Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for MEGI-22
in Philippines

Global Telecommunication Service

GTS (Global Telecommunication Service) is the official Warning and Alerting channel by the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) adopted by several Warning Organizations. As soon as a new GTS message regarding Tropical Cyclones(WT) or Tsunami(WE) the messages are processed and possibly assigned to the specific event. When a new GTS message is present an new tab in the specific event report page is present.The presence of a GTS message is shown in the homepage with a dedicated icon.

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Original Message :

WTPQ51 RJTD 120600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TD DOWNGRADED FROM TS 2202 MEGI (2202)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 120600UTC 11N 126E
MOVE E SLOWLY
PRES 1002HPA =


Original Message :

WTPQ21 RJTD 120600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TD DOWNGRADED FROM TS 2202 MEGI (2202)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 120600UTC 11N 126E
MOVE E SLOWLY
PRES 1002HPA =


Original Message :

WTPQ51 RJTD 120300
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2202 MEGI (2202)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 120300UTC 11.3N 125.7E FAIR
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 1002HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 120NM
FORECAST
24HF 130300UTC 10.9N 128.4E 65NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPQ21 RJTD 120300
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2202 MEGI (2202)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 120300UTC 11.3N 125.7E FAIR
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 1002HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 120NM
FORECAST
24HF 130300UTC 10.9N 128.4E 65NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPQ31 RJTD 120000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.13 FOR TS 2202 MEGI (2202)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TS MEGI IS LOCATED AT 11.3N, 125.4E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002HPA AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 35KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS
IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP AND GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW. HOWEVER, THE
LIMITED FIRMNESS OF ITS STRUCTURE HAS CAUSED IT TO MAINTAIN ITS
INTENSITY OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS ALMOST STATIONARY. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS CB CLUSTERS
ARE SCATTERED AROUND THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE EASTWARD DUE TO WEAK STEERING FLOW UNTIL
FT24. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND
REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS LOW
DUE TO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG NWP MODEL OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN UNTIL FT24 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF LAND.
THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN TO TD INTENSITY BY FT24. THE INTENSITY
FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTPQ20 VHHH 120145

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 120000 UTC, TROPICAL DEPRESSION MEGI (2202) WITH CENTRAL
PRESSURE 1000 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 90 NAUTICAL
MILES OF ONE ONE POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (11.0 N) ONE TWO
FIVE POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (125.2 E) AND IS FORECAST TO BE
SLOW MOVING FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 90 NAUTICAL MILES.

NO FURTHER WARNINGS ON THIS TROPICAL DEPRESSION WILL BE
ISSUED BY THE HONG KONG OBSERVATORY UNLESS IT RE-ENTERS THE
HONG KONG AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 130000 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER SEA.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ51 RJTD 120000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2202 MEGI (2202)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 120000UTC 11.3N 125.4E FAIR
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 1002HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 120NM
FORECAST
24HF 130000UTC 10.9N 127.8E 65NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPQ21 RJTD 120000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2202 MEGI (2202)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 120000UTC 11.3N 125.4E FAIR
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 1002HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 120NM
FORECAST
24HF 130000UTC 10.9N 127.8E 65NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTJP22 RJTD 120000
WARNING 120000.
WARNING VALID 130000.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2202 MEGI (2202) 1002 HPA
AT 11.3N 125.4E PHILIPPINES ALMOST STATIONARY.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 130000UTC AT 10.9N 127.8E WITH 65 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1004 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ20 VHHH 112245

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 112100 UTC, TROPICAL DEPRESSION MEGI (2202) WITH CENTRAL
PRESSURE 1000 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 90 NAUTICAL
MILES OF ONE ONE POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (11.0 N) ONE TWO
FOUR POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (124.9 E) AND IS FORECAST TO
BE SLOW MOVING FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 60 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 122100 UTC
ONE ZERO POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (10.5 N)
ONE TWO SEVEN POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (127.2 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 25 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 132100 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER SEA.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ51 RJTD 112100
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2202 MEGI (2202)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 112100UTC 11.3N 125.2E FAIR
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 1002HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 120NM
FORECAST
24HF 122100UTC 10.7N 127.3E 65NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPQ21 RJTD 112100
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2202 MEGI (2202)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 112100UTC 11.3N 125.2E FAIR
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 1002HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 120NM
FORECAST
24HF 122100UTC 10.7N 127.3E 65NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPQ31 RJTD 111800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.12 FOR TS 2202 MEGI (2202)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TS MEGI IS LOCATED AT 11.2N, 125.3E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000HPA AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 35KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS IN A FAVORABLE
ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS, HIGH
TCHP AND GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW. HOWEVER, THE LIMITED FIRMNESS
OF ITS STRUCTURE HAS CAUSED IT TO MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY OVER THE
LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON
DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS ALMOST STATIONARY. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE SEPARATION
OF ACTIVE CONVECTIVE CLOUD CLUSTERS FROM THE CSC. WATER VAPOR
IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR AROUND THE SYSTEM. GCOM-W/AMSR2 89 GHZ
MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS ACTIVE CONVECTIVE CLOUD
CLUSTERS AROUND THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD DUE TO WEAK STEERING FLOW
UNTIL FT24. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND
REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS LOW
DUE TO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG NWP MODEL OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN UNTIL FT24 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF LAND.
THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN TO TD INTENSITY BY FT24. THE INTENSITY
FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTPQ20 VHHH 111945

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 111800 UTC, TROPICAL DEPRESSION MEGI (2202) WITH CENTRAL
PRESSURE 1000 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 90 NAUTICAL
MILES OF ONE ONE POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (11.1 N) ONE TWO
FOUR POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (124.8 E) AND IS FORECAST TO
BE SLOW MOVING FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 60 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 121800 UTC
ONE ZERO POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (10.6 N)
ONE TWO SEVEN POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (127.0 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 25 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 131800 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER SEA.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ51 RJTD 111800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2202 MEGI (2202)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 111800UTC 11.2N 125.3E FAIR
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 120NM
FORECAST
24HF 121800UTC 10.7N 126.9E 65NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPQ21 RJTD 111800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2202 MEGI (2202)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 111800UTC 11.2N 125.3E FAIR
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 120NM
FORECAST
24HF 121800UTC 10.7N 126.9E 65NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTJP22 RJTD 111800
WARNING 111800.
WARNING VALID 121800.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2202 MEGI (2202) 1000 HPA
AT 11.2N 125.3E PHILIPPINES ALMOST STATIONARY.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 121800UTC AT 10.7N 126.9E WITH 65 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1004 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ20 VHHH 111645

