Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for WANDA-21
Off-shore

Impact

Tropical Cyclone WANDA-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 101 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.7 m (08 Nov 02:30 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 101 km/h 0.7 m 78 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 94 km/h 2.2 m 407 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

94 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 07 Nov 2021 12:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 30 Oct 2021 12:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 31 Oct 2021 00:00 101 -
- - - - - Ireland, United Kingdom, Guernsey, France
GREEN 3 31 Oct 2021 12:00 83 -
- - - - - Ireland, United Kingdom
GREEN 4 01 Nov 2021 00:00 68 -
- - - - - Ireland, United Kingdom
GREEN 5 01 Nov 2021 12:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 02 Nov 2021 00:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 02 Nov 2021 12:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 03 Nov 2021 00:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 03 Nov 2021 12:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 04 Nov 2021 00:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 04 Nov 2021 12:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 05 Nov 2021 00:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 05 Nov 2021 12:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 06 Nov 2021 00:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 06 Nov 2021 12:00 79 -
- - - - - United Kingdom
GREEN 16 07 Nov 2021 00:00 94 -
- - - - - United Kingdom
GREEN 17 07 Nov 2021 12:00 101 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 07 Nov 2021 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
50-100 mmPortugal40,359 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 30 Oct 2021 12:00 75 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 31 Oct 2021 00:00 77 -
- - - - - Portugal
Blue 3 31 Oct 2021 12:00 75 -
- - - - - Spain
Blue 4 01 Nov 2021 00:00 71 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 01 Nov 2021 12:00 72 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 02 Nov 2021 00:00 81 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 02 Nov 2021 12:00 79 -
- - - - - Spain
Blue 8 03 Nov 2021 00:00 60 -
- - - - - Portugal
Blue 9 03 Nov 2021 12:00 64 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 04 Nov 2021 00:00 98 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 04 Nov 2021 12:00 129 -
- - - - - Spain
Blue 12 05 Nov 2021 00:00 82 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 05 Nov 2021 12:00 86 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 06 Nov 2021 00:00 82 - - - - - - -
Blue 15 06 Nov 2021 12:00 87 - - - - - - -
Blue 16 07 Nov 2021 00:00 45 - - - - - - -
Blue 17 07 Nov 2021 12:00 154 -
- - - - - Portugal




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

0.7 m

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 07 Nov 2021 12:00 UTC