Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for TERESA-21
Off-shore

Global Telecommunication Service

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Original Message :

WTNT44 KNHC 252044
TCDAT4

Post-Tropical Cyclone Teresa Discussion Number 5
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL192021
500 PM AST Sat Sep 25 2021

Teresa has continued to consist of just a swirl of low-level clouds
since last night. Although a convective band persists a couple
hundred miles northeast of the low center, the system no longer
meets the definition of a tropical cyclone. Strong
west-southwesterly wind shear should prevent any regeneration of
convection near the center. All of the global models show the
remnant low degenerating into an open trough by Sunday morning.

Teresa has been moving eastward or 090/4 kt during the past 12
hours. A turn to the northeast is expected within the next couple
of hours as the cyclone moves in the southwesterly flow ahead of a
deep-layer trough. The northeastward motion should continue until
the low dissipates Sunday morning.

Additional information on Post-Tropical Cyclone Teresa can be found
in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under
AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at
ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 25/2100Z 34.4N 64.3W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
12H 26/0600Z 35.7N 63.2W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
24H 26/1800Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Hagen/Latto

>

Original Message :

WTNT34 KNHC 252041
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
Post-Tropical Cyclone Teresa Advisory Number 5
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL192021
500 PM AST Sat Sep 25 2021

...TERESA DEGENERATES INTO A REMNANT LOW...
...THIS IS THE FINAL ADVISORY...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...34.4N 64.3W
ABOUT 150 MI...240 KM N OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...E OR 90 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1010 MB...29.83 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Teresa
was located near latitude 34.4 North, longitude 64.3 West. The
post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the east near 5 mph (7
km/h). A turn to the northeast is expected this evening.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher
gusts. The remnant low is expected to dissipate Sunday morning.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1010 mb (29.83 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane
Center on Teresa. Additional information on this system can be
found in high seas forecasts issued by the National Weather Service,
under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1 and WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online
at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

$$
Forecaster Hagen/Latto

>

Original Message :

WTNT24 KNHC 252040
TCMAT4

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE TERESA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL192021
2100 UTC SAT SEP 25 2021

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.4N 64.3W AT 25/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR 90 DEGREES AT 4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.4N 64.3W AT 25/2100Z
AT 25/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 34.3N 64.6W

FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 35.7N 63.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 34.4N 64.3W

THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON TERESA. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE
FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.

$$
FORECASTER HAGEN/LATTO

>

Original Message :

WTNT44 KNHC 251445
TCDAT4

Subtropical Depression Teresa Discussion Number 4
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL192021
1100 AM AST Sat Sep 25 2021

Teresa has been devoid of deep convection for more than 12 hours
now. The cloud pattern consists of a swirl of low-level clouds and
a band of showers and thunderstorms located about 250 n mi north of
the center. This patch of convection is detached from the
low-level circulation, and it appears to be more involved with an
upper-level trough to the northeast of Teresa. A 1210 UTC ASCAT-A
pass shows that the winds within that convection have decreased,
with several vectors in the 25 to 30 kt range. Based on that
data, the intensity is lowered to 30 kt, making Teresa a
subtropical depression.

Teresa is unlikely to redevelop any convection near its center as
strong west-southwesterly wind shear continues over the cyclone.
This will prevent any opportunity for strengthening. Teresa is
expected to become a remnant low later today or this evening and
dissipate on Sunday. The global models are in good agreement with
this scenario.

Teresa has moved little during the past 12 hours, so a stationary
motion is currently indicated for this advisory. However, a motion
toward the northeast should begin within the next few hours and
continue through dissipation as the cyclone moves in the flow ahead
of a deep-layer trough. The track forecast was adjusted a little
to the east of the previous advisory, and is in agreement with the
model consensus.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 25/1500Z 34.3N 65.0W 30 KT 35 MPH
12H 26/0000Z 35.4N 64.4W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
24H 26/1200Z 37.2N 62.6W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
36H 27/0000Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Hagen/Beven

>

Original Message :

WTNT34 KNHC 251444
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
Subtropical Depression Teresa Advisory Number 4
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL192021
1100 AM AST Sat Sep 25 2021

...TERESA WEAKENS TO A SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION...
...EXPECTED TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW BY TONIGHT...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...34.3N 65.0W
ABOUT 140 MI...225 KM N OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...STATIONARY
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB...29.80 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Subtropical Depression
Teresa was located near latitude 34.3 North, longitude 65.0 West.
Teresa is nearly stationary. A motion toward the northeast is
expected to begin this afternoon and continue through Sunday
morning.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Teresa is expected to become a remnant low by this evening and
dissipate on Sunday.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1009 mb (29.80 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Hagen/Beven

