Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for ELLIE-22
in Australia
22 Dec 2022 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone ELLIE-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Indonesia, Australia
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 68 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.6 m (23 Dec 12:30 UTC)
Vulnerability Low (Australia)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 68 km/h 0.6 m 146 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 72 km/h 0.5 m 548 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

72 km/h

Up to 220 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 22 Dec 2022 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormIndonesia, Australia217,632
+
Indonesia214,568 
Australia3,063 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 22 Dec 2022 06:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 22 Dec 2022 12:00 79 -
- - - - - Indonesia, Australia
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 22 Dec 2022 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmIndonesia1,997,033 
100-250 mmIndonesia, Papua New Guinea, East Timor, Australia10,667,060
+
Indonesia10,582,571 
Papua New Guinea201 
East Timor37,498 
Australia46,788 
50-100 mmIndonesia, Papua New Guinea, East Timor, Australia15,524,719
+
Indonesia14,363,290 
Papua New Guinea363,307 
East Timor681,978 
Australia116,142 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 22 Dec 2022 06:00 133 Few people
- - - - Papua New Guinea, Australia
Blue 2 22 Dec 2022 12:00 388 12.7 million
- - - Indonesia, Papua New Guinea, East Timor, Australia




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.6 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.6m in Port Bonython, Australia. This height is estimated for 23 Dec 2022 12:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 22 Dec 2022 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
23 Dec 2022 12:30 Port Bonython Australia  0.6
23 Dec 2022 12:30 Port Germein Australia  0.6
23 Dec 2022 12:30 Telowie Australia  0.5
23 Dec 2022 12:45 Port Pirie Australia  0.5
23 Dec 2022 12:45 Solomontown Australia  0.5
23 Dec 2022 12:45 Port Davis Australia  0.5
23 Dec 2022 12:30 Whyalla Australia  0.5
22 Dec 2022 14:30 The Palms Australia  0.4
22 Dec 2022 14:30 Larrakeyah Australia  0.4
22 Dec 2022 14:30 Fannie Bay Australia  0.4
22 Dec 2022 14:30 Parap Australia  0.4
22 Dec 2022 14:30 Darwin Australia  0.4
22 Dec 2022 14:30 Nightcliff Australia  0.4
22 Dec 2022 14:30 Ludmilla Australia  0.4
22 Dec 2022 14:30 Bagot Australia  0.4
22 Dec 2022 14:30 Leanyer Australia  0.4
22 Dec 2022 14:30 Knuckeys Lagoon Australia  0.4
22 Dec 2022 14:30 Berrimah Australia  0.4
22 Dec 2022 12:00 Carrarang Australia  0.4
23 Dec 2022 14:15 Port Broughton Australia  0.4
22 Dec 2022 12:00 Tamala Australia  0.4
22 Dec 2022 13:15 Bing Bong Australia  0.3
23 Dec 2022 13:45 Tickera Australia  0.3
23 Dec 2022 09:45 Kalbarri Australia  0.3
23 Dec 2022 03:45 Haslam Australia  0.3
23 Dec 2022 03:45 Streaky Bay Australia  0.3
23 Dec 2022 13:00 Wallaroo Australia  0.2
22 Dec 2022 12:15 Karumba Australia  0.2
23 Dec 2022 12:45 Warburto Australia  0.2
23 Dec 2022 03:45 Smoky Bay Australia  0.2
22 Dec 2022 12:00 Cowell Australia  0.2
22 Dec 2022 13:00 Price Australia  0.2
22 Dec 2022 13:00 Port Clinton Australia  0.2
22 Dec 2022 13:00 Port Wakefield Australia  0.2
22 Dec 2022 13:00 Wakefield Australia  0.2
22 Dec 2022 13:00 Inkerman Australia  0.2
22 Dec 2022 13:00 Ardrossan Australia  0.2
23 Dec 2022 09:45 Gregory Australia  0.2
23 Dec 2022 12:45 Port Hughes Australia  0.2
23 Dec 2022 12:45 Port Moonta Australia  0.2
23 Dec 2022 12:45 Moonta Bay Australia  0.2
23 Dec 2022 12:45 Moonta Australia  0.2
25 Dec 2022 08:15 Derby Australia  0.2
22 Dec 2022 12:00 Port Gibbon Australia  0.2
23 Dec 2022 10:00 Lynton Australia  0.2
22 Dec 2022 12:45 Parham Australia  0.2
23 Dec 2022 04:45 Numbulwar Australia  0.2
24 Dec 2022 05:15 Wyomi Australia  0.2
24 Dec 2022 05:15 Kingston Australia  0.2
24 Dec 2022 05:15 Kingston SE Australia  0.2
24 Dec 2022 05:15 Rosetown Australia  0.2
22 Dec 2022 16:15 Gribble Settlement Australia  0.2
22 Dec 2022 12:45 Port Prime Australia  0.2
22 Dec 2022 12:30 Pine Point Australia  0.2
22 Dec 2022 12:45 Horrocks Australia  0.2
23 Dec 2022 03:00 Denial Bay Australia  0.2
23 Dec 2022 03:00 Thevenard Australia  0.2
23 Dec 2022 03:00 Ceduna Australia  0.2
24 Dec 2022 04:45 Salt Creek Australia  0.2
24 Dec 2022 16:15 Pagatan Indonesia  0.2
24 Dec 2022 16:15 Pematangdoerian Indonesia  0.2
24 Dec 2022 16:15 Semisir Indonesia  0.2
24 Dec 2022 16:15 Tandjungserdang Indonesia  0.2
24 Dec 2022 16:15 Salinau Indonesia  0.2
22 Dec 2022 12:30 Port Julia Australia  0.2
24 Dec 2022 16:45 Magrath Flat Australia  0.2
24 Dec 2022 16:45 Woods Well Australia  0.2
22 Dec 2022 16:00 Minjilang Australia  0.2
22 Dec 2022 13:00 Drummond Cove Australia  0.2
22 Dec 2022 13:00 Popes Landing Australia  0.2
24 Dec 2022 16:30 Semaras Indonesia  0.2
22 Dec 2022 13:15 Geraldton Australia  0.2
22 Dec 2022 13:15 Waggrakine Australia  0.2
23 Dec 2022 10:30 Arno Bay Australia  0.2
25 Dec 2022 10:45 Salebe Indonesia  0.2
24 Dec 2022 17:00 Boenati Indonesia  0.2
23 Dec 2022 18:15 Tulkineara Australia  0.2
23 Dec 2022 10:15 Port Neill Australia  0.2
23 Dec 2022 04:30 Pagetan Indonesia  0.2
23 Dec 2022 04:30 Tambakkarangan Indonesia  0.2
23 Dec 2022 04:30 Tabanio Indonesia  0.2
23 Dec 2022 04:30 Bawahalajung Indonesia  0.2
22 Dec 2022 13:15 Greenough Australia  0.2
25 Dec 2022 11:45 Modan Indonesia  0.2
23 Dec 2022 18:30 Rupari Australia  0.2
23 Dec 2022 03:15 Laura Bay Australia  0.2
24 Dec 2022 16:00 Port Elliot Australia  0.2
24 Dec 2022 16:00 Middleton Australia  0.2
24 Dec 2022 16:00 Goolwa Australia  0.2
24 Dec 2022 16:00 Hindmarsh Island Australia  0.2
24 Dec 2022 16:30 Tapianbalai Indonesia  0.2
24 Dec 2022 16:30 Okaoka Indonesia  0.2
24 Dec 2022 16:00 Encounter Bay Australia  0.2
24 Dec 2022 16:00 Victor Harbour Australia  0.2
