Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for DALILA-19
Off-shore

Impact

Tropical Cyclone DALILA-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 72 km/h
Maximum storm surge 1.8 m (23 Jul 19:00 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 72 km/h 1.8 m n.a. 0.5
HWRF Overall 72 km/h 1.8 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

72 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 24 Jul 2019 18:00 UTC (Overall situation)

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 22 Jul 2019 06:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 22 Jul 2019 12:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 22 Jul 2019 18:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 23 Jul 2019 00:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 23 Jul 2019 06:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 23 Jul 2019 12:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 23 Jul 2019 18:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 24 Jul 2019 00:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 24 Jul 2019 06:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 24 Jul 2019 12:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 24 Jul 2019 18:00 61 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 24 Jul 2019 18:00 UTC (Overall situation)

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 22 Jul 2019 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 2 22 Jul 2019 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 3 22 Jul 2019 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 4 23 Jul 2019 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 5 23 Jul 2019 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 6 23 Jul 2019 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 7 23 Jul 2019 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 8 24 Jul 2019 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 9 24 Jul 2019 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 10 24 Jul 2019 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 11 24 Jul 2019 18:00 - - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

1.8 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  1.8m in Marmol, Mexico. This height is estimated for 23 Jul 2019 19:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 24 Jul 2019 18:00 UTC (Overall situation)
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
23 Jul 2019 19:00 Marmol Mexico  1.8
23 Jul 2019 19:00 Florida Mexico  1.8
23 Jul 2019 19:00 Mazatlan Mexico  1.8
24 Jul 2019 07:00 El Castillo Mexico  1.7
24 Jul 2019 07:00 Las Arenitas Mexico  1.7
23 Jul 2019 18:45 Barron Mexico  1.7
23 Jul 2019 01:45 Rosario Mexico  1.5
23 Jul 2019 19:00 Dimas Mexico  1.3
24 Jul 2019 07:00 La Boca Mexico  1.3
24 Jul 2019 07:00 Altata Mexico  1.3
23 Jul 2019 19:15 Perihuete Mexico  1.1
23 Jul 2019 01:45 Santa Cruz Mexico  1.1
23 Jul 2019 01:45 La Ventana Mexico  1.1
23 Jul 2019 01:45 Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  1.1
24 Jul 2019 20:00 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.9
24 Jul 2019 20:00 El Guatamota Mexico  0.9
24 Jul 2019 11:30 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.6
25 Jul 2019 02:00 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.5
24 Jul 2019 13:15 La Trinadad Mexico  0.5
24 Jul 2019 11:15 Rancho Datilari Mexico  0.5
24 Jul 2019 11:15 Rancho Conejo Mexico  0.5
24 Jul 2019 11:30 Quinones Mexico  0.5
23 Jul 2019 03:45 La Ribera Mexico  0.5
23 Jul 2019 03:45 Punta Colorada Mexico  0.5
23 Jul 2019 03:45 Punta Arena Mexico  0.5
23 Jul 2019 03:45 Los Tesos Mexico  0.5
24 Jul 2019 23:00 El Tomale Mexico  0.5
24 Jul 2019 23:00 Agua Fresca Mexico  0.5
24 Jul 2019 23:00 Cunano Mexico  0.5
25 Jul 2019 07:15 Los Inocentes Mexico  0.5
23 Jul 2019 07:15 Los Frailes Mexico  0.5
24 Jul 2019 13:45 Las Palmas Mexico  0.4
23 Jul 2019 19:30 San Jose del Cabo Mexico  0.4
23 Jul 2019 19:30 La Fortuna Mexico  0.4
23 Jul 2019 19:30 El Cardoncito Mexico  0.4
25 Jul 2019 13:15 Todos Santos Mexico  0.3
25 Jul 2019 18:30 San Lucas Mexico  0.2
25 Jul 2019 18:30 El Tule Mexico  0.2
25 Jul 2019 13:15 El Pescadero Mexico  0.2
24 Jul 2019 19:00 La Tinaja Mexico  0.2
24 Jul 2019 19:00 Pozo de Cota Mexico  0.2