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 111500 UTC, TROPICAL DEPRESSION MEGI (2202) WITH CENTRAL
PRESSURE 998 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 90 NAUTICAL
MILES OF ONE ONE POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (11.2 N) ONE TWO
FOUR POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (124.7 E) AND IS FORECAST TO
BE SLOW MOVING FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 30 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 60 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 121500 UTC
ONE ZERO POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (10.7 N)
ONE TWO SIX POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (126.5 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 25 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 131500 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER SEA.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ51 RJTD 111500
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2202 MEGI (2202)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 111500UTC 11.1N 125.4E FAIR
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 120NM
FORECAST
24HF 121500UTC 10.9N 126.4E 65NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPQ21 RJTD 111500
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2202 MEGI (2202)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 111500UTC 11.1N 125.4E FAIR
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 120NM
FORECAST
24HF 121500UTC 10.9N 126.4E 65NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPQ31 RJTD 111200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.11 FOR TS 2202 MEGI (2202)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TS MEGI IS LOCATED AT 11.1N, 125.4E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000HPA AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 35KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS IN A FAVORABLE
ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS, HIGH
TCHP AND GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW. HOWEVER, THE LIMITED FIRMNESS
OF ITS STRUCTURE HAS CAUSED IT TO MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY OVER THE
LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON
DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS ALMOST STATIONARY. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE SEPARATION
OF ACTIVE CONVECTIVE CLOUD CLUSTERS FROM THE CSC. WATER VAPOR
IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR AROUND THE SYSTEM.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL REMAIN ALMOST STATIONARY DUE TO WEAK STEERING FLOW
UNTIL FT24. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND
REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS LOW
DUE TO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG NWP MODEL OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN UNTIL FT24 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF LAND.
THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN TO TD INTENSITY BY FT24. THE INTENSITY
FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTPQ51 RJTD 111200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2202 MEGI (2202)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 111200UTC 11.1N 125.4E FAIR
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 120NM
FORECAST
24HF 121200UTC 10.9N 125.8E 65NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPQ21 RJTD 111200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2202 MEGI (2202)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 111200UTC 11.1N 125.4E FAIR
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 120NM
FORECAST
24HF 121200UTC 10.9N 125.8E 65NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTJP22 RJTD 111200
WARNING 111200.
WARNING VALID 121200.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2202 MEGI (2202) 1000 HPA
AT 11.1N 125.4E PHILIPPINES ALMOST STATIONARY.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 121200UTC AT 10.9N 125.8E WITH 65 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1002 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ20 VHHH 111045

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 110900 UTC, TROPICAL STORM MEGI (2202) WITH CENTRAL
PRESSURE 994 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL
MILES OF ONE ONE POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (11.3 N) ONE TWO
FOUR POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (124.8 E) AND IS FORECAST TO
BE SLOW MOVING FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 35 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 90 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 120900 UTC
ONE ZERO POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (10.9 N)
ONE TWO FIVE POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (125.7 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 25 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 130900 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER SEA.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ51 RJTD 110900
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2202 MEGI (2202)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 110900UTC 11.2N 125.3E FAIR
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 120NM
FORECAST
24HF 120900UTC 11.1N 125.7E 65NM 70%
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
45HF 130600UTC 10.6N 129.0E 120NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPQ21 RJTD 110900
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2202 MEGI (2202)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 110900UTC 11.2N 125.3E FAIR
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 120NM
FORECAST
24HF 120900UTC 11.1N 125.7E 65NM 70%
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
45HF 130600UTC 10.6N 129.0E 120NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPN52 PGTW 110900
WARNING ATCG MIL 03W NWP 220411070519
2022041106 03W MEGI 010 02 305 04 SATL RADR SYNP 015
T000 113N 1240E 025
T012 114N 1241E 020
T024 114N 1246E 020
T036 113N 1259E 020
AMP 000HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
012HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
024HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
036HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
SUBJ: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03W (MEGI) WARNING NR 010
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03W (MEGI) WARNING NR 010
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
110600Z --- NEAR 11.3N 124.0E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 04 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 015 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
REPEAT POSIT: 11.3N 124.0E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
111800Z --- 11.4N 124.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 090 DEG/ 02 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
120600Z --- 11.4N 124.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 095 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
121800Z --- 11.3N 125.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
110900Z POSITION NEAR 11.3N 124.0E.
11APR22. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03W (MEGI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 265 NM
SOUTHEAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON
WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR
SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 110600Z
IS 8 FEET.
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
0322040718 90N1284E 15
0322040800 96N1282E 15
0322040806 101N1279E 15
0322040812 107N1275E 20
0322040818 110N1269E 20
0322040900 107N1268E 25
0322040906 108N1270E 25
0322040912 109N1267E 25
0322040918 110N1263E 30
0322041000 110N1259E 40
0322041006 107N1254E 35
0322041012 108N1250E 35
0322041018 109N1247E 30
0322041100 111N1243E 25
0322041106 113N1240E 25
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 110900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03W (MEGI) WARNING NR 010//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03W (MEGI) WARNING NR 010
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
110600Z --- NEAR 11.3N 124.0E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 04 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 015 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
REPEAT POSIT: 11.3N 124.0E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
111800Z --- 11.4N 124.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 090 DEG/ 02 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
120600Z --- 11.4N 124.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 095 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
121800Z --- 11.3N 125.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
110900Z POSITION NEAR 11.3N 124.0E.
11APR22. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03W (MEGI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 265 NM
SOUTHEAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 04
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE
IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS SEVERELY DETERIORATED AS THE DEEP
CENTRAL CONVECTION HAS SHEARED 70+ NM WEST-NORTHWESTWARD. THE
INITIAL POSITION IS PLACED WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE BASED ON A
DISCERNIBLE CIRCULATION FEATURE IN THE COMPOSITE RADAR LOOP FROM
PAGASA. THE INITIAL INTENSITY OF 25KTS IS BASED ON THE HIGH END OF
EXTRAPOLATED WIND/MSLP ESTIMATES FROM NEARBY SURFACE OBSERVATIONS
INCLUDING CATBALOGAN TO THE NE, CEBU CITY TO THE SOUTH, AND ROXAS
CITY TO THE WEST. ANALYSIS INDICATES THE ENVIRONMENT HAS BECOME
UNFAVORABLE WITH INCREASED (30+ KNOTS) RELATIVE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR
AND FRICTIONAL EFFECTS FROM THE ISLANDS IN ADDITION TO THE SUBSIDING
EFFECT FROM THE OUTFLOW OF TS 02W (MALAKAS), APPROX 720NM TO THE
EAST. AS A RESULT, TD MEGI IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE BY TAU 12. ITS
REMNANT VORTEX IS FORECAST TO MAKE A U-TURN AND TRACK EASTWARD BACK
TO THE PHILIPPINE SEA IN RESPONSE TO A WEAK BINARY INTERACTION WITH
02W. TO ILLUSTRATE THIS, ADDITIONAL POSITIONS (TAUS 24 AND 36) HAVE
BEEN ADDED TO THE FORECAST TRACK. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS
SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL
BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT
WAVE HEIGHT AT 110600Z IS 8 FEET. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 02W
(MALAKAS) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPQ31 RJTD 110600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.10 FOR TS 2202 MEGI (2202)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TS MEGI IS LOCATED AT 11N, 125.1E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000HPA AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 35KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS
IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP AND GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW. HOWEVER, THE
LIMITED FIRMNESS OF ITS STRUCTURE HAS CAUSED IT TO MAINTAIN ITS
INTENSITY OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS ALMOST STATIONARY. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE SEPARATION
OF ACTIVE CONVECTIVE CLOUD CLUSTERS FROM THE CSC. WATER VAPOR
IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR AROUND THE SYSTEM. METOP-A/MHS 85 GHZ
MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS ACTIVE CONVECTIVE CLOUD
CLUSTERS AROUND THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL REMAIN ALMOST STATIONARY UNTIL FT24. THE SYSTEM
WILL THEN MOVE EASTWARD UNTIL FT48. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON
GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST
CONFIDENCE IS LOW DUE TO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG NWP MODEL
OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL FT24 DUE TO THE
INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, GOOD UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW
AND LOW TCHP. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN WEAKEN UNTIL FT48 UNDER THE
INFLUENCE OF AN ADJACENT SYSTEM. THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN TO TD
INTENSITY BY FT48. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS
OF GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTPQ20 VHHH 110745

