Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for FOUR-22
Off-shore

Impact

Tropical Cyclone FOUR-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 50 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (03 Nov 22:00 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 50 km/h 0.2 m 32 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 65 km/h 0.3 m 280 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

65 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 03 Nov 2022 18:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 03 Nov 2022 18:00 86 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 03 Nov 2022 18:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmIndonesia15,062,000 
50-100 mmIndonesia23,459,345 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 03 Nov 2022 18:00 203 15.1 million
- - - - Indonesia




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Seblat, Indonesia. This height is estimated for 03 Nov 2022 22:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 03 Nov 2022 18:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
03 Nov 2022 22:00 Seblat Indonesia  0.2
03 Nov 2022 22:00 Pasarseblat Indonesia  0.2
03 Nov 2022 22:00 Ipuh Indonesia  0.2
03 Nov 2022 22:00 Ipun Indonesia  0.2
03 Nov 2022 22:00 Airrami Indonesia  0.2
03 Nov 2022 21:45 Tiop Indonesia  0.2
03 Nov 2022 21:45 Buriai Indonesia  0.2
03 Nov 2022 22:00 Airdikit Indonesia  0.2
03 Nov 2022 22:00 Bantal Indonesia  0.2
03 Nov 2022 22:00 Pondoklintang Indonesia  0.2
03 Nov 2022 22:00 Airberau Indonesia  0.2
03 Nov 2022 22:00 Silaoinan Indonesia  0.2
03 Nov 2022 22:00 Taikaguru Indonesia  0.2
03 Nov 2022 22:00 Seai Indonesia  0.2
03 Nov 2022 22:00 Tapuraukat Indonesia  0.2
03 Nov 2022 22:15 Pasirganting Indonesia  0.2
03 Nov 2022 22:15 Gati Indonesia  0.2
03 Nov 2022 22:00 Ketaun Indonesia  0.2
03 Nov 2022 22:00 Pasapuat Indonesia  0.2
03 Nov 2022 22:00 Simagandjo Indonesia  0.2
03 Nov 2022 22:00 Bahatmonga Indonesia  0.2
03 Nov 2022 22:00 Mapoupou Indonesia  0.2
03 Nov 2022 22:00 Pinempet Indonesia  0.2
03 Nov 2022 22:00 Beleratsok Indonesia  0.2
03 Nov 2022 22:15 Serangai Indonesia  0.2
03 Nov 2022 22:15 Penampung Indonesia  0.2
03 Nov 2022 22:00 Muaraterusanbunga Indonesia  0.2
03 Nov 2022 22:00 Pasarsebelah Indonesia  0.2
03 Nov 2022 22:00 Mukomuko Indonesia  0.2
03 Nov 2022 22:00 Gigitji Indonesia  0.2
03 Nov 2022 22:00 Kaliet Indonesia  0.2
03 Nov 2022 22:00 Katiet Indonesia  0.2
03 Nov 2022 22:00 Patdarai Indonesia  0.2
03 Nov 2022 22:00 Beriolou Indonesia  0.2
03 Nov 2022 22:00 Sigoisooinan Indonesia  0.2
03 Nov 2022 22:00 Lais Indonesia  0.2
03 Nov 2022 22:00 Maileppet Indonesia  0.2
03 Nov 2022 22:00 Lubuktandjung Indonesia  0.2
03 Nov 2022 22:00 Pasarkerkap Indonesia  0.2
03 Nov 2022 22:00 Kerkap Indonesia  0.2
03 Nov 2022 22:00 Bangkahulu Indonesia  0.2
03 Nov 2022 22:00 Pekansaptoe Indonesia  0.2
03 Nov 2022 22:00 Baru Indonesia  0.2
03 Nov 2022 22:15 Pondokkapoer Indonesia  0.2
03 Nov 2022 22:15 Kekatang Indonesia  0.2
03 Nov 2022 22:15 Menango Indonesia  0.2
03 Nov 2022 22:15 Tandjungkarang Indonesia  0.2