>

Original Message :

WTNT24 KNHC 251444
TCMAT4

SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION TERESA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL192021
1500 UTC SAT SEP 25 2021

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.3N 65.0W AT 25/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT STATIONARY

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.3N 65.0W AT 25/1500Z
AT 25/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 34.3N 65.2W

FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 35.4N 64.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 37.2N 62.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 34.3N 65.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER HAGEN/BEVEN

>

Original Message :

WTNT34 KNHC 250835
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
Subtropical Storm Teresa Advisory Number 3
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL192021
500 AM AST Sat Sep 25 2021

...TERESA REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED...
...EXPECTED TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW BY TONIGHT...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...34.5N 65.5W
ABOUT 155 MI...255 KM NNW OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB...29.80 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Subtropical Storm Teresa was
located near latitude 34.5 North, longitude 65.5 West. The storm is
moving toward the west-northwest near 6 mph (9 km/h). A turn to
the north is expected later today, followed by a northeastward
motion after that.

Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts.
Teresa is expected to become a remnant by tonight and dissipate on
Sunday.

Winds of 40 mph extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km) from the
center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1009 mb (29.80 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi

>

Original Message :

WTNT24 KNHC 250835
TCMAT4

SUBTROPICAL STORM TERESA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL192021
0900 UTC SAT SEP 25 2021

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

SUBTROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.5N 65.5W AT 25/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT.......120NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 120SE 0SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.5N 65.5W AT 25/0900Z
AT 25/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 34.4N 65.5W

FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 35.4N 65.3W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 37.2N 64.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 34.5N 65.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI

>

Original Message :

WTNT44 KNHC 250834
TCDAT4

Subtropical Storm Teresa Discussion Number 3
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL192021
500 AM AST Sat Sep 25 2021

Teresa is poorly organized and it likely won't be a subtropical
cyclone for much longer. The cloud pattern consists of a swirl of
low-level clouds and a band of showers and thunderstorms that is
located more than 250 n mi northeast of the center. This patch of
convection has been detaching from the low-level circulation and it
appears to be more involved with an upper-level low to the east of
Teresa. ASCAT-B and ASCAT-C caught the circulation several hours
ago, and showed winds of 25-30 kt near it. However, that instrument
did not sample the area of convection well northeast of the center,
where the winds could be a little stronger. Given the degraded
structure of the system, the initial intensity is lowered to a
possibly generous 35 kt.

Now that the upper-level low has pulled away from the subtropical
storm, west-southwesterly shear is increasing across the circulation
and that should prevent convective organization and any opportunity
for strengthening. Due to the strong shear and dry air entrainment,
Teresa is likely to become a remnant low later today or tonight and
dissipate on Sunday.

Teresa is moving slowly west-northwestward at 5 kt. A turn to the
north is expected later today, followed by a northeast motion as the
cyclone moves in the flow ahead of a deep-layer trough.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 25/0900Z 34.5N 65.5W 35 KT 40 MPH
12H 25/1800Z 35.4N 65.3W 30 KT 35 MPH
24H 26/0600Z 37.2N 64.6W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
36H 26/1800Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi

>

Original Message :

WTNT44 KNHC 250242
TCDAT4

Subtropical Storm Teresa Discussion Number 2
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL192021
1100 PM AST Fri Sep 24 2021

Teresa's cloud pattern is not well organized, even for a
subtropical cyclone. The main convective band is rather ragged in
appearance, and situated 100 n mi or more to the east and northeast
of the exposed low-level center. The current intensity estimate,
40 kt, is in general agreement with the latest subtropical
satellite classification from TAFB, but given the disheveled
appearance of the system, this may be generous.

Teresa has recently been moving more westward than northward, on
the northern side of a mid-level cyclonic circulation, and the
current motion estimate is an uncertain 300/9 kt. During the
next day or so, the cyclone is likely to turn northward and
northeastward ahead of a mid-tropospheric trough that will
be moving over the northeastern United States and Atlantic
Canada. The official forecast is a little faster than the previous
one, but along the same general trajectory. The HCCA model
consensus is somewhat faster than the NHC prediction.