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

TROPICAL STORM MEGI (2202) HAS ENTERED THE AREA OF
RESPONSIBILITY OF THE HONG KONG OBSERVATORY.

AT 110600 UTC, TROPICAL STORM MEGI (2202) WITH CENTRAL
PRESSURE 994 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL
MILES OF ONE ONE POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (11.3 N) ONE TWO
FOUR POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (124.9 E) AND IS FORECAST TO
BE SLOW MOVING FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 35 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 90 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 120600 UTC
ONE ONE POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (11.1 N)
ONE TWO FIVE POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (125.1 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 25 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 130600 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER SEA.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ51 RJTD 110600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2202 MEGI (2202)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 110600UTC 11.0N 125.1E FAIR
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 120NM
FORECAST
24HF 120600UTC 11.2N 125.4E 65NM 70%
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
48HF 130600UTC 10.6N 129.0E 120NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPQ21 RJTD 110600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2202 MEGI (2202)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 110600UTC 11.0N 125.1E FAIR
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 120NM
FORECAST
24HF 120600UTC 11.2N 125.4E 65NM 70%
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
48HF 130600UTC 10.6N 129.0E 120NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTJP22 RJTD 110600
WARNING 110600.
WARNING VALID 120600.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2202 MEGI (2202) 1000 HPA
AT 11.0N 125.1E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES ALMOST STATIONARY.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 120600UTC AT 11.2N 125.4E WITH 65 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1000 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 130600UTC AT 10.6N 129.0E WITH 120 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1002 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ51 RJTD 110300
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2202 MEGI (2202)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 110300UTC 10.8N 125.1E FAIR
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 120NM
FORECAST
24HF 120300UTC 11.3N 125.1E 65NM 70%
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
45HF 130000UTC 11.3N 127.9E 120NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPQ21 RJTD 110300
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2202 MEGI (2202)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 110300UTC 10.8N 125.1E FAIR
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 120NM
FORECAST
24HF 120300UTC 11.3N 125.1E 65NM 70%
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
45HF 130000UTC 11.3N 127.9E 120NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPN52 PGTW 110300
WARNING ATCG MIL 03W NWP 220411020948
2022041100 03W MEGI 009 02 310 08 SATL 060
T000 114N 1241E 025
T012 116N 1240E 030
T024 117N 1243E 025
T036 116N 1253E 025
T048 116N 1267E 020
AMP
036HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
048HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
SUBJ: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03W (MEGI) WARNING NR 009
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03W (MEGI) WARNING NR 009
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
110000Z --- NEAR 11.4N 124.1E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 11.4N 124.1E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
111200Z --- 11.6N 124.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 02 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
120000Z --- 11.7N 124.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 095 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
121200Z --- 11.6N 125.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 090 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
130000Z --- 11.6N 126.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
110300Z POSITION NEAR 11.5N 124.1E.
11APR22. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03W (MEGI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
264 NM SOUTHEAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED
NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 110000Z IS 8 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 110900Z, 111500Z, 112100Z AND 120300Z.
//
0322040718 90N1284E 15
0322040800 96N1282E 15
0322040806 101N1279E 15
0322040812 107N1275E 20
0322040818 110N1269E 20
0322040900 107N1268E 25
0322040906 108N1270E 25
0322040912 109N1267E 25
0322040918 110N1263E 30
0322041000 110N1259E 40
0322041006 107N1254E 35
0322041012 108N1250E 35
0322041018 109N1247E 30
0322041100 114N1241E 25
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 110300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03W (MEGI) WARNING NR 009//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03W (MEGI) WARNING NR 009
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
110000Z --- NEAR 11.4N 124.1E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 11.4N 124.1E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
111200Z --- 11.6N 124.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 02 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
120000Z --- 11.7N 124.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 095 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
121200Z --- 11.6N 125.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 090 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
130000Z --- 11.6N 126.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
110300Z POSITION NEAR 11.5N 124.1E.
11APR22. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03W (MEGI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
264 NM SOUTHEAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED
NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 110000Z IS 8 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 110900Z, 111500Z, 112100Z AND 120300Z.
REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 02W (MALAKAS) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPQ31 RJTD 110000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO. 9 FOR TS 2202 MEGI (2202)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TS MEGI IS LOCATED AT 11N, 125E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000HPA AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 35KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS
IN A NEUTRAL ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW AND LAND. THIS HAS
CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY OVER THE LAST SIX
HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK
INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS ALMOST STATIONARY. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE SEPARATION
OF ACTIVE CONVECTIVE CLOUD CLUSTERS FROM THE CSC. WATER VAPOR
IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR AROUND THE SYSTEM. DMSP-F18/SSMIS 89 GHZ
MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS ACTIVE CONVECTIVE CLOUD
CLUSTERS AROUND THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL REMAIN ALMOST STATIONARY UNTIL FT24. THE SYSTEM
WILL THEN MOVE EASTWARD UNTIL FT48. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON
GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST
CONFIDENCE IS LOW DUE TO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG NWP MODEL
OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL FT24 DUE TO THE
INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, GOOD UPPER
LEVEL OUTFLOW AND LAND. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN WEAKEN UNTIL FT48 DUE
TO THE INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, GOOD
UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW AND LAND. THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN TO TD
INTENSITY BY FT48. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS
OF GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTPQ51 RJTD 110000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2202 MEGI (2202)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 110000UTC 11.0N 125.0E FAIR
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 120NM
FORECAST
24HF 120000UTC 11.4N 124.8E 65NM 70%
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
48HF 130000UTC 11.3N 127.9E 120NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPQ21 RJTD 110000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2202 MEGI (2202)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 110000UTC 11.0N 125.0E FAIR
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 120NM
FORECAST
24HF 120000UTC 11.4N 124.8E 65NM 70%
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
48HF 130000UTC 11.3N 127.9E 120NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTJP22 RJTD 110000
WARNING 110000.
WARNING VALID 120000.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2202 MEGI (2202) 1000 HPA
AT 11.0N 125.0E PHILIPPINES ALMOST STATIONARY.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 120000UTC AT 11.4N 124.8E WITH 65 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1000 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 130000UTC AT 11.3N 127.9E WITH 120 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1002 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ51 RJTD 102100
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2202 MEGI (2202)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 102100UTC 10.9N 125.0E FAIR
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 120NM
FORECAST
24HF 112100UTC 11.6N 124.6E 65NM 70%
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
45HF 121800UTC 11.3N 126.3E 120NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPQ21 RJTD 102100
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2202 MEGI (2202)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 102100UTC 10.9N 125.0E FAIR
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 120NM
