Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for FOUR-22
Off-shore
05 Nov 2022 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone FOUR-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 54 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (05 Nov 14:00 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 54 km/h 0.2 m 96 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 65 km/h 0.3 m 280 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

65 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 05 Nov 2022 12:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 03 Nov 2022 18:00 50 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 04 Nov 2022 00:00 47 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 04 Nov 2022 06:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 04 Nov 2022 12:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 04 Nov 2022 18:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 05 Nov 2022 00:00 50 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 05 Nov 2022 06:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 05 Nov 2022 12:00 54 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 05 Nov 2022 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmIndonesia1,728,702 
50-100 mmIndonesia27,024,366 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 03 Nov 2022 18:00 32 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 04 Nov 2022 00:00 16 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 04 Nov 2022 06:00 28 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 04 Nov 2022 12:00 71 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 04 Nov 2022 18:00 41 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 05 Nov 2022 00:00 55 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 05 Nov 2022 06:00 73 -
- - - - - Indonesia
Blue 8 05 Nov 2022 12:00 288 1.7 million
- - - - Indonesia




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Merak, Indonesia. This height is estimated for 05 Nov 2022 14:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 05 Nov 2022 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
05 Nov 2022 14:00 Merak Indonesia  0.2
05 Nov 2022 14:00 Domas Indonesia  0.2
05 Nov 2022 17:15 Umbulan Padulmanan Indonesia  0.2
05 Nov 2022 12:15 Losan Indonesia  0.2
05 Nov 2022 12:15 Bulakamba Indonesia  0.2
05 Nov 2022 16:45 Airdikit Indonesia  0.2
05 Nov 2022 16:45 Bantal Indonesia  0.2
05 Nov 2022 16:45 Pondoklintang Indonesia  0.2
05 Nov 2022 16:45 Airberau Indonesia  0.2
05 Nov 2022 12:00 Cirebon Indonesia  0.2
05 Nov 2022 12:00 Cilancang Indonesia  0.2
05 Nov 2022 16:45 Buriai Indonesia  0.2
05 Nov 2022 16:30 Pasirganting Indonesia  0.2
05 Nov 2022 16:30 Gati Indonesia  0.2
05 Nov 2022 12:00 Karangampel Indonesia  0.2
05 Nov 2022 16:30 Maileppet Indonesia  0.2
05 Nov 2022 16:30 Sigoisooinan Indonesia  0.2
05 Nov 2022 16:30 Patdarai Indonesia  0.2
05 Nov 2022 16:30 Gigitji Indonesia  0.2
05 Nov 2022 16:45 Silaoinan Indonesia  0.2
05 Nov 2022 16:45 Taikaguru Indonesia  0.2
05 Nov 2022 16:45 Seai Indonesia  0.2
05 Nov 2022 16:45 Tapuraukat Indonesia  0.2
05 Nov 2022 16:45 Tiop Indonesia  0.2
05 Nov 2022 16:45 Pasapuat Indonesia  0.2
05 Nov 2022 16:45 Simagandjo Indonesia  0.2
05 Nov 2022 16:45 Beleratsok Indonesia  0.2
05 Nov 2022 16:45 Bahatmonga Indonesia  0.2
05 Nov 2022 16:45 Mapoupou Indonesia  0.2
05 Nov 2022 16:45 Kaliet Indonesia  0.2
05 Nov 2022 16:45 Katiet Indonesia  0.2
05 Nov 2022 16:45 Muaraterusanbunga Indonesia  0.2
05 Nov 2022 16:30 Beriolou Indonesia  0.2
05 Nov 2022 16:45 Pasarsebelah Indonesia  0.2
05 Nov 2022 16:45 Mukomuko Indonesia  0.2
05 Nov 2022 16:45 Ipuh Indonesia  0.2
05 Nov 2022 16:45 Ipun Indonesia  0.2
05 Nov 2022 16:45 Pinempet Indonesia  0.2
05 Nov 2022 12:30 Sungsang Indonesia  0.2
05 Nov 2022 12:45 Medielang Indonesia  0.2
05 Nov 2022 12:45 Muntok Indonesia  0.2
05 Nov 2022 12:45 Belo Indonesia  0.2
05 Nov 2022 13:00 Maringgai Indonesia  0.2
05 Nov 2022 16:30 Airrami Indonesia  0.2
05 Nov 2022 12:30 Anjai Indonesia  0.2
05 Nov 2022 16:30 Radjik Indonesia  0.2
05 Nov 2022 14:00 Batubetumpang Indonesia  0.2
05 Nov 2022 14:00 Topoali Indonesia  0.2
05 Nov 2022 16:30 Keludin Indonesia  0.2
05 Nov 2022 14:15 Kepoh Indonesia  0.2
05 Nov 2022 18:00 Pangkalpinang Indonesia  0.2
05 Nov 2022 18:00 Batoebeloebang Indonesia  0.2
05 Nov 2022 12:00 Tipar Indonesia  0.2
05 Nov 2022 12:00 Balubuk Indonesia  0.2
05 Nov 2022 13:30 Tukak Indonesia  0.2
05 Nov 2022 13:30 Penoetoek Indonesia  0.2
05 Nov 2022 13:30 Gunung Indonesia  0.2
05 Nov 2022 13:30 Tandjunglabu Indonesia  0.2
05 Nov 2022 16:30 Tempilang Indonesia  0.2
05 Nov 2022 18:00 Namang Indonesia  0.2
05 Nov 2022 16:15 Tandjungniur Indonesia  0.2
05 Nov 2022 16:45 Seblat Indonesia  0.2
05 Nov 2022 16:45 Pasarseblat Indonesia  0.2
05 Nov 2022 12:00 Kramat Indonesia  0.2
05 Nov 2022 12:00 Cengkarengbelakang Indonesia  0.2
05 Nov 2022 12:00 Indramaju Indonesia  0.2
05 Nov 2022 16:15 Kekatang Indonesia  0.2
05 Nov 2022 16:15 Menango Indonesia  0.2
05 Nov 2022 16:15 Tandjungkarang Indonesia  0.2
05 Nov 2022 16:15 Telukbetung Indonesia  0.2
05 Nov 2022 16:15 Tarahan Indonesia  0.2
05 Nov 2022 18:00 Koba Indonesia  0.2