24 Dec 2022 16:00 Hindmarsh Valley Australia  0.2
23 Dec 2022 14:30 Useless Loop Australia  0.2
23 Dec 2022 14:30 Denham Australia  0.2
23 Dec 2022 14:15 Shark Bay Australia  0.2
24 Dec 2022 13:15 Soeam Indonesia  0.1
24 Dec 2022 16:15 Waitpinga Australia  0.1
25 Dec 2022 10:30 Sanindara Indonesia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 12:30 Largs Australia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 12:30 Saint Kilda Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 05:45 Kualalupak Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 05:45 Tamban Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 05:45 Aluhaluh Indonesia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 21:30 Safety Bay Australia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 21:30 Rockingham Australia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 21:30 Warnbro Australia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 21:30 Peelhurst Australia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 21:30 Singleton Australia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 21:30 Karnup Australia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 21:30 Wattleup Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 11:00 Carnarvon Australia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 12:00 Learmonth Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 01:45 Kandala Jawal Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 01:45 Wamal Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 01:45 Gelib Indonesia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 12:15 Port Vincent Australia  0.1
24 Dec 2022 12:45 Heits Indonesia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 15:30 Alyangula Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 13:15 Hamelin Pool Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 13:15 Hamelin Australia  0.1
25 Dec 2022 11:00 Agatebi Indonesia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 19:45 Wangary Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 01:45 Dokib Indonesia  0.1
24 Dec 2022 12:30 Taroea Anim Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 00:00 Fremantle Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 00:00 North Fremantle Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 00:00 Mosman Park Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 00:00 Cottesloe Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 00:00 East Fremantle Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 00:00 Coogee Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 00:00 Peppermint Grove Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 00:00 Swanbourne Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 00:00 Claremont Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 00:00 Spearwood Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 00:00 Bicton Australia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 12:15 Semaphore Australia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 12:15 Birkenhead Australia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 12:15 Port Adelaide Australia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 12:15 Seaton Australia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 12:15 Finsbury Australia  0.1
25 Dec 2022 09:15 Eyre Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 05:15 North Shields Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 05:15 Poonindie Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 05:15 Louth Bay Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 05:15 Tumby Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 05:15 Tumby Bay Australia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 21:45 Falcon Australia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 21:45 Mandurah Australia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 23:30 Quinns Rock Australia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 23:30 Mullalloo Beach Australia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 23:30 North Beach Australia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 23:30 Scarborough Australia  0.1
24 Dec 2022 14:30 Pagatan Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 17:30 Onggalie Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 17:30 Kumbe Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 17:30 Anansai Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 17:30 Wendu Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 17:30 Matara Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 17:30 Urum Indonesia  0.1
24 Dec 2022 17:30 Batakam Indonesia  0.1
24 Dec 2022 17:30 Kandangan Indonesia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 13:45 Denison Australia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 13:45 Port Denison Australia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 13:45 Dongara Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 17:45 Merauke Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 17:45 Sarire Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 17:45 Daub Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 17:45 Tamarike Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 17:15 Alatepi Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 17:15 Kotad Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 17:15 Dumande Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 17:00 Kobiem Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 17:00 Okaba Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 17:00 Moegaigare Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 17:00 Alakoe Indonesia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 16:45 Balgowan Australia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 23:30 Guilderton Australia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 23:30 Two Rocks Australia  0.1
24 Dec 2022 17:00 Sawarangan Indonesia  0.1
24 Dec 2022 15:45 Rapid Bay Australia  0.1
