Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for ELLIE-22
in Australia
22 Dec 2022 18 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone ELLIE-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries Australia
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 68 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.5 m (22 Dec 17:45 UTC)
Vulnerability Low (Australia)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 68 km/h 0.5 m 589 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 68 km/h 0.5 m 589 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

68 km/h

Up to Few people can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 22 Dec 2022 18:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormAustralia129 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 22 Dec 2022 06:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 22 Dec 2022 12:00 68 -
- - - - - Australia
GREEN 3 22 Dec 2022 18:00 58 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 22 Dec 2022 18:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmAustralia05 
100-250 mmAustralia3,660 
50-100 mmAustralia3,748 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 22 Dec 2022 06:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 22 Dec 2022 12:00 230 Few people
- - - - Australia
Blue 3 22 Dec 2022 18:00 589 2 thousand
- - - Australia




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.5 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.5m in Larrakeyah, Australia. This height is estimated for 22 Dec 2022 17:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 22 Dec 2022 18:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
0.5 - 1.0 mAustralia17 
0.25 - 0.5 mAustralia1,877 

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 22 Dec 2022 18:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
22 Dec 2022 17:45 Larrakeyah Australia  0.5
22 Dec 2022 17:45 Fannie Bay Australia  0.5
22 Dec 2022 17:45 Parap Australia  0.5
22 Dec 2022 17:45 Darwin Australia  0.5
22 Dec 2022 17:45 Nightcliff Australia  0.5
22 Dec 2022 17:45 Ludmilla Australia  0.5
22 Dec 2022 17:45 Bagot Australia  0.5
22 Dec 2022 17:45 Leanyer Australia  0.5
22 Dec 2022 17:45 Knuckeys Lagoon Australia  0.5
22 Dec 2022 17:45 Berrimah Australia  0.5
22 Dec 2022 18:45 The Palms Australia  0.4
22 Dec 2022 17:00 Carrarang Australia  0.4
22 Dec 2022 17:00 Tamala Australia  0.3
24 Dec 2022 12:45 Port Bonython Australia  0.3
24 Dec 2022 12:45 Port Germein Australia  0.3
24 Dec 2022 13:00 Telowie Australia  0.3
24 Dec 2022 13:00 Port Pirie Australia  0.3
24 Dec 2022 13:00 Solomontown Australia  0.3
24 Dec 2022 13:00 Port Davis Australia  0.3
23 Dec 2022 15:15 Whyalla Australia  0.3
23 Dec 2022 09:45 Haslam Australia  0.2
22 Dec 2022 16:45 Kalbarri Australia  0.2
23 Dec 2022 09:45 Streaky Bay Australia  0.2
23 Dec 2022 14:45 Port Broughton Australia  0.2
23 Dec 2022 09:45 Smoky Bay Australia  0.2
23 Dec 2022 09:30 Denial Bay Australia  0.2
23 Dec 2022 09:30 Thevenard Australia  0.2
23 Dec 2022 09:30 Ceduna Australia  0.2
23 Dec 2022 14:15 Tickera Australia  0.2
22 Dec 2022 19:15 Bing Bong Australia  0.2
24 Dec 2022 08:15 Pagatan Indonesia  0.2
24 Dec 2022 08:15 Pematangdoerian Indonesia  0.2
24 Dec 2022 08:15 Semisir Indonesia  0.2
24 Dec 2022 08:15 Tandjungserdang Indonesia  0.2
24 Dec 2022 08:15 Salinau Indonesia  0.2
24 Dec 2022 10:15 Bapuju Indonesia  0.2
24 Dec 2022 10:15 Bahaur Indonesia  0.2
22 Dec 2022 22:15 Gribble Settlement Australia  0.2
23 Dec 2022 09:15 Laura Bay Australia  0.2
25 Dec 2022 10:45 Pagatan Indonesia  0.2
24 Dec 2022 10:15 Pagetan Indonesia  0.2
24 Dec 2022 10:15 Tambakkarangan Indonesia  0.2
24 Dec 2022 10:15 Tabanio Indonesia  0.2
24 Dec 2022 10:15 Bawahalajung Indonesia  0.2
24 Dec 2022 10:00 Kualalupak Indonesia  0.2
24 Dec 2022 10:00 Tamban Indonesia  0.2
24 Dec 2022 10:00 Aluhaluh Indonesia  0.2
23 Dec 2022 12:30 Cowell Australia  0.2
23 Dec 2022 14:00 Wallaroo Australia  0.2
22 Dec 2022 17:15 Minjilang Australia  0.2
23 Dec 2022 13:45 Warburto Australia  0.2
23 Dec 2022 12:30 Port Gibbon Australia  0.2
22 Dec 2022 16:15 Gregory Australia  0.2
24 Dec 2022 08:15 Semaras Indonesia  0.2
22 Dec 2022 16:00 Lynton Australia  0.2
23 Dec 2022 13:45 Port Hughes Australia  0.2
23 Dec 2022 13:45 Port Moonta Australia  0.2
23 Dec 2022 13:45 Moonta Bay Australia  0.2
23 Dec 2022 13:45 Moonta Australia  0.2
24 Dec 2022 10:15 Batakam Indonesia  0.2
24 Dec 2022 10:15 Kandangan Indonesia  0.2
22 Dec 2022 16:00 Horrocks Australia  0.2
25 Dec 2022 11:45 Derby Australia  0.2
22 Dec 2022 21:15 Numbulwar Australia  0.2
22 Dec 2022 17:00 Karumba Australia  0.2
24 Dec 2022 08:00 Tapianbalai Indonesia  0.2
24 Dec 2022 08:00 Okaoka Indonesia  0.2
25 Dec 2022 16:45 Soeam Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 04:15 Drummond Cove Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 04:15 Popes Landing Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 06:30 Matara Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 06:30 Urum Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 06:30 Merauke Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 06:30 Sarire Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 06:30 Daub Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 06:30 Tamarike Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 04:30 Waggrakine Australia  0.1
24 Dec 2022 08:15 Boenati Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 12:45 Arno Bay Australia  0.1