05 Nov 2022 15:30 Sagu Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 18:00 Perlang Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 18:00 Lubuk-besar Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 12:15 Ketapang Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 13:00 Tanara Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 13:00 Ketapang Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 16:45 Kerkap Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 16:45 Bangkahulu Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 16:45 Pondokkapoer Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 16:45 Pekansaptoe Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 16:45 Ketaun Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 16:45 Serangai Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 16:45 Penampung Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 12:00 Bakau Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 12:00 Anjer-Kidu Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 12:00 Cangkring Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 15:45 Sidjuk Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 15:45 Sungaipadang Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 12:00 Padang Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 12:00 Manggar Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 12:00 Lipatkadjang Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 12:00 Pedes Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 17:30 Bakong Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 15:00 Suakgual Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 15:00 Nasik Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 15:00 Petaling Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 15:00 Tandjungpandan Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 15:00 Pangkal Dudat Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 15:30 Guring Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 15:30 Kota Agung Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 12:00 Sungaibuntu Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 18:00 Tandjungkiras Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 18:00 Membalong Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 18:00 Djepuh Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 18:00 Tangjungrusa Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 18:00 Dendang Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 18:00 Simnangpesa Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 18:00 Tandjungklumpang Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 12:00 Babakancibeber Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 12:00 Kolitjaah Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 12:00 Tjiteureup Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 12:00 Labuhan Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 12:00 Kaduperasi Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 16:45 Lais Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 16:45 Baru Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 16:45 Lubuktandjung Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 16:45 Tandjungbinga Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 12:00 Kalianda Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 13:00 Pasarkerkap Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 18:00 Tandjungbatuaajer Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 16:15 Lait Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 16:30 Pangadaran Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 16:30 Kaliputjang Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 12:00 Sumur Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 12:00 Tjikawung Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 12:00 Aerdjeruk Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 14:30 Sindangsari Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 14:30 Cijulang Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 14:30 Cikalong Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 14:00 Pasirputih Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 14:00 Muaratjilamaja Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 16:00 Umbulan Pepanggar Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 17:15 La Ferme Mauritius  0.1
05 Nov 2022 17:15 Port Mathurin Mauritius  0.1
05 Nov 2022 12:00 Karanganjar Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 12:00 Chikalong Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 12:00 Kiluan Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 15:45 Bandjaragung Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 15:45 Waiharoe Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 15:45 Karangberak Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 12:00 Patrol Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 12:00 Kandanghaur Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 12:00 Belimbing Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 12:00 Tampang Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 12:00 Kabue Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 12:00 Belowa Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 12:00 Taoabi Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 12:00 Poelaudoea Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 12:00 Kalapagenep Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 16:30 Ngalam Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 16:30 Pasarseluma Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 15:30 Sawangbalak Indonesia  0.1
05 Nov 2022 15:30 Putih Indonesia  0.1