Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for ELLIE-22
in Australia
23 Dec 2022 06 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone ELLIE-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Indonesia
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 61 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.5 m (23 Dec 12:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Low (Australia)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 61 km/h 0.5 m 93 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 72 km/h 0.5 m 548 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

72 km/h

Up to 100 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 23 Dec 2022 06:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormIndonesia100,572 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 22 Dec 2022 06:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 22 Dec 2022 12:00 68 -
- - - - - Australia
GREEN 3 22 Dec 2022 18:00 72 -
- - - - - Australia
GREEN 4 23 Dec 2022 00:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 23 Dec 2022 06:00 68 -
- - - - - Indonesia
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 23 Dec 2022 06:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmAustralia4,705 
100-250 mmIndonesia, Papua New Guinea, Australia15,428,203
+
Indonesia15,237,569 
Papua New Guinea180,823 
Australia9,810 
50-100 mmIndonesia, Papua New Guinea, East Timor, Australia11,329,091
+
Indonesia10,525,810 
Papua New Guinea647,424 
East Timor145,825 
Australia10,031 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 22 Dec 2022 06:00 133 Few people
- - - - Papua New Guinea, Australia
Blue 2 22 Dec 2022 12:00 146 Few people
- - - - Australia
Blue 3 22 Dec 2022 18:00 101 -
- - - - - Australia
Blue 4 23 Dec 2022 00:00 127 -
- - - - - Australia
Blue 5 23 Dec 2022 06:00 520 15.4 million
- - - Indonesia, Papua New Guinea, East Timor, Australia




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

0.5 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.5m in Port Bonython, Australia. This height is estimated for 23 Dec 2022 12:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 23 Dec 2022 06:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
23 Dec 2022 12:00 Port Bonython Australia  0.5
23 Dec 2022 12:00 Port Germein Australia  0.5
23 Dec 2022 12:00 Telowie Australia  0.5
23 Dec 2022 12:00 Port Pirie Australia  0.5
23 Dec 2022 12:00 Solomontown Australia  0.5
23 Dec 2022 12:00 Port Davis Australia  0.5
23 Dec 2022 12:00 Whyalla Australia  0.5
23 Dec 2022 09:45 Carrarang Australia  0.4
23 Dec 2022 10:00 Tamala Australia  0.3
23 Dec 2022 11:00 Port Broughton Australia  0.3
23 Dec 2022 10:15 Kalbarri Australia  0.3
23 Dec 2022 11:15 The Palms Australia  0.3
23 Dec 2022 11:15 Larrakeyah Australia  0.3
23 Dec 2022 11:15 Fannie Bay Australia  0.3
23 Dec 2022 11:15 Parap Australia  0.3
23 Dec 2022 11:15 Darwin Australia  0.3
23 Dec 2022 11:15 Nightcliff Australia  0.3
23 Dec 2022 11:15 Ludmilla Australia  0.3
23 Dec 2022 11:15 Bagot Australia  0.3
23 Dec 2022 11:15 Leanyer Australia  0.3
23 Dec 2022 11:15 Knuckeys Lagoon Australia  0.3
23 Dec 2022 11:15 Berrimah Australia  0.3
23 Dec 2022 12:00 Tickera Australia  0.2
23 Dec 2022 12:00 Wallaroo Australia  0.2
23 Dec 2022 11:45 Cowell Australia  0.2
23 Dec 2022 06:00 Bing Bong Australia  0.2
23 Dec 2022 09:45 Gregory Australia  0.2
23 Dec 2022 12:00 Warburto Australia  0.2
23 Dec 2022 11:00 Hamelin Pool Australia  0.2
23 Dec 2022 11:00 Hamelin Australia  0.2
23 Dec 2022 10:00 Lynton Australia  0.2
23 Dec 2022 11:30 Port Gibbon Australia  0.2
23 Dec 2022 09:15 Shark Bay Australia  0.2
23 Dec 2022 09:15 Monkey Mia Australia  0.2
23 Dec 2022 12:00 Price Australia  0.2
23 Dec 2022 12:00 Port Clinton Australia  0.2
23 Dec 2022 12:00 Port Wakefield Australia  0.2
23 Dec 2022 12:00 Wakefield Australia  0.2
23 Dec 2022 12:00 Inkerman Australia  0.2
23 Dec 2022 12:00 Port Hughes Australia  0.2
23 Dec 2022 12:00 Port Moonta Australia  0.2
23 Dec 2022 12:00 Moonta Bay Australia  0.2
23 Dec 2022 12:00 Moonta Australia  0.2
23 Dec 2022 12:00 Ardrossan Australia  0.2
23 Dec 2022 11:00 Useless Loop Australia  0.2
23 Dec 2022 12:00 Parham Australia  0.2
23 Dec 2022 10:15 Horrocks Australia  0.2
23 Dec 2022 10:45 Arno Bay Australia  0.2
23 Dec 2022 12:00 Port Prime Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 12:00 Pine Point Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 06:00 Numbulwar Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 07:00 Wyomi Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 07:00 Kingston Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 07:00 Kingston SE Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 07:00 Rosetown Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 11:45 Salebe Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 10:15 Port Neill Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 10:45 Carnarvon Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 08:00 Salt Creek Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 08:00 Magrath Flat Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 08:00 Woods Well Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 09:30 Gladstone Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 11:45 Port Julia Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 06:45 Port Elliot Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 06:45 Middleton Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 06:45 Goolwa Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 06:45 Hindmarsh Island Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 09:00 Pagatan Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 09:00 Pematangdoerian Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 09:00 Semisir Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 09:00 Tandjungserdang Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 09:00 Salinau Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 06:30 Encounter Bay Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 06:30 Victor Harbour Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 06:30 Hindmarsh Valley Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 06:00 Kualalupak Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 06:00 Tamban Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 06:00 Aluhaluh Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 06:00 Tambakkarangan Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 09:00 Denham Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 06:00 Karumba Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 12:00 Denial Bay Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 12:00 Thevenard Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 12:00 Ceduna Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 07:00 Tulkineara Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 07:00 Rupari Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 06:00 Pagetan Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 06:00 Tabanio Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 06:00 Bawahalajung Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 12:00 Nanga Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 11:45 Modan Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 06:45 Waitpinga Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 09:30 Sanindara Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 12:00 Soeam Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 10:15 Tumby Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 10:15 Tumby Bay Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 10:00 Drummond Cove Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 10:00 Popes Landing Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 07:30 Minjilang Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 06:00 Alyangula Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 06:30 Dalyellup Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 06:30 Bunbury Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 06:30 Binningup Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 06:30 Myalup Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 06:30 Picton Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 06:30 Eaton Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 06:30 Burragenup Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 06:30 Australind Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 12:00 Jara Papua New Guinea  0.1
23 Dec 2022 12:00 Mari Papua New Guinea  0.1
23 Dec 2022 08:30 Balgowan Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 06:45 Mirobia Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 06:45 Obia Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 06:45 Ibonma Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 06:45 Bahomia Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 06:45 Maiwawa Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 06:45 Djokdjoh Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 06:45 Namasan Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 06:45 Utarom Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 12:00 Tais Papua New Guinea  0.1
23 Dec 2022 10:45 Masara Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 10:45 Tioro Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 10:45 Kembano Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 10:45 Tampo Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 10:45 Napabalana Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 10:45 Bonea Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 10:45 Koroni Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 10:45 Lebo Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 10:45 Bangbong Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 10:45 Walue Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 09:45 Waggrakine Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 09:30 Agatebi Indonesia  0.1