The cyclone has been situated under an upper-level low which has
kept the vertical shear fairly low thus far. However, as this low
moves away from the area, Teresa will begin to experience
increasing west-southwesterly shear, and no strengthening is
expected. In 48 hours or so, based on the global models, the storm
is forecast to become absorbed by the aforementioned trough.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 25/0300Z 34.3N 65.4W 40 KT 45 MPH
12H 25/1200Z 35.2N 65.5W 40 KT 45 MPH
24H 26/0000Z 36.2N 64.9W 40 KT 45 MPH
36H 26/1200Z 37.8N 64.0W 40 KT 45 MPH
48H 27/0000Z...ABSORBED

$$
Forecaster Pasch

>

Original Message :

WTNT34 KNHC 250241
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
Subtropical Storm Teresa Advisory Number 2
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL192021
1100 PM AST Fri Sep 24 2021

...TERESA LIKELY TO BE SHORT-LIVED...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...34.3N 65.4W
ABOUT 140 MI...230 KM NNW OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Subtropical Storm Teresa
was located near latitude 34.3 North, longitude 65.4 West. The
storm is moving toward the west-northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h),
and a turn toward the north and northeast is expected during the
next day or two.

Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts.
Little change in strength is forecast during the next 36 hours.
Teresa should dissipate in about two days.

Winds of 40 mph extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km) from the
center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Pasch

>

Original Message :

WTNT24 KNHC 250241
TCMAT4

SUBTROPICAL STORM TERESA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL192021
0300 UTC SAT SEP 25 2021

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

SUBTROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.3N 65.4W AT 25/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT.......100NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 120SE 0SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.3N 65.4W AT 25/0300Z
AT 25/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 34.2N 65.0W

FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 35.2N 65.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...100NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 36.2N 64.9W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 37.8N 64.0W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z...ABSORBED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 34.3N 65.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH

>

Original Message :

WTNT44 KNHC 242056
TCDAT4

Subtropical Storm Teresa Discussion Number 1
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL192021
500 PM AST Fri Sep 24 2021

The disturbance just north of Bermuda interacting with a mid- to
upper-level low has developed a prominent band of deep convection
within its eastern semicircle as well as a well-defined surface
center. Additionally, the system is not displaying any significant
baroclinicity (i.e., frontal boundaries), so it is not an
extratropical cyclone. All of which indicates that the system has
evolved into a subtropical cyclone. ASCAT-C scatterometer data from
1440Z suggested peak winds were around 40 kt, which is the basis
for calling the system Subtropical Storm Teresa.

The system is moving toward the northwest at 12 kt is it rounds the
northern part of the mid- to upper-level low. By Saturday, Teresa
should turn northward and then northeastward, as it begins to be
caught up in the mid-latitude westerlies. The forecast is based upon
the TVCN track consensus technique.

Teresa will not be long-lived. A developing extratropical system
forming off of New England should absorb Teresa between 36 and 48
hours. Until then, the subtropical storm has a small window to
intensify slightly while traversing lukewarm water and
encountering moderate vertical shear. If deep convection develops
near the system's center, then Teresa could evolve into a tropical
storm. However, it is more likely that Teresa will remain a
subtropical storm until dissipation in around two days.

It is worth noting that Teresa will likely be the 9th so-called
"shortie" of the 2021 hurricane season -- systems that are short-
lived and relatively weak.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 24/2100Z 34.5N 64.5W 40 KT 45 MPH
12H 25/0600Z 35.4N 65.5W 45 KT 50 MPH
24H 25/1800Z 36.3N 65.5W 45 KT 50 MPH
36H 26/0600Z 37.2N 64.4W 40 KT 45 MPH
48H 26/1800Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Landsea

>

Original Message :

WTNT34 KNHC 242052
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
Subtropical Storm Teresa Advisory Number 1
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL192021
500 PM AST Fri Sep 24 2021

...SUBTROPICAL STORM TERESA FORMS NORTH OF BERMUDA...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...34.5N 64.5W
ABOUT 155 MI...245 KM N OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Subtropical Storm Teresa was
located near latitude 34.5 North, longitude 64.5 West. The storm is
moving toward the northwest near 14 mph (22 km/h). Teresa should
slow its forward motion and turn toward the north by Saturday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts.
Little change in strength is forecast during the next 36 hours.
Teresa should dissipate in about two days.

Winds of 40 mph extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km) mainly to
the northeast of the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Landsea

>

Original Message :

WTNT24 KNHC 242051
TCMAT4

SUBTROPICAL STORM TERESA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL192021
2100 UTC FRI SEP 24 2021

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

SUBTROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.5N 64.5W AT 24/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 150SE 0SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.5N 64.5W AT 24/2100Z
AT 24/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 34.1N 64.1W

FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 35.4N 65.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 36.3N 65.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 37.2N 64.4W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 34.5N 64.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER LANDSEA

>