24 Dec 2022 20:15 Wyomi Australia  0.1
24 Dec 2022 20:15 Kingston Australia  0.1
24 Dec 2022 20:15 Kingston SE Australia  0.1
24 Dec 2022 20:15 Rosetown Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 04:30 Geraldton Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 07:30 Kandala Jawal Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 07:30 Wamal Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 07:30 Gelib Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 06:30 Tamerau Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 05:45 Onggalie Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 05:45 Kumbe Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 05:45 Anansai Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 05:45 Wendu Indonesia  0.1
25 Dec 2022 17:00 Heits Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 16:45 Gladstone Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 06:30 Kotad Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 06:30 Dumande Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 06:30 Alatepi Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 04:15 Salebe Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 07:30 Dokib Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 12:30 Port Neill Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 06:30 Moegaigare Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 06:30 Alakoe Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 06:30 Okaba Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 06:30 Kobiem Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 07:00 Barattar Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 04:30 Greenough Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 18:00 Shark Bay Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 18:00 Monkey Mia Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 03:30 Senaking Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 03:30 Sungaianjar Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 08:00 Price Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 08:00 Port Clinton Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 08:00 Port Wakefield Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 08:00 Wakefield Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 08:00 Inkerman Australia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 20:00 Cape York Australia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 20:00 Ok Village Australia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 16:45 Thangoo Australia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 16:45 Broome Australia  0.1
24 Dec 2022 20:15 Salt Creek Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 07:15 Komoran Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 08:00 Ardrossan Australia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 15:15 Denison Australia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 15:15 Port Denison Australia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 15:15 Dongara Australia  0.1
25 Dec 2022 15:15 Eyre Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 07:00 Dodalim Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 07:00 Yulbabuti Indonesia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 19:30 Alyangula Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 07:15 Papisote Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 06:45 Welab Indonesia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 15:30 Cape Cuvier Australia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 15:30 Quobba Australia  0.1
24 Dec 2022 13:45 Masara Indonesia  0.1
24 Dec 2022 13:45 Tioro Indonesia  0.1
24 Dec 2022 13:45 Kembano Indonesia  0.1
24 Dec 2022 13:45 Tampo Indonesia  0.1
24 Dec 2022 13:45 Napabalana Indonesia  0.1
24 Dec 2022 13:45 Bonea Indonesia  0.1
24 Dec 2022 13:45 Koroni Indonesia  0.1
24 Dec 2022 13:45 Lebo Indonesia  0.1
24 Dec 2022 13:45 Bangbong Indonesia  0.1
24 Dec 2022 13:45 Walue Indonesia  0.1
25 Dec 2022 16:15 Taroea Anim Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 06:30 Kondomiraf Indonesia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 18:45 Parham Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 16:15 Useless Loop Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 03:30 Falcon Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 03:30 Mandurah Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 03:30 Peelhurst Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 03:30 Singleton Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 03:30 Karnup Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 13:15 Balgowan Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 04:00 Dalyellup Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 04:00 Bunbury Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 04:00 Picton Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 04:00 Eaton Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 04:00 Australind Australia  0.1
24 Dec 2022 13:30 Pamandali Indonesia  0.1
24 Dec 2022 13:30 Rumba Indonesia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 18:30 Pine Point Australia  0.1
24 Dec 2022 20:00 Woods Well Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 17:45 Hamelin Pool Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 17:45 Hamelin Australia  0.1
25 Dec 2022 15:45 Thundulda Australia  0.1
24 Dec 2022 20:00 Magrath Flat Australia  0.1