Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for ELLIE-22
in Australia
23 Dec 2022 00 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone ELLIE-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Indonesia, Australia
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 58 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.6 m (23 Dec 12:30 UTC)
Vulnerability Low (Australia)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 58 km/h 0.6 m 127 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 72 km/h 0.5 m 548 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

72 km/h

Up to 280 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 23 Dec 2022 00:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormIndonesia, Australia283,934
+
Indonesia283,910 
Australia24 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 22 Dec 2022 06:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 22 Dec 2022 12:00 68 -
- - - - - Australia
GREEN 3 22 Dec 2022 18:00 72 -
- - - - - Australia
GREEN 4 23 Dec 2022 00:00 76 -
- - - - - Indonesia, Australia
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 23 Dec 2022 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmIndonesia, Australia14,078
+
Indonesia10,309 
Australia3,768 
100-250 mmIndonesia, Papua New Guinea, Australia15,887,294
+
Indonesia15,883,992 
Papua New Guinea195 
Australia3,106 
50-100 mmIndonesia, Papua New Guinea, East Timor, Australia12,380,740
+
Indonesia11,610,082 
Papua New Guinea570,248 
East Timor136,849 
Australia63,559 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 22 Dec 2022 06:00 133 Few people
- - - - Papua New Guinea, Australia
Blue 2 22 Dec 2022 12:00 146 Few people
- - - - Australia
Blue 3 22 Dec 2022 18:00 101 -
- - - - - Australia
Blue 4 23 Dec 2022 00:00 433 15.9 million
- - - Indonesia, Papua New Guinea, East Timor, Australia




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.6 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.6m in Port Bonython, Australia. This height is estimated for 23 Dec 2022 12:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 23 Dec 2022 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
23 Dec 2022 12:30 Port Bonython Australia  0.6
23 Dec 2022 12:45 Port Germein Australia  0.6
23 Dec 2022 12:45 Telowie Australia  0.5
23 Dec 2022 12:45 Port Pirie Australia  0.5
23 Dec 2022 12:45 Solomontown Australia  0.5
23 Dec 2022 13:00 Port Davis Australia  0.5
23 Dec 2022 12:30 Whyalla Australia  0.5
23 Dec 2022 14:15 Port Broughton Australia  0.4
23 Dec 2022 10:00 Carrarang Australia  0.3
23 Dec 2022 10:00 Tamala Australia  0.3
23 Dec 2022 13:45 Tickera Australia  0.3
23 Dec 2022 03:30 Bing Bong Australia  0.3
23 Dec 2022 11:15 The Palms Australia  0.3
23 Dec 2022 11:15 Larrakeyah Australia  0.3
23 Dec 2022 11:15 Fannie Bay Australia  0.3
23 Dec 2022 11:15 Parap Australia  0.3
23 Dec 2022 11:15 Darwin Australia  0.3
23 Dec 2022 11:15 Nightcliff Australia  0.3
23 Dec 2022 11:15 Ludmilla Australia  0.3
23 Dec 2022 11:15 Bagot Australia  0.3
23 Dec 2022 11:15 Leanyer Australia  0.3
23 Dec 2022 11:15 Knuckeys Lagoon Australia  0.3
23 Dec 2022 11:15 Berrimah Australia  0.3
23 Dec 2022 09:45 Kalbarri Australia  0.3
24 Dec 2022 05:45 Pagatan Indonesia  0.3
24 Dec 2022 05:45 Pematangdoerian Indonesia  0.3
24 Dec 2022 05:45 Semisir Indonesia  0.3
24 Dec 2022 05:45 Tandjungserdang Indonesia  0.3
24 Dec 2022 05:45 Salinau Indonesia  0.3
23 Dec 2022 03:45 Haslam Australia  0.3
23 Dec 2022 03:45 Streaky Bay Australia  0.3
24 Dec 2022 09:30 Pagatan Indonesia  0.3
23 Dec 2022 13:00 Wallaroo Australia  0.2
23 Dec 2022 12:45 Warburto Australia  0.2
23 Dec 2022 03:45 Smoky Bay Australia  0.2
23 Dec 2022 11:45 Cowell Australia  0.2
25 Dec 2022 17:45 Soeam Indonesia  0.2
23 Dec 2022 12:45 Port Hughes Australia  0.2
23 Dec 2022 12:45 Port Moonta Australia  0.2
23 Dec 2022 12:45 Moonta Bay Australia  0.2
23 Dec 2022 12:45 Moonta Australia  0.2
23 Dec 2022 09:45 Gregory Australia  0.2
23 Dec 2022 04:00 Karumba Australia  0.2
23 Dec 2022 11:30 Port Gibbon Australia  0.2
23 Dec 2022 10:00 Lynton Australia  0.2
25 Dec 2022 17:30 Heits Indonesia  0.2
24 Dec 2022 05:30 Wyomi Australia  0.2
24 Dec 2022 05:30 Kingston Australia  0.2
24 Dec 2022 05:30 Kingston SE Australia  0.2
24 Dec 2022 05:30 Rosetown Australia  0.2
23 Dec 2022 12:00 Price Australia  0.2
23 Dec 2022 12:00 Port Clinton Australia  0.2
23 Dec 2022 12:00 Port Wakefield Australia  0.2
23 Dec 2022 12:00 Wakefield Australia  0.2
23 Dec 2022 12:00 Inkerman Australia  0.2
24 Dec 2022 05:45 Semaras Indonesia  0.2
23 Dec 2022 04:30 Numbulwar Australia  0.2
23 Dec 2022 12:00 Ardrossan Australia  0.2
24 Dec 2022 07:00 Pagetan Indonesia  0.2
24 Dec 2022 07:00 Tambakkarangan Indonesia  0.2
24 Dec 2022 07:00 Tabanio Indonesia  0.2
24 Dec 2022 07:00 Bawahalajung Indonesia  0.2
23 Dec 2022 03:00 Denial Bay Australia  0.2
23 Dec 2022 03:00 Thevenard Australia  0.2
23 Dec 2022 03:00 Ceduna Australia  0.2
23 Dec 2022 12:15 Parham Australia  0.2
25 Dec 2022 19:15 Taroea Anim Indonesia  0.2
23 Dec 2022 13:30 Useless Loop Australia  0.2
25 Dec 2022 08:30 Derby Australia  0.2
24 Dec 2022 07:45 Kualalupak Indonesia  0.2
24 Dec 2022 07:45 Tamban Indonesia  0.2
