Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for VERNON-22
Off-shore
04 Mar 2022 06 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone VERNON-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 151 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.6 m (07 Mar 01:30 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 151 km/h 0.6 m 593 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 151 km/h 0.6 m 593 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 04 Mar 2022 06:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 25 Feb 2022 06:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 25 Feb 2022 12:00 137 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 25 Feb 2022 18:00 133 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 26 Feb 2022 00:00 137 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 26 Feb 2022 06:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 26 Feb 2022 12:00 140 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 26 Feb 2022 18:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 27 Feb 2022 00:00 151 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 27 Feb 2022 06:00 144 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 27 Feb 2022 12:00 140 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 27 Feb 2022 18:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 28 Feb 2022 00:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 28 Feb 2022 06:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 28 Feb 2022 12:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 28 Feb 2022 18:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 01 Mar 2022 00:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 17 01 Mar 2022 06:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 18 01 Mar 2022 12:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 19 01 Mar 2022 18:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 20 02 Mar 2022 00:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 21 02 Mar 2022 06:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 22 02 Mar 2022 12:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 23 02 Mar 2022 18:00 112 - - - - - - -
GREEN 24 03 Mar 2022 00:00 112 - - - - - - -
GREEN 25 03 Mar 2022 06:00 112 - - - - - - -
GREEN 26 03 Mar 2022 12:00 104 - - - - - - -
GREEN 27 03 Mar 2022 18:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 28 04 Mar 2022 00:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 29 04 Mar 2022 06:00 104 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall

593 mm

Up to 12.3 million can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 04 Mar 2022 06:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmIndonesia, Christmas Island, Cocos Islands12,265,467
+
Indonesia12,262,540 
Christmas Island2,308 
Cocos Islands618 
50-100 mmIndonesia20,274,553 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 25 Feb 2022 06:00 123 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 25 Feb 2022 12:00 99 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 25 Feb 2022 18:00 129 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 26 Feb 2022 00:00 103 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 26 Feb 2022 06:00 87 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 26 Feb 2022 12:00 137 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 26 Feb 2022 18:00 174 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 27 Feb 2022 00:00 271 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 27 Feb 2022 06:00 259 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 27 Feb 2022 12:00 133 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 27 Feb 2022 18:00 136 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 28 Feb 2022 00:00 173 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 28 Feb 2022 06:00 154 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 28 Feb 2022 12:00 98 - - - - - - -
Blue 15 28 Feb 2022 18:00 104 - - - - - - -
Blue 16 01 Mar 2022 00:00 152 - - - - - - -
Blue 17 01 Mar 2022 06:00 166 - - - - - - -
Blue 18 01 Mar 2022 12:00 131 - - - - - - -
Blue 19 01 Mar 2022 18:00 155 - - - - - - -
Blue 20 02 Mar 2022 00:00 112 - - - - - - -
Blue 21 02 Mar 2022 06:00 106 - - - - - - -
Blue 22 02 Mar 2022 12:00 100 - - - - - - -
Blue 23 02 Mar 2022 18:00 107 - - - - - - -
Blue 24 03 Mar 2022 00:00 99 - - - - - - -
Blue 25 03 Mar 2022 06:00 110 - - - - - - -
Blue 26 03 Mar 2022 12:00 107 - - - - - - -
Blue 27 03 Mar 2022 18:00 61 - - - - - - -
Blue 28 04 Mar 2022 00:00 109 - - - - - - -
Blue 29 04 Mar 2022 06:00 271 -
- - - - - Indonesia




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

125825000 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  943835.0m in Jawa Barat, Jawa (Java) Cilancang, Indonesia. This height is estimated for 04/03/2022 15:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 0.25m) based on the bulletin of 04 Mar 2022 06:00 UTC

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 04 Mar 2022 06:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
04/03/2022 15:00 Jawa Barat, Jawa (Java) Cilancang Indonesia  943835.0
06/03/2022 22:00 , Diego Garcia East Point Plantation British Indian Ocean Territory  29665.1
07/03/2022 02:00 , Diego Garcia Point Marianne British Indian Ocean Territory  29473.2