FORECAST
24HF 112100UTC 11.6N 124.6E 65NM 70%
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
45HF 121800UTC 11.3N 126.3E 120NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPN52 PGTW 102100
WARNING ATCG MIL 03W NWP 220410193526
2022041018 03W MEGI 008 02 290 03 SATL RADR 040
T000 109N 1247E 030
T012 111N 1244E 030
T024 112N 1245E 025
T036 114N 1251E 025
T048 111N 1265E 020
AMP
024HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
036HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
048HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
SUBJ: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03W (MEGI) WARNING NR 008
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03W (MEGI) WARNING NR 008
DOWNGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 03W
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
101800Z --- NEAR 10.9N 124.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 03 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND RADAR
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 10.9N 124.7E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
110600Z --- 11.1N 124.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 01 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
111800Z --- 11.2N 124.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
120600Z --- 11.4N 125.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 100 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
121800Z --- 11.1N 126.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
102100Z POSITION NEAR 11.0N 124.6E.
10APR22. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03W (MEGI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
310 NM SOUTHEAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED WEST-
NORTHWESTWARD AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 110300Z, 110900Z, 111500Z AND 112100Z.
//
0322040718 90N1284E 15
0322040800 96N1282E 15
0322040806 101N1279E 15
0322040812 107N1275E 20
0322040818 110N1269E 20
0322040900 107N1268E 25
0322040906 108N1270E 25
0322040912 109N1267E 25
0322040918 110N1263E 30
0322041000 110N1259E 40
0322041006 107N1254E 35
0322041012 108N1250E 35
0322041018 109N1247E 30
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 102100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03W (MEGI) WARNING NR 008//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03W (MEGI) WARNING NR 008
DOWNGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 03W
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
101800Z --- NEAR 10.9N 124.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 03 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND RADAR
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 10.9N 124.7E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
110600Z --- 11.1N 124.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 01 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
111800Z --- 11.2N 124.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
120600Z --- 11.4N 125.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 100 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
121800Z --- 11.1N 126.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
102100Z POSITION NEAR 11.0N 124.6E.
10APR22. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03W (MEGI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
310 NM SOUTHEAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED WEST-
NORTHWESTWARD AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 110300Z, 110900Z, 111500Z AND 112100Z.
REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 02W (MALAKAS) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPQ31 RJTD 101800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO. 8 FOR TS 2202 MEGI (2202)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TS MEGI IS LOCATED AT 10.8N, 125.1E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000HPA AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 35KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS
IN A NEUTRAL ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW AND LAND. THIS HAS
CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY OVER THE LAST SIX
HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK
INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS ALMOST STATIONARY DUE TO WEAK STEERING FLOW.
ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE SEPARATION OF ACTIVE CONVECTIVE CLOUD
CLUSTERS FROM THE CSC. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR AROUND
THE SYSTEM.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTHWESTWARD DUE TO WEAK STEERING FLOW UNTIL
FT24. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE EASTWARD UNTIL FT48. THE SYSTEM
WILL HIT THE PHILIPPINES BY FT24. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON
GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST
CONFIDENCE IS LOW DUE TO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG NWP MODEL
OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL FT24. THE SYSTEM WILL
THEN WEAKEN UNTIL FT48. THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN TO TD INTENSITY BY
FT48. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE
DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTPQ51 RJTD 101800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2202 MEGI (2202)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 101800UTC 10.8N 125.1E FAIR
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 120NM
FORECAST
24HF 111800UTC 11.6N 124.3E 65NM 70%
MOVE NW SLOWLY
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
48HF 121800UTC 11.3N 126.3E 120NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTJP22 RJTD 101800
WARNING 101800.
WARNING VALID 111800.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2202 MEGI (2202) 1000 HPA
AT 10.8N 125.1E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES ALMOST STATIONARY.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 111800UTC AT 11.6N 124.3E WITH 65 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
998 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 121800UTC AT 11.3N 126.3E WITH 120 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1000 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ21 RJTD 101800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2202 MEGI (2202)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 101800UTC 10.8N 125.1E FAIR
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 120NM
FORECAST
24HF 111800UTC 11.6N 124.3E 65NM 70%
MOVE NW SLOWLY
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
48HF 121800UTC 11.3N 126.3E 120NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPQ51 RJTD 101500
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2202 MEGI (2202)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 101500UTC 10.8N 125.2E FAIR
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 120NM
FORECAST
24HF 111500UTC 11.3N 124.7E 65NM 70%
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
45HF 121200UTC 11.1N 125.6E 120NM 70%
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
69HF 131200UTC 10.7N 130.2E 180NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPQ21 RJTD 101500
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2202 MEGI (2202)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 101500UTC 10.8N 125.2E FAIR
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 120NM
FORECAST
24HF 111500UTC 11.3N 124.7E 65NM 70%
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
45HF 121200UTC 11.1N 125.6E 120NM 70%
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
69HF 131200UTC 10.7N 130.2E 180NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPN52 PGTW 101500
WARNING ATCG MIL 03W NWP 220410131156
2022041012 03W MEGI 007 02 285 04 SATL RADR SYNP 020
T000 108N 1250E 035 R034 030 NE QD 050 SE QD 010 SW QD 000 NW QD
T012 109N 1247E 030
T024 111N 1245E 025
T036 113N 1248E 020
T048 114N 1258E 020
AMP
024HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
036HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
048HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 03W (MEGI) WARNING NR 007
1. TROPICAL STORM 03W (MEGI) WARNING NR 007
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
101200Z --- NEAR 10.8N 125.0E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 04 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 10.8N 125.0E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
110000Z --- 10.9N 124.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 01 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
111200Z --- 11.1N 124.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 02 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
120000Z --- 11.3N 124.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 085 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
121200Z --- 11.4N 125.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
101500Z POSITION NEAR 10.8N 124.9E.
10APR22. TROPICAL STORM 03W (MEGI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 327 NM
SOUTHEAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD
AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. NEXT WARNINGS AT 102100Z,
110300Z, 110900Z AND 111500Z. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 02W (MALAKAS)
0322040718 90N1284E 15
0322040800 96N1282E 15
0322040806 101N1279E 15
0322040812 107N1275E 20
0322040818 110N1269E 20
0322040900 107N1268E 25
0322040906 108N1270E 25
0322040912 109N1267E 25
0322040918 110N1263E 30
0322041000 110N1259E 40
0322041006 107N1254E 35
0322041012 108N1250E 35
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 101500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 03W (MEGI) WARNING NR 007//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 03W (MEGI) WARNING NR 007
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
101200Z --- NEAR 10.8N 125.0E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 04 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 10.8N 125.0E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
110000Z --- 10.9N 124.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 01 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
111200Z --- 11.1N 124.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 02 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