24 Dec 2022 07:45 Aluhaluh Indonesia  0.2
23 Dec 2022 19:00 Salt Creek Australia  0.2
23 Dec 2022 10:15 Horrocks Australia  0.2
23 Dec 2022 10:45 Arno Bay Australia  0.2
23 Dec 2022 18:30 Magrath Flat Australia  0.2
23 Dec 2022 18:30 Woods Well Australia  0.2
25 Dec 2022 13:30 Biwarlaut Indonesia  0.2
25 Dec 2022 13:30 Jow Indonesia  0.2
25 Dec 2022 13:30 Otsjanep Indonesia  0.2
25 Dec 2022 13:15 Birab Indonesia  0.2
25 Dec 2022 18:15 Minjilang Australia  0.2
23 Dec 2022 12:15 Port Prime Australia  0.2
25 Dec 2022 13:45 Per Indonesia  0.2
25 Dec 2022 13:45 Amborip Indonesia  0.2
24 Dec 2022 08:30 Bapuju Indonesia  0.2
24 Dec 2022 08:30 Bahaur Indonesia  0.2
24 Dec 2022 16:45 Tulkineara Australia  0.2
23 Dec 2022 12:00 Pine Point Australia  0.2
23 Dec 2022 10:15 Port Neill Australia  0.2
23 Dec 2022 03:15 Laura Bay Australia  0.2
24 Dec 2022 16:00 Port Elliot Australia  0.2
24 Dec 2022 16:00 Middleton Australia  0.2
24 Dec 2022 16:00 Goolwa Australia  0.2
24 Dec 2022 16:00 Hindmarsh Island Australia  0.2
25 Dec 2022 15:45 Jofar Indonesia  0.2
25 Dec 2022 15:45 Agats Indonesia  0.2
24 Dec 2022 16:00 Encounter Bay Australia  0.2
24 Dec 2022 16:00 Victor Harbour Australia  0.2
24 Dec 2022 16:00 Hindmarsh Valley Australia  0.2
23 Dec 2022 18:45 Rupari Australia  0.2
23 Dec 2022 12:45 Hamelin Pool Australia  0.2
23 Dec 2022 12:45 Hamelin Australia  0.2
23 Dec 2022 10:15 Gladstone Australia  0.2
25 Dec 2022 17:45 Dolatanden Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 11:45 Port Julia Australia  0.1
24 Dec 2022 16:15 Waitpinga Australia  0.1
25 Dec 2022 09:15 Eyre Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 11:45 Salebe Indonesia  0.1
24 Dec 2022 05:45 Boenati Indonesia  0.1
24 Dec 2022 05:15 Tapianbalai Indonesia  0.1
24 Dec 2022 05:00 Okaoka Indonesia  0.1
25 Dec 2022 14:45 Thundulda Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 15:00 Shark Bay Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 15:00 Monkey Mia Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 00:15 Safety Bay Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 00:15 Rockingham Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 00:15 Warnbro Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 00:15 Peelhurst Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 00:15 Singleton Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 00:15 Karnup Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 00:15 Wattleup Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 02:00 Kandala Jawal Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 02:00 Wamal Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 02:00 Gelib Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 09:15 Denham Australia  0.1
24 Dec 2022 07:30 Batakam Indonesia  0.1
24 Dec 2022 07:30 Kandangan Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 12:30 Tungkaranasam Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 12:30 Sekapoeng Indonesia  0.1
25 Dec 2022 04:30 Senaking Indonesia  0.1
25 Dec 2022 04:30 Sungaianjar Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 05:15 North Shields Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 05:15 Poonindie Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 05:15 Louth Bay Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 05:15 Tumby Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 05:15 Tumby Bay Australia  0.1
25 Dec 2022 22:15 Tamerau Indonesia  0.1
25 Dec 2022 22:15 Barattar Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 00:15 Coogee Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 10:45 Carnarvon Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 01:45 Dokib Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 01:45 Moegaigare Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 01:45 Alakoe Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 01:45 Alatepi Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 01:45 Kotad Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 01:45 Dumande Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 00:00 Fremantle Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 00:00 North Fremantle Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 00:00 Mosman Park Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 00:00 Cottesloe Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 00:00 East Fremantle Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 00:00 Peppermint Grove Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 00:00 Swanbourne Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 00:00 Claremont Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 00:00 Spearwood Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 00:00 Bicton Australia  0.1
25 Dec 2022 22:00 Sarire Indonesia  0.1
25 Dec 2022 22:00 Tamarike Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 01:45 Matara Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 01:45 Urum Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 01:45 Merauke Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 01:45 Daub Indonesia  0.1
25 Dec 2022 23:15 Bula Papua New Guinea  0.1
