Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for WANDA-21
Off-shore
08 Nov 2021 06 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone WANDA-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Ireland, United Kingdom, Isle of Man, Guernsey, Jersey, France, Spain, Morocco
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 104 km/h
Maximum storm surge 1.9 m (31 Oct 11:00 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 104 km/h 1.9 m 248 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 104 km/h 1.9 m 248 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

104 km/h

Up to 2.3 million can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 08 Nov 2021 06:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormIreland, United Kingdom, Isle of Man, Guernsey, Jersey, France, Spain, Morocco2,314,817
+
Ireland188,134 
United Kingdom1,733,455 
Isle of Man30,328 
Guernsey63,138 
Jersey33,448 
France244,231 
Spain19,495 
Morocco2,584 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 31 Oct 2021 00:00 94 -
- - - - - United Kingdom, Ireland, France
GREEN 2 31 Oct 2021 06:00 94 -
- - - - - United Kingdom, Isle of Man, Ireland, Guernsey, Jersey, France
GREEN 3 31 Oct 2021 12:00 90 -
- - - - - Ireland, United Kingdom
GREEN 4 31 Oct 2021 18:00 83 -
- - - - - Ireland, United Kingdom
GREEN 5 01 Nov 2021 00:00 72 -
- - - - - Ireland, United Kingdom, Isle of Man
GREEN 6 01 Nov 2021 06:00 72 -
- - - - - United Kingdom, Isle of Man
GREEN 7 01 Nov 2021 12:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 01 Nov 2021 18:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 02 Nov 2021 00:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 02 Nov 2021 06:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 02 Nov 2021 12:00 83 -
- - - - - Spain
GREEN 12 02 Nov 2021 18:00 68 -
- - - - - Spain
GREEN 13 03 Nov 2021 00:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 03 Nov 2021 06:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 03 Nov 2021 12:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 03 Nov 2021 18:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 17 04 Nov 2021 00:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 18 04 Nov 2021 06:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 19 04 Nov 2021 12:00 76 -
- - - - - Morocco
GREEN 20 04 Nov 2021 18:00 76 -
- - - - - Morocco
GREEN 21 05 Nov 2021 00:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 22 05 Nov 2021 06:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 23 05 Nov 2021 12:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 24 05 Nov 2021 18:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 25 06 Nov 2021 00:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 26 06 Nov 2021 06:00 86 -
- - - - - Ireland
GREEN 27 06 Nov 2021 12:00 83 -
- - - - - United Kingdom
GREEN 28 06 Nov 2021 18:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 29 07 Nov 2021 00:00 86 -
- - - - - United Kingdom, Morocco
GREEN 30 07 Nov 2021 06:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 31 07 Nov 2021 12:00 104 - - - - - - -
GREEN 32 07 Nov 2021 18:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 33 08 Nov 2021 00:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 34 08 Nov 2021 06:00 104 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 08 Nov 2021 06:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmSpain, Portugal454,866
+
Spain413,225 
Portugal41,640 
50-100 mmIreland, United Kingdom, Jersey, France, Spain, Portugal12,547,604
+
Ireland329,547 
United Kingdom4,962,895 
Jersey99,895 
France180,343 
Spain3,823,773 
Portugal3,151,148 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 31 Oct 2021 00:00 79 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 31 Oct 2021 06:00 71 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 31 Oct 2021 12:00 64 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 31 Oct 2021 18:00 51 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 01 Nov 2021 00:00 62 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 01 Nov 2021 06:00 57 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 01 Nov 2021 12:00 43 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 01 Nov 2021 18:00 74 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 02 Nov 2021 00:00 74 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 02 Nov 2021 06:00 64 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 02 Nov 2021 12:00 50 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 02 Nov 2021 18:00 63 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 03 Nov 2021 00:00 42 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 03 Nov 2021 06:00 43 - - - - - - -
Blue 15 03 Nov 2021 12:00 51 - - - - - - -
Blue 16 03 Nov 2021 18:00 42 - - - - - - -
Blue 17 04 Nov 2021 00:00 64 - - - - - - -
Blue 18 04 Nov 2021 06:00 52 - - - - - - -
Blue 19 04 Nov 2021 12:00 60 - - - - - - -
Blue 20 04 Nov 2021 18:00 87 - - - - - - -
Blue 21 05 Nov 2021 00:00 64 - - - - - - -
Blue 22 05 Nov 2021 06:00 44 - - - - - - -
Blue 23 05 Nov 2021 12:00 30 - - - - - - -
Blue 24 05 Nov 2021 18:00 94 - - - - - - -
Blue 25 06 Nov 2021 00:00 54 - - - - - - -
Blue 26 06 Nov 2021 06:00 68 - - - - - - -
Blue 27 06 Nov 2021 12:00 55 - - - - - - -
Blue 28 06 Nov 2021 18:00 40 - - - - - - -
Blue 29 07 Nov 2021 00:00 42 - - - - - - -
Blue 30 07 Nov 2021 06:00 42 - - - - - - -
Blue 31 07 Nov 2021 12:00 71 - - - - - - -
Blue 32 07 Nov 2021 18:00 67 - - - - - - -
Blue 33 08 Nov 2021 00:00 53 - - - - - - -
Blue 34 08 Nov 2021 06:00 167 -
- - - - - Portugal




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

1.9 m

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 08 Nov 2021 06:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
1.0 - 2.0 mIreland, United Kingdom, Isle of Man, Canada, Guernsey, Jersey, France, Morocco417,166
+
Ireland121,844 
United Kingdom246,089 
Isle of Man4,315 
Canada2,360 
Guernsey11,164 
Jersey130 
France29,995 
Morocco1,265 
0.5 - 1.0 mUnited Kingdom, Ireland, Canada, France, Morocco157,469
+
Ireland19,646 
United Kingdom62,382 
Canada7,877 
France65,742 
Morocco1,820 
0.25 - 0.5 mUnited Kingdom, Ireland, Canada, France, Spain, Portugal, Morocco, Western Sahara323,188
+
Ireland14,768 
United Kingdom2,821 
Canada2,292 
France1,878 
Spain250,329 
Portugal41,425 
Morocco9,526 
Western Sahara145 

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 08 Nov 2021 06:00 UTC