Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for DARIAN-22
Off-shore
31 Dec 2022 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone DARIAN-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries Indonesia
Exposed population 10 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 65 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.7 m (18 Dec 21:00 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 65 km/h 0.7 m 221 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 65 km/h 0.7 m 221 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

65 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 31 Dec 2022 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
CAT. 5Indonesia8,335 
CAT. 4Indonesia1,154 
CAT. 3Indonesia697 
CAT. 2Indonesia78 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 17 Dec 2022 12:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 18 Dec 2022 00:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 18 Dec 2022 12:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 19 Dec 2022 00:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 19 Dec 2022 12:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 20 Dec 2022 00:00 112 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 20 Dec 2022 12:00 130 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 21 Dec 2022 00:00 119 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 21 Dec 2022 12:00 144 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 22 Dec 2022 00:00 133 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 22 Dec 2022 12:00 133 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 23 Dec 2022 00:00 137 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 23 Dec 2022 12:00 158 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 24 Dec 2022 00:00 169 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 24 Dec 2022 12:00 166 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 25 Dec 2022 00:00 140 - - - - - - -
GREEN 17 25 Dec 2022 12:00 - - - - - - - -
GREEN 18 26 Dec 2022 00:00 137 - - - - - - -
GREEN 19 26 Dec 2022 12:00 130 - - - - - - -
GREEN 20 27 Dec 2022 00:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 21 27 Dec 2022 12:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 22 28 Dec 2022 00:00 - - - - - - - -
GREEN 23 28 Dec 2022 12:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 24 29 Dec 2022 00:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 25 29 Dec 2022 12:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 26 30 Dec 2022 00:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 27 30 Dec 2022 12:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 28 31 Dec 2022 00:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 29 31 Dec 2022 12:00 65 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 31 Dec 2022 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmIndonesia, Cocos Islands1,124,052
+
Indonesia1,123,433 
Cocos Islands618 
50-100 mmIndonesia, Mauritius873,126
+
Indonesia388,228 
Mauritius484,898 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 17 Dec 2022 12:00 128 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 18 Dec 2022 00:00 174 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 18 Dec 2022 12:00 96 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 19 Dec 2022 00:00 231 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 19 Dec 2022 12:00 220 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 20 Dec 2022 00:00 263 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 20 Dec 2022 12:00 311 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 21 Dec 2022 00:00 154 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 21 Dec 2022 12:00 164 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 22 Dec 2022 00:00 268 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 22 Dec 2022 12:00 278 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 23 Dec 2022 00:00 375 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 23 Dec 2022 12:00 330 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 24 Dec 2022 00:00 283 - - - - - - -
Blue 15 24 Dec 2022 12:00 291 - - - - - - -
Blue 16 25 Dec 2022 00:00 320 - - - - - - -
Blue 17 25 Dec 2022 12:00 339 - - - - - - -
Blue 18 26 Dec 2022 00:00 262 - - - - - - -
Blue 19 26 Dec 2022 12:00 140 - - - - - - -
Blue 20 27 Dec 2022 00:00 148 - - - - - - -
Blue 21 27 Dec 2022 12:00 105 - - - - - - -
Blue 22 28 Dec 2022 00:00 73 - - - - - - -
Blue 23 28 Dec 2022 12:00 100 - - - - - - -
Blue 24 29 Dec 2022 00:00 58 - - - - - - -
Blue 25 29 Dec 2022 12:00 103 - - - - - - -
Blue 26 30 Dec 2022 00:00 115 - - - - - - -
Blue 27 30 Dec 2022 12:00 84 - - - - - - -
Blue 28 31 Dec 2022 00:00 88 - - - - - - -
Blue 29 31 Dec 2022 12:00 221 -
- - - - - Indonesia




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

0.7 m

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 31 Dec 2022 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
0.5 - 1.0 mIndonesia4,556 
0.25 - 0.5 mIndonesia73 

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 31 Dec 2022 12:00 UTC