23 Dec 2022 05:15 Port Lincoln Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 16:45 Kobiem Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 16:45 Okaba Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 09:30 Drummond Cove Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 09:30 Popes Landing Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 05:15 Tulka Australia  0.1
25 Dec 2022 23:15 Jara Papua New Guinea  0.1
23 Dec 2022 11:45 Modan Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 02:00 Dodalim Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 02:00 Yulbabuti Indonesia  0.1
25 Dec 2022 23:00 Kondomiraf Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 05:15 Wangary Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 17:00 Papisote Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 17:00 Welab Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 13:30 Nanga Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 18:15 Rapid Bay Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 18:15 Second Valley Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 03:00 Onggalie Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 00:30 Mandurah Australia  0.1
25 Dec 2022 14:45 Sabon Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 23:00 Port Vincent Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 01:45 Komoran Indonesia  0.1
25 Dec 2022 14:30 Kladar Indonesia  0.1
25 Dec 2022 14:30 Tor Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 01:30 Kumbe Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 01:30 Anansai Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 01:30 Wendu Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 00:00 Lancelin Australia  0.1
25 Dec 2022 03:45 Loeri Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 09:30 Sanindara Indonesia  0.1
25 Dec 2022 23:15 Mari Papua New Guinea  0.1
23 Dec 2022 23:45 Largs Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 23:45 Saint Kilda Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 00:00 Two Rocks Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 00:00 Yanchep Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 00:00 Quinns Rock Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 09:45 Waggrakine Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 22:30 Stansbury Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 00:00 Mullalloo Beach Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 00:15 North Beach Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 00:15 Scarborough Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 22:30 Coobowie Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 22:30 Edithburgh Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 22:30 Wool Bay Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 00:15 Seabird Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 00:15 Guilderton Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 08:30 Balgowan Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 12:15 Tais Papua New Guinea  0.1
23 Dec 2022 05:15 Alyangula Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 09:45 Geraldton Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 00:30 Falcon Australia  0.1
25 Dec 2022 14:15 Amamapare Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 22:30 Semaphore Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 22:30 Birkenhead Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 22:30 Port Adelaide Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 22:30 Seaton Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 22:30 Finsbury Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 06:30 Dalyellup Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 06:30 Bunbury Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 06:30 Binningup Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 06:30 Myalup Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 06:30 Picton Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 06:30 Eaton Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 06:30 Burragenup Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 06:30 Australind Australia  0.1
25 Dec 2022 03:15 Langadai Indonesia  0.1
25 Dec 2022 03:15 Sembelimbingan Indonesia  0.1
25 Dec 2022 22:45 Badu Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 17:45 Salt Lake Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 17:45 Muston Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 17:45 American River Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 17:45 Grassy Flat Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 17:45 Penneshaw Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 06:45 Mirobia Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 06:45 Obia Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 06:45 Ibonma Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 06:45 Bahomia Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 06:45 Maiwawa Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 06:45 Djokdjoh Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 06:45 Namasan Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 06:45 Utarom Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 22:30 Grange Australia  0.1
25 Dec 2022 14:45 Ndapurutiri Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 00:00 Cervantes Australia  0.1