120000Z --- 11.3N 124.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 085 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
121200Z --- 11.4N 125.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
101500Z POSITION NEAR 10.8N 124.9E.
10APR22. TROPICAL STORM 03W (MEGI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 327 NM
SOUTHEAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD
AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. NEXT WARNINGS AT 102100Z,
110300Z, 110900Z AND 111500Z. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 02W (MALAKAS)
WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPQ31 RJTD 101200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO. 7 FOR TS 2202 MEGI (2202)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TS MEGI IS LOCATED AT 10.8N, 125.2E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000HPA AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 35KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS
IN A NEUTRAL ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW AND LAND. THIS HAS
CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY OVER THE LAST SIX
HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK
INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS ALMOST STATIONARY DUE TO WEAK STEERING FLOW.
ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE SEPARATION OF ACTIVE CONVECTIVE CLOUD
CLUSTERS FROM THE CSC. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD CLOUD
CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS
DRY AIR AROUND THE SYSTEM. DMSP-F17/SSMIS 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY
SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS ACTIVE CONVECTIVE CLOUD CLUSTERS AROUND THE
CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL REMAIN ALMOST STATIONARY DUE TO WEAK STEERING FLOW
UNTIL FT48. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE EASTWARD DUE TO INTERACTION
WITH A NEARBY TROPICAL CYCLONE UNTIL FT72. THE SYSTEM WILL HIT THE
PHILIPPINES BY FT24. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM
PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST
CONFIDENCE IS LOW DUE TO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG NWP MODEL
OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL FT48 DUE TO THE
INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, GOOD UPPER
LEVEL OUTFLOW AND LAND. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN WEAKEN UNTIL FT72.
THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN TO TD INTENSITY BY FT72. THE INTENSITY
FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTPQ21 RJTD 101200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2202 MEGI (2202)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 101200UTC 10.8N 125.2E FAIR
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 120NM
FORECAST
24HF 111200UTC 11.3N 124.7E 65NM 70%
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
48HF 121200UTC 11.1N 125.6E 120NM 70%
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
72HF 131200UTC 10.7N 130.2E 180NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPQ51 RJTD 101200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2202 MEGI (2202)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 101200UTC 10.8N 125.2E FAIR
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 120NM
FORECAST
24HF 111200UTC 11.3N 124.7E 65NM 70%
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
48HF 121200UTC 11.1N 125.6E 120NM 70%
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
72HF 131200UTC 10.7N 130.2E 180NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTJP22 RJTD 101200
WARNING 101200.
WARNING VALID 111200.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2202 MEGI (2202) 1000 HPA
AT 10.8N 125.2E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES ALMOST STATIONARY.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 111200UTC AT 11.3N 124.7E WITH 65 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
998 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 121200UTC AT 11.1N 125.6E WITH 120 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
998 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 131200UTC AT 10.7N 130.2E WITH 180 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1002 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ51 RJTD 100900
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2202 MEGI (2202)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 100900UTC 10.8N 125.3E FAIR
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 120NM
FORECAST
24HF 110900UTC 11.4N 124.9E 65NM 70%
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
45HF 120600UTC 11.2N 125.5E 120NM 70%
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
69HF 130600UTC 10.9N 128.9E 180NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPQ21 RJTD 100900
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2202 MEGI (2202)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 100900UTC 10.8N 125.3E FAIR
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 120NM
FORECAST
24HF 110900UTC 11.4N 124.9E 65NM 70%
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
45HF 120600UTC 11.2N 125.5E 120NM 70%
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
69HF 130600UTC 10.9N 128.9E 180NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPN52 PGTW 100900
WARNING ATCG MIL 03W NWP 220410074144
2022041006 03W MEGI 006 02 240 06 SATL RADR SYNP 025
T000 107N 1254E 035 R034 120 NE QD 060 SE QD 030 SW QD 025 NW QD
T012 108N 1252E 030
T024 111N 1249E 025
T036 113N 1251E 020
T048 114N 1258E 020
AMP
024HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
036HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
048HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 03W (MEGI) WARNING NR 006
1. TROPICAL STORM 03W (MEGI) WARNING NR 006
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
100600Z --- NEAR 10.7N 125.4E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 240 DEGREES AT 06 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 10.7N 125.4E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
101800Z --- 10.8N 125.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 02 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
110600Z --- 11.1N 124.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 01 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
111800Z --- 11.3N 125.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 080 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
120600Z --- 11.4N 125.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
100900Z POSITION NEAR 10.7N 125.3E.
10APR22. TROPICAL STORM 03W (MEGI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 348 NM
SOUTHEAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD
AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT
AT 100600Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 101500Z, 102100Z, 110300Z AND
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
0322040718 90N1284E 15
0322040800 96N1282E 15
0322040806 101N1279E 15
0322040812 107N1275E 20
0322040818 110N1269E 20
0322040900 107N1268E 25
0322040906 108N1270E 25
0322040912 109N1267E 25
0322040918 110N1263E 30
0322041000 110N1259E 40
0322041006 107N1254E 35
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 100900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 03W (MEGI) WARNING NR 006//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 03W (MEGI) WARNING NR 006
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
100600Z --- NEAR 10.7N 125.4E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 240 DEGREES AT 06 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 10.7N 125.4E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
101800Z --- 10.8N 125.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 02 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
110600Z --- 11.1N 124.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 01 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
111800Z --- 11.3N 125.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 080 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
120600Z --- 11.4N 125.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
100900Z POSITION NEAR 10.7N 125.3E.
10APR22. TROPICAL STORM 03W (MEGI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 348 NM
SOUTHEAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD
AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT
AT 100600Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 101500Z, 102100Z, 110300Z AND
110900Z. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 02W (MALAKAS) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPQ31 RJTD 100600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO. 6 FOR TS 2202 MEGI (2202)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TS MEGI IS LOCATED AT 10.7N, 125.6E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 998HPA AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 35KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS IN A NEUTRAL
ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS, HIGH
TCHP AND LAND. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO MAINTAIN ITS
INTENSITY OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS ALMOST STATIONARY DUE TO WEAK STEERING FLOW.
ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE SEPARATION OF ACTIVE CONVECTIVE CLOUD
CLUSTERS FROM THE CSC. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD CLOUD
CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS
DRY AIR AROUND THE SYSTEM.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL REMAIN ALMOST STATIONARY DUE TO WEAK STEERING FLOW
UNTIL FT48. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE EASTWARD DUE TO INTERACTION
WITH A NEARBY TROPICAL CYCLONE UNTIL FT72. THE TRACK FORECAST IS
BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK
FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS LOW DUE TO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG
NWP MODEL OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL FT48 DUE TO THE
INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP AND LAND. THE
SYSTEM WILL THEN WEAKEN UNTIL FT72 UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF AN
ADJACENT SYSTEM. THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN TO TD INTENSITY BY FT72.
THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA
INCLUDING GSM.
=


