13 Dec 2012 00:00	Vaitogi	American Samoa	0.1
	13 Dec 2012 00:00	Iliili	American Samoa	0.1
	13 Dec 2012 00:00	Mesepa	American Samoa	0.1
	13 Dec 2012 00:00	Faleniu	American Samoa	0.1
	13 Dec 2012 00:00	Fagasa	American Samoa	0.1
	13 Dec 2012 00:00	Pago Pago	American Samoa	0.1
	13 Dec 2012 00:00	Siufaga	American Samoa	0.1
	13 Dec 2012 00:00	Nuuuli	American Samoa	0.1
	13 Dec 2012 00:00	Fagatogo	American Samoa	0.1
	13 Dec 2012 00:00	Atuu	American Samoa	0.1
	13 Dec 2012 00:00	Utulei	American Samoa	0.1
	13 Dec 2012 00:00	Matuu	American Samoa	0.1
	13 Dec 2012 00:00	Fagaalu	American Samoa	0.1
	13 Dec 2012 00:00	Leloaloa	American Samoa	0.1
	13 Dec 2012 00:00	Aua	American Samoa	0.1
	13 Dec 2012 00:00	Lauliifou	American Samoa	0.1
	13 Dec 2012 00:00	Afono	American Samoa	0.1
	13 Dec 2012 00:00	Masefau	American Samoa	0.1
	13 Dec 2012 00:00	Auto	American Samoa	0.1
	13 Dec 2012 00:00	Fagaitua	American Samoa	0.1
	13 Dec 2012 00:00	Alofau	American Samoa	0.1
	13 Dec 2012 00:00	Aoa	American Samoa	0.1
	13 Dec 2012 00:00	Amouli	American Samoa	0.1
	13 Dec 2012 00:00	Onenoa	American Samoa	0.1
	13 Dec 2012 00:00	Alao	American Samoa	0.1
	13 Dec 2012 00:00	Tula	American Samoa	0.1
	13 Dec 2012 00:00	Aunuu	American Samoa	0.1
	14 Dec 2012 05:00	Sasina	Samoa	0.1
	14 Dec 2012 05:00	Leagiaga	Samoa	0.1
	14 Dec 2012 06:00	Falealupo	Samoa	0.1
	15 Dec 2012 22:00	Mua	Wallis and Futuna	0.1
	15 Dec 2012 22:00	Alo	Wallis and Futuna	0.1
	16 Dec 2012 10:00	Nalele	Fiji	0.1
	16 Dec 2012 12:00	Tawake	Fiji	0.1
	16 Dec 2012 12:00	Nambouono	Fiji	0.1
	16 Dec 2012 12:00	Waiyevo	Fiji	0.1
	16 Dec 2012 12:00	Somosomo	Fiji	0.1
	16 Dec 2012 12:00	Qeleni	Fiji	0.1
	16 Dec 2012 13:00	Mboma	Fiji	0.1
	16 Dec 2012 14:00	Napuka	Fiji	0.1
	16 Dec 2012 14:00	Nukusa	Fiji	0.1
	16 Dec 2012 14:00	Mbangata	Fiji	0.1
	16 Dec 2012 15:00	Natua	Fiji	0.1
	16 Dec 2012 15:00	Korovou	Fiji	0.1
	16 Dec 2012 15:00	Navakawau	Fiji	0.1
	16 Dec 2012 16:00	Ndaria	Fiji	0.1
	16 Dec 2012 16:00	Ndawara	Fiji	0.1
	16 Dec 2012 16:00	Waisa	Fiji	0.1
	16 Dec 2012 17:00	Rave-rave	Fiji	0.1
	16 Dec 2012 17:00	Savusavu	Fiji	0.1
	16 Dec 2012 17:00	Naindi	Fiji	0.1
	16 Dec 2012 17:00	Korosi	Fiji	0.1
	16 Dec 2012 19:00	Thavanga	Fiji	0.1
	16 Dec 2012 19:00	Nathamaki	Fiji	0.1
	16 Dec 2012 19:00	Nakondu	Fiji	0.1
	16 Dec 2012 19:00	Nasau	Fiji	0.1
	16 Dec 2012 20:00	Nasea	Fiji	0.1
	16 Dec 2012 21:00	Dalice	Fiji	0.1
	17 Dec 2012 01:00	Nauouo	Fiji	0.1
	17 Dec 2012 01:00	Levuka	Fiji	0.1
	17 Dec 2012 02:00	Makongai	Fiji	0.1
	17 Dec 2012 09:00	Korovisilou	Fiji	0.1
	17 Dec 2012 10:00	Galoa	Fiji	0.1
	17 Dec 2012 10:00	Pacific Harbour	Fiji	0.1
	17 Dec 2012 10:00	Waisomo	Fiji	0.1
	17 Dec 2012 10:00	Dakuimbeqa	Fiji	0.1
	17 Dec 2012 10:00	Lalati	Fiji	0.1
	17 Dec 2012 10:00	Navua	Fiji	0.1
	17 Dec 2012 10:00	Naitionitoni	Fiji	0.1
	17 Dec 2012 10:00	Kalokolevu	Fiji	0.1
	17 Dec 2012 11:00	Mau	Fiji	0.1
	17 Dec 2012 13:00	Vunisea	Fiji	0.1
	17 Dec 2012 13:00	Naikorokoro	Fiji	0.1
	17 Dec 2012 13:00	Gasele	Fiji	0.1
	17 Dec 2012 13:00	Soso	Fiji	0.1
	17 Dec 2012 13:00	Kavala	Fiji	0.1
	17 Dec 2012 13:00	Kaduvu	Fiji	0.1
	17 Dec 2012 13:00	Nabouwalu	Fiji	0.1
	17 Dec 2012 14:00	Talaulia	Fiji	0.1
	17 Dec 2012 14:00	Nukuvou	Fiji	0.1
	17 Dec 2012 14:00	Vabea	Fiji	0.1
	17 Dec 2012 15:00	Namara	Fiji	0.1
	17 Dec 2012 16:00	Nasau	Fiji	0.1
	17 Dec 2012 16:00	Mburelevu	Fiji	0.1
	17 Dec 2012 16:00	Mokoisa	Fiji	0.1