24 Dec 2022 15:45 Second Valley Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 05:15 Port Lincoln Australia  0.1
24 Dec 2022 14:00 Senaking Indonesia  0.1
24 Dec 2022 14:00 Sungaianjar Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 05:15 Tulka Australia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 12:00 Broome Australia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 12:00 Thangoo Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 17:30 Monkey Mia Australia  0.1
25 Dec 2022 11:45 Sajengga Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 02:00 Dodalim Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 02:00 Yulbabuti Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 01:45 Komoran Indonesia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 23:30 Lancelin Australia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 23:15 Cervantes Australia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 23:30 Yanchep Australia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 23:30 Seabird Australia  0.1
25 Dec 2022 09:15 Thundulda Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 14:00 Birab Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 02:00 Papisote Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 17:00 Welab Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 17:45 Tamerau Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 13:45 Per Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 13:45 Amborip Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 13:45 Biwarlaut Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 13:45 Jow Indonesia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 14:15 Grange Australia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 14:15 Glenelg Australia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 14:15 Brighton Australia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 14:15 Somerton Australia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 14:15 Oaklands Australia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 14:15 Sturt Australia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 14:15 Darlington Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 14:15 Otsjanep Indonesia  0.1
25 Dec 2022 11:30 Sakaoeni Indonesia  0.1
24 Dec 2022 15:45 Bapuju Indonesia  0.1
24 Dec 2022 15:45 Bahaur Indonesia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 14:30 Marino Australia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 14:30 Halletts Cove Australia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 14:30 Kingston Park Australia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 14:30 Seacliff Australia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 14:30 Seaview Australia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 22:15 Binningup Australia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 22:15 Myalup Australia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 22:15 Burragenup Australia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 12:30 Stansbury Australia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 22:45 Jurien Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 22:30 Coobowie Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 22:30 Edithburgh Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 22:30 Wool Bay Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 12:00 Jara Papua New Guinea  0.1
23 Dec 2022 12:00 Mari Papua New Guinea  0.1
22 Dec 2022 14:30 Deeral Australia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 14:30 Bellenden Ker Australia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 14:30 Port Noarlunga Australia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 14:30 Noarlunga Australia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 14:45 Moana Australia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 14:45 Seaford Australia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 23:15 Green Head Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 12:00 Tais Papua New Guinea  0.1
23 Dec 2022 14:30 Jofar Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 14:30 Agats Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 10:15 Gladstone Australia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 13:00 Dalyellup Australia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 13:00 Bunbury Australia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 13:00 Picton Australia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 13:00 Eaton Australia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 13:00 Australind Australia  0.1
24 Dec 2022 13:15 Langadai Indonesia  0.1
24 Dec 2022 13:15 Sembelimbingan Indonesia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 14:45 Port Willunga Australia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 14:45 Aldinga Australia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 16:45 Red Cliffs Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 15:45 Nanga Australia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 14:30 Innisfail Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 06:45 Mirobia Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 06:45 Obia Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 06:45 Ibonma Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 06:45 Bahomia Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 06:45 Maiwawa Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 06:45 Djokdjoh Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 06:45 Namasan Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 06:45 Utarom Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 02:30 North Cape Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 02:30 Kingscote Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 02:30 Muston Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 02:30 American River Australia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 14:45 Silver Sands Australia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 14:45 Sellicks Hill Australia  0.1