Original Message :

WTPQ51 RJTD 100600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2202 MEGI (2202)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 100600UTC 10.7N 125.6E FAIR
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 120NM
FORECAST
24HF 110600UTC 11.4N 124.9E 65NM 70%
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
48HF 120600UTC 11.2N 125.5E 120NM 70%
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
72HF 130600UTC 10.9N 128.9E 180NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTJP22 RJTD 100600
WARNING 100600.
WARNING VALID 110600.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2202 MEGI (2202) 998 HPA
AT 10.7N 125.6E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES ALMOST STATIONARY.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 120 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 110600UTC AT 11.4N 124.9E WITH 65 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
998 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 120600UTC AT 11.2N 125.5E WITH 120 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
998 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 130600UTC AT 10.9N 128.9E WITH 180 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1002 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPQ21 RJTD 100600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2202 MEGI (2202)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 100600UTC 10.7N 125.6E FAIR
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 120NM
FORECAST
24HF 110600UTC 11.4N 124.9E 65NM 70%
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
48HF 120600UTC 11.2N 125.5E 120NM 70%
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
72HF 130600UTC 10.9N 128.9E 180NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPQ51 RJTD 100300
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2202 MEGI (2202)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 100300UTC 10.7N 125.6E FAIR
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 150NM
FORECAST
24HF 110300UTC 11.3N 125.7E 65NM 70%
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
45HF 120000UTC 11.4N 125.8E 120NM 70%
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
69HF 130000UTC 11.2N 127.3E 180NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPQ21 RJTD 100300
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2202 MEGI (2202)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 100300UTC 10.7N 125.6E FAIR
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 150NM
FORECAST
24HF 110300UTC 11.3N 125.7E 65NM 70%
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
45HF 120000UTC 11.4N 125.8E 120NM 70%
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
69HF 130000UTC 11.2N 127.3E 180NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPN52 PGTW 100300
WARNING ATCG MIL 03W NWP 220410022512
2022041000 03W MEGI 005 02 315 04 SATL 060
T000 113N 1260E 040 R034 060 NE QD 045 SE QD 045 SW QD 060 NW QD
T012 115N 1257E 040 R034 060 NE QD 045 SE QD 045 SW QD 060 NW QD
T024 117N 1256E 040 R034 070 NE QD 070 SE QD 070 SW QD 080 NW QD
T036 120N 1258E 045 R034 100 NE QD 070 SE QD 080 SW QD 060 NW QD
T048 120N 1264E 045 R034 180 NE QD 100 SE QD 090 SW QD 070 NW QD
T072 124N 1288E 045 R034 180 NE QD 160 SE QD 220 SW QD 250 NW QD
T096 141N 1329E 040 R034 300 NE QD 230 SE QD 180 SW QD 170 NW QD
AMP
048HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
072HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
096HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 03W (MEGI) WARNING NR 005
1. TROPICAL STORM 03W (MEGI) WARNING NR 005
UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03W
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
100000Z --- NEAR 11.3N 126.0E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 04 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 11.3N 126.0E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
101200Z --- 11.5N 125.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 01 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
110000Z --- 11.7N 125.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 02 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
111200Z --- 12.0N 125.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 090 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
120000Z --- 12.0N 126.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 080 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
130000Z --- 12.4N 128.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
220 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
250 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
140000Z --- 14.1N 132.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 300 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
230 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
100300Z POSITION NEAR 11.3N 125.9E.
10APR22. TROPICAL STORM 03W (MEGI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 353 NM
SOUTHEAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 04
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT
AT 100000Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 100900Z, 101500Z, 102100Z
AND 110300Z. //
0322040718 90N1284E 15
0322040800 96N1282E 15
0322040806 101N1279E 15
0322040812 107N1275E 20
0322040818 110N1269E 20
0322040900 107N1268E 25
0322040906 108N1270E 25
0322040912 109N1267E 25
0322040918 110N1263E 30
0322041000 113N1260E 40
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 100300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL STORM 03W (MEGI) WARNING NR 005//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 03W (MEGI) WARNING NR 005
UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03W
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
100000Z --- NEAR 11.3N 126.0E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 04 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 11.3N 126.0E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
101200Z --- 11.5N 125.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 01 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
110000Z --- 11.7N 125.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 02 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
111200Z --- 12.0N 125.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 090 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
120000Z --- 12.0N 126.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 080 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
130000Z --- 12.4N 128.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
220 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
250 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
140000Z --- 14.1N 132.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 300 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
230 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
100300Z POSITION NEAR 11.3N 125.9E.
10APR22. TROPICAL STORM 03W (MEGI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 353 NM
SOUTHEAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 04
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT
AT 100000Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 100900Z, 101500Z, 102100Z
AND 110300Z. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 02W (MALAKAS) WARNINGS
(WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPQ31 RJTD 100000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO. 5 FOR TS 2202 MEGI (2202)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
A TD PREVIOUSLY LOCATED AT 10.8N, 125.9E HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO TS
(MEGI) STATUS. TS MEGI IS LOCATED AT 10.8N, 125.8E. INFORMATION ON
THE CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS. POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS
998HPA AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 35KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS IN A
FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH
SSTS, HIGH TCHP AND GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW. THIS HAS CAUSED THE
SYSTEM TO DEVELOP OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE
CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS ALMOST STATIONARY. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS CB CLUSTERS
GATHERING AROUND THE CSC. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD CLOUD
CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS
DRY AIR AROUND THE SYSTEM.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL REMAIN ALMOST STATIONARY DUE TO WEAK STEERING FLOW
UNTIL FT48. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN MOVE EASTWARD DUE TO INTERACTION
WITH A NEARBY TROPICAL CYCLONE UNTIL FT72. THE TRACK FORECAST IS
BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK
FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS LOW DUE TO SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG
NWP MODEL OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY UNTIL FT48 DUE TO THE
INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP AND STRONG VWS.
THE SYSTEM WILL THEN WEAKEN UNTIL FT72 UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF AN
ADJACENT SYSTEM. THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN TO TD INTENSITY BY FT72.
THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON GUIDANCE DATA.
=


