Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for ELLIE-22
in Australia
22 Dec 2022 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone ELLIE-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries Australia
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 68 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.5 m (22 Dec 17:45 UTC)
Vulnerability Low (Australia)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 68 km/h 0.5 m 431 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 68 km/h 0.5 m 589 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

68 km/h

Up to Few people can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 22 Dec 2022 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormAustralia129 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 22 Dec 2022 06:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 22 Dec 2022 12:00 68 -
- - - - - Australia
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Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 22 Dec 2022 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmAustralia05 
100-250 mmAustralia3,660 
50-100 mmAustralia3,748 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 22 Dec 2022 06:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 22 Dec 2022 12:00 431 4 thousand
- - - Australia




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

0.5 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.5m in Larrakeyah, Australia. This height is estimated for 22 Dec 2022 17:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 22 Dec 2022 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
22 Dec 2022 17:45 Larrakeyah Australia  0.5
22 Dec 2022 17:45 Fannie Bay Australia  0.5
22 Dec 2022 17:45 Parap Australia  0.5
22 Dec 2022 17:45 Darwin Australia  0.5
22 Dec 2022 17:45 Nightcliff Australia  0.5
22 Dec 2022 17:45 Ludmilla Australia  0.5
22 Dec 2022 17:45 Bagot Australia  0.5
22 Dec 2022 17:45 Leanyer Australia  0.5
22 Dec 2022 17:45 Knuckeys Lagoon Australia  0.5
22 Dec 2022 17:45 Berrimah Australia  0.5
22 Dec 2022 17:00 Carrarang Australia  0.4
22 Dec 2022 16:30 The Palms Australia  0.4
22 Dec 2022 17:00 Tamala Australia  0.3
22 Dec 2022 16:45 Kalbarri Australia  0.2
22 Dec 2022 17:15 Minjilang Australia  0.2
22 Dec 2022 14:00 Gribble Settlement Australia  0.2
22 Dec 2022 16:15 Gregory Australia  0.2
22 Dec 2022 16:00 Lynton Australia  0.2
22 Dec 2022 16:00 Horrocks Australia  0.2
22 Dec 2022 18:00 Bing Bong Australia  0.2
22 Dec 2022 17:00 Karumba Australia  0.2
22 Dec 2022 16:00 Drummond Cove Australia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 16:00 Popes Landing Australia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 15:45 Kualalupak Indonesia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 15:45 Tamban Indonesia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 15:45 Aluhaluh Indonesia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 15:45 Tambakkarangan Indonesia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 16:00 Waggrakine Australia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 16:00 Geraldton Australia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 15:30 Pagetan Indonesia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 15:30 Tabanio Indonesia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 15:30 Bawahalajung Indonesia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 18:00 Whyalla Australia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 18:00 Port Bonython Australia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 15:15 Greenough Australia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 16:45 Thangoo Australia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 16:45 Broome Australia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 18:00 Port Germein Australia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 17:30 Cowell Australia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 15:15 Denison Australia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 15:15 Port Denison Australia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 15:15 Dongara Australia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 18:00 Port Davis Australia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 18:00 Telowie Australia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 15:30 Cape Cuvier Australia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 15:30 Quobba Australia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 17:15 Port Gibbon Australia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 18:00 Port Pirie Australia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 18:00 Solomontown Australia  0.1