Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for NORU-22
in Viet Nam, Laos, Philippines
28 Sep 2022 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone NORU-22 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries Japan, Vietnam, Paracel Islands, Philippines
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 112 km/h
Maximum storm surge 1.0 m (28 Sep 12:15 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Vietnam)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 112 km/h 1.0 m 634 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 112 km/h 1.0 m 634 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

112 km/h

Up to 1.1 million can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 28 Sep 2022 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormJapan, Vietnam, Paracel Islands, Philippines1,117,237
+
Japan3,544 
Vietnam55,905 
Paracel Islands455 
Philippines1,057,331 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 21 Sep 2022 12:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 22 Sep 2022 00:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 22 Sep 2022 12:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 23 Sep 2022 00:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 23 Sep 2022 12:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 24 Sep 2022 00:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 24 Sep 2022 12:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 25 Sep 2022 00:00 130 -
- - - - - Philippines
GREEN 9 25 Sep 2022 12:00 112 -
- - - - - Philippines
GREEN 10 26 Sep 2022 00:00 94 -
- - - - - Japan
GREEN 11 26 Sep 2022 12:00 97 -
- - - - - Japan, Paracel Islands
GREEN 12 27 Sep 2022 00:00 101 -
- - - - - Japan, Paracel Islands, Vietnam
GREEN 13 27 Sep 2022 12:00 90 -
- - - - - Vietnam, Paracel Islands
GREEN 14 28 Sep 2022 00:00 122 -
- - - - - Vietnam
GREEN 15 28 Sep 2022 12:00 112 -
- - - - - Japan
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 28 Sep 2022 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
500-750 mmIndia, Myanmar, Vietnam, Laos, Paracel Islands17,271
+
India723 
Vietnam5,446 
Laos11,064 
Paracel Islands36 
250-500 mmChina, India, Myanmar, Vietnam, Thailand, Laos, Paracel Islands, Philippines, Cambodia, Indonesia26,976,343
+
China7,688 
India114,622 
Myanmar2,393,387 
Vietnam13,364,015 
Laos1,114,699 
Thailand5,211,449 
Philippines4,343,261 
Paracel Islands197 
Cambodia320,687 
Indonesia106,335 
100-250 mmJapan, China, India, Myanmar, Taiwan, Vietnam, Laos, Thailand, Philippines, Paracel Islands, Cambodia, Northern Mariana Islands, Guam, Micronesia, Palau, Malaysia, Indonesia, Brunei271,938,572
+
China16,645,663 
Japan290,361 
India3,283,042 
Myanmar35,151,788 
Taiwan280,647 
Vietnam72,163,564 
Laos3,753,989 
Thailand54,892,576 
Philippines55,646,643 
Paracel Islands221 
Northern Mariana Islands278 
Cambodia14,357,516 
Guam92,768 
Micronesia11,686 
Palau21,052 
Malaysia4,720,957 
Indonesia10,620,503 
Brunei5,309 
50-100 mmChina, Japan, India, Myanmar, Taiwan, Vietnam, Hong Kong, Macao, Laos, Thailand, Philippines, Northern Mariana Islands, Guam, Cambodia, Micronesia, Malaysia, Indonesia, Palau, Brunei200,188,345
+
China111,421,683 
Japan2,704,829 
India4,001,895 
Myanmar9,754,424 
Taiwan191,402 
Vietnam5,333,633 
Hong Kong204,062 
Macao579,652 
Laos1,075,574 
Thailand4,809,468 
Philippines35,101,138 
Northern Mariana Islands54,791 
Cambodia852,789 
Guam77,116 
Micronesia86 
Palau238 
Malaysia18,878,859 
Indonesia4,755,298 
Brunei391,400 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 21 Sep 2022 12:00 244 -
- - - - - India, Myanmar
Blue 2 22 Sep 2022 00:00 81 -
- - - - - India, Myanmar, Laos, Vietnam
Blue 3 22 Sep 2022 12:00 305 4 thousand
- - - Japan, China, India, Paracel Islands, Brunei
Blue 4 23 Sep 2022 00:00 168 2 thousand
- - - - Japan, China, India, Laos, Thailand, Philippines
Blue 5 23 Sep 2022 12:00 187 20 thousand
- - - - China, India, Myanmar, Vietnam, Laos, Thailand
Blue 6 24 Sep 2022 00:00 115 -
- - - - - India, Taiwan, Vietnam, Laos, Philippines
Blue 7 24 Sep 2022 12:00 114 Few people
- - - - India, Myanmar, China, Taiwan, Vietnam, Laos, Thailand
Blue 8 25 Sep 2022 00:00 318 450 thousand
- - - India, Taiwan, Myanmar, Philippines
Blue 9 25 Sep 2022 12:00 217 4.4 million
- - - - Myanmar, Thailand, Philippines
Blue 10 26 Sep 2022 00:00 163 Few people
- - - - Myanmar, Philippines, Malaysia
Blue 11 26 Sep 2022 12:00 197 260 thousand
- - - - Myanmar, Thailand, Paracel Islands, Philippines
Blue 12 27 Sep 2022 00:00 232 30 thousand
- - - - Japan, China, Vietnam, Paracel Islands, Philippines, Indonesia
Blue 13 27 Sep 2022 12:00 268 3.3 million
- - - Japan, China, Vietnam, Laos, Cambodia, Indonesia
Blue 14 28 Sep 2022 00:00 347 360 thousand
- - - Vietnam, Laos, Thailand, Cambodia, Malaysia
Blue 15 28 Sep 2022 12:00 577 20.5 million
- - - China, India, Myanmar, Japan, Vietnam, Macao, Hong Kong, Laos, Thailand, Philippines, Cambodia, Malaysia, Indonesia




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

1 m

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 28 Sep 2022 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
1.0 - 2.0 mVietnam52,777 
0.5 - 1.0 mChina, Vietnam2,671,342
+
China1,524,187 
Vietnam1,147,154 
0.25 - 0.5 mChina, Japan, Taiwan, Hong Kong, Macao, Vietnam, Philippines, Cambodia, Malaysia5,479,940
+
China4,348,168 
Japan231,208 
Taiwan5,099 
Hong Kong150,212 
Macao37,408 
Vietnam581,601 
Philippines107,254 
Cambodia18,433 
Malaysia552 

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 28 Sep 2022 12:00 UTC