Original Message :

WTPQ51 RJTD 100000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2202 MEGI (2202) UPGRADED FROM TD
ANALYSIS
PSTN 100000UTC 10.8N 125.8E FAIR
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 150NM
FORECAST
24HF 110000UTC 11.0N 125.8E 65NM 70%
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
48HF 120000UTC 11.4N 125.8E 120NM 70%
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
72HF 130000UTC 11.2N 127.3E 180NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTPQ21 RJTD 100000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2202 MEGI (2202) UPGRADED FROM TD
ANALYSIS
PSTN 100000UTC 10.8N 125.8E FAIR
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 150NM
FORECAST
24HF 110000UTC 11.0N 125.8E 65NM 70%
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
48HF 120000UTC 11.4N 125.8E 120NM 70%
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
72HF 130000UTC 11.2N 127.3E 180NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =


Original Message :

WTJP22 RJTD 100000
WARNING 100000.
WARNING VALID 110000.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2202 MEGI (2202) UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 998
HPA
AT 10.8N 125.8E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES ALMOST STATIONARY.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 110000UTC AT 11.0N 125.8E WITH 65 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
998 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 120000UTC AT 11.4N 125.8E WITH 120 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
998 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 130000UTC AT 11.2N 127.3E WITH 180 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1002 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=


Original Message :