03 Nov 2022 22:15 Telukbetung Indonesia  0.2
03 Nov 2022 22:15 Tarahan Indonesia  0.2
03 Nov 2022 22:00 Ngalam Indonesia  0.1
03 Nov 2022 22:00 Pasarseluma Indonesia  0.1
03 Nov 2022 21:45 Pasartalo Indonesia  0.1
03 Nov 2022 21:45 Pasaralas Indonesia  0.1
03 Nov 2022 21:45 Kabue Indonesia  0.1
03 Nov 2022 21:45 Belowa Indonesia  0.1
03 Nov 2022 21:45 Taoabi Indonesia  0.1
03 Nov 2022 21:45 Poelaudoea Indonesia  0.1
03 Nov 2022 22:00 Umbulan Pepanggar Indonesia  0.1
03 Nov 2022 22:00 Kalianda Indonesia  0.1
03 Nov 2022 22:00 Pasarpino Indonesia  0.1
03 Nov 2022 22:00 Mana Indonesia  0.1
03 Nov 2022 21:45 Pahanuma Indonesia  0.1
03 Nov 2022 21:45 Sabeugukgung Indonesia  0.1
03 Nov 2022 21:30 Tandjungaur Indonesia  0.1
03 Nov 2022 21:45 Babakancibeber Indonesia  0.1
03 Nov 2022 21:45 Kolitjaah Indonesia  0.1
03 Nov 2022 21:45 Tjiteureup Indonesia  0.1
03 Nov 2022 21:45 Labuhan Indonesia  0.1
03 Nov 2022 21:45 Kaduperasi Indonesia  0.1
03 Nov 2022 21:30 Beriang Indonesia  0.1
03 Nov 2022 21:30 Tandjungraja Indonesia  0.1
03 Nov 2022 21:30 Pandanganget Indonesia  0.1
03 Nov 2022 21:30 Bintuhan Indonesia  0.1
03 Nov 2022 21:15 Bulasat Indonesia  0.1
03 Nov 2022 21:45 Taigebgem Indonesia  0.1
03 Nov 2022 21:45 Siberimanua Indonesia  0.1
03 Nov 2022 21:45 Kiluan Indonesia  0.1
03 Nov 2022 21:30 Limau Indonesia  0.1
03 Nov 2022 22:00 Guring Indonesia  0.1
03 Nov 2022 22:00 Kota Agung Indonesia  0.1
03 Nov 2022 21:45 Tjikawung Indonesia  0.1
03 Nov 2022 21:45 Sumur Indonesia  0.1
03 Nov 2022 21:30 Belimbing Indonesia  0.1
03 Nov 2022 21:30 Tampang Indonesia  0.1
03 Nov 2022 21:30 Sawangbalak Indonesia  0.1
03 Nov 2022 21:30 Bandjaragung Indonesia  0.1
03 Nov 2022 21:30 Putih Indonesia  0.1
03 Nov 2022 21:30 Karangberak Indonesia  0.1
03 Nov 2022 21:30 Aerdjeruk Indonesia  0.1
03 Nov 2022 21:30 Waibatang Indonesia  0.1
03 Nov 2022 21:45 Waiharoe Indonesia  0.1
03 Nov 2022 22:00 Bakau Indonesia  0.1
03 Nov 2022 22:00 Ketapang Indonesia  0.1
03 Nov 2022 21:30 Karbang Indonesia  0.1
03 Nov 2022 21:30 Walur Indonesia  0.1
03 Nov 2022 21:30 Pasarpulaupisang Indonesia  0.1
03 Nov 2022 21:30 Wainapal Indonesia  0.1
03 Nov 2022 21:30 Krui Indonesia  0.1
03 Nov 2022 21:30 Kerbang Indonesia  0.1
03 Nov 2022 21:30 Padangnegeri Indonesia  0.1
03 Nov 2022 21:30 Tandjungbaringin Indonesia  0.1
03 Nov 2022 21:30 Kotodjawa Indonesia  0.1
03 Nov 2022 21:30 Bandaragung Indonesia  0.1
03 Nov 2022 21:30 Tjampang Indonesia  0.1
03 Nov 2022 21:15 Bandjarnegeri Indonesia  0.1
03 Nov 2022 21:15 Ngaras Indonesia  0.1
03 Nov 2022 21:15 Negeriratoe Indonesia  0.1
03 Nov 2022 22:00 Anjer-Kidu Indonesia  0.1
03 Nov 2022 21:15 Biha Indonesia  0.1
03 Nov 2022 21:15 Marang Indonesia  0.1
03 Nov 2022 21:30 Muarabinuangeun Indonesia  0.1
03 Nov 2022 21:15 Cikalong Indonesia  0.1
03 Nov 2022 21:15 Pangadaran Indonesia  0.1
03 Nov 2022 21:15 Kaliputjang Indonesia  0.1
03 Nov 2022 21:15 Sindangsari Indonesia  0.1
03 Nov 2022 21:15 Cijulang Indonesia  0.1
03 Nov 2022 21:15 Karanghawu Indonesia  0.1
03 Nov 2022 21:15 Tjimadja Indonesia  0.1
03 Nov 2022 21:15 Tjiateul Indonesia  0.1