WTPN52 PGTW 092100
WARNING ATCG MIL 03W NWP 220409195341
2022040918 03W THREE 004 02 285 04 SATL 040
T000 110N 1263E 030
T012 112N 1259E 035
T024 114N 1257E 035 R034 070 NE QD 070 SE QD 070 SW QD 080 NW QD
T036 116N 1257E 035 R034 100 NE QD 070 SE QD 080 SW QD 060 NW QD
T048 118N 1260E 040 R034 180 NE QD 100 SE QD 090 SW QD 070 NW QD
T072 119N 1285E 040 R034 180 NE QD 160 SE QD 220 SW QD 250 NW QD
T096 144N 1326E 040 R034 300 NE QD 230 SE QD 180 SW QD 170 NW QD
AMP
072HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
096HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
SUBJ: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03W (THREE) WARNING NR 004
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03W (THREE) WARNING NR 004
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
091800Z --- NEAR 11.0N 126.3E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 04 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 11.0N 126.3E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
100600Z --- 11.2N 125.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 01 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
101800Z --- 11.4N 125.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 01 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
110600Z --- 11.6N 125.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 02 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
111800Z --- 11.8N 126.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 085 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
121800Z --- 11.9N 128.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
220 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
250 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
131800Z --- 14.4N 132.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 300 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
230 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
092100Z POSITION NEAR 11.0N 126.2E.
09APR22. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03W (THREE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
378 NM SOUTHEAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED WEST-
NORTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 091800Z IS 11 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 100300Z, 100900Z, 101500Z AND 102100Z.
//
0322040718 90N1284E 15
0322040800 96N1282E 15
0322040806 101N1279E 15
0322040812 107N1275E 20
0322040818 110N1269E 20
0322040900 107N1268E 25
0322040906 108N1270E 25
0322040912 109N1267E 25
0322040918 110N1263E 30
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 092100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03W (THREE) WARNING NR 004//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03W (THREE) WARNING NR 004
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
091800Z --- NEAR 11.0N 126.3E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 04 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 11.0N 126.3E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
100600Z --- 11.2N 125.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 01 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
101800Z --- 11.4N 125.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 01 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
110600Z --- 11.6N 125.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 02 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
111800Z --- 11.8N 126.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 085 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
121800Z --- 11.9N 128.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
220 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
250 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
131800Z --- 14.4N 132.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 300 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
230 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
092100Z POSITION NEAR 11.0N 126.2E.
09APR22. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03W (THREE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
378 NM SOUTHEAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED WEST-
NORTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 091800Z IS 11 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
100300Z, 100900Z, 101500Z AND 102100Z. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 02W
(MALAKAS) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN52 PGTW 091500
WARNING ATCG MIL 03W NWP 220409125639
2022040912 03W THREE 003 02 290 03 SATL 025
T000 109N 1267E 025
T012 111N 1265E 030
T024 113N 1263E 035 R034 070 NE QD 070 SE QD 070 SW QD 080 NW QD
T036 116N 1264E 040 R034 100 NE QD 070 SE QD 080 SW QD 060 NW QD
T048 119N 1270E 040 R034 180 NE QD 100 SE QD 090 SW QD 070 NW QD
T072 132N 1304E 040 R034 180 NE QD 160 SE QD 220 SW QD 250 NW QD
T096 157N 1338E 040 R034 300 NE QD 230 SE QD 180 SW QD 170 NW QD
AMP
072HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
096HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
SUBJ: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03W (THREE) WARNING NR 003
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03W (THREE) WARNING NR 003
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
091200Z --- NEAR 10.9N 126.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 03 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 10.9N 126.7E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
100000Z --- 11.1N 126.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 01 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
101200Z --- 11.3N 126.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 02 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
110000Z --- 11.6N 126.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
111200Z --- 11.9N 127.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
121200Z --- 13.2N 130.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
220 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
250 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
131200Z --- 15.7N 133.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 300 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
230 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
091500Z POSITION NEAR 11.0N 126.7E.
09APR22. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03W (THREE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 401 NM
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD
AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT
AT 091200Z IS 10 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 092100Z, 100300Z, 100900Z AND
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
0322040718 90N1284E 15
0322040800 96N1282E 15
0322040806 101N1279E 15
0322040812 107N1275E 20
0322040818 110N1269E 20
0322040900 107N1268E 25
0322040906 108N1270E 25
0322040912 109N1267E 25
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 091500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03W (THREE) WARNING NR 003
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
091200Z --- NEAR 10.9N 126.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 03 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 10.9N 126.7E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
100000Z --- 11.1N 126.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 01 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
101200Z --- 11.3N 126.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 02 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
110000Z --- 11.6N 126.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
111200Z --- 11.9N 127.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
121200Z --- 13.2N 130.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
220 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
250 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
131200Z --- 15.7N 133.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 300 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
230 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
091500Z POSITION NEAR 11.0N 126.7E.
09APR22. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03W (THREE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 401
NM
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED WEST-
NORTHWESTWARD
AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT
AT 091200Z IS 10 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 092100Z, 100300Z, 100900Z AND
101500Z. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 02W (MALAKAS) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN52 PGTW 090900
WARNING ATCG MIL 03W NWP 220409073613
2022040906 03W THREE 002 02 065 02 SATL 020
T000 108N 1270E 025
T012 110N 1272E 030
T024 113N 1272E 035 R034 090 NE QD 070 SE QD 100 SW QD 090 NW QD
T036 117N 1272E 040 R034 130 NE QD 080 SE QD 100 SW QD 120 NW QD
T048 120N 1276E 040 R034 290 NE QD 100 SE QD 120 SW QD 160 NW QD
T072 137N 1298E 040 R034 200 NE QD 200 SE QD 230 SW QD 250 NW QD
T096 152N 1324E 040 R034 380 NE QD 190 SE QD 170 SW QD 210 NW QD
AMP
072HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
096HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
SUBJ: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03W (THREE) WARNING NR 002
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03W (THREE) WARNING NR 002
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
090600Z --- NEAR 10.8N 127.0E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 065 DEGREES AT 02 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 10.8N 127.0E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
091800Z --- 11.0N 127.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 02 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
100600Z --- 11.3N 127.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 02 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
101800Z --- 11.7N 127.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 02 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
110600Z --- 12.0N 127.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 290 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
120600Z --- 13.7N 129.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
230 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
250 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
130600Z --- 15.2N 132.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 380 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
210 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
090900Z POSITION NEAR 10.8N 127.0E.
09APR22. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03W (THREE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 419 NM
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED EAST- NORTHEASTWARD
AT 02 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT
090600Z IS 10 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 091500Z, 092100Z, 100300Z AND 100900Z.
UPDATES.//
0322040718 90N1284E 15
0322040800 96N1282E 15
0322040806 101N1279E 15
0322040812 107N1275E 20
0322040818 110N1269E 20
0322040900 107N1268E 25
0322040906 108N1270E 25
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 090900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03W (THREE) WARNING NR 002//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03W (THREE) WARNING NR 002
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
090600Z --- NEAR 10.8N 127.0E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 065 DEGREES AT 02 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 10.8N 127.0E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
091800Z --- 11.0N 127.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 02 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
100600Z --- 11.3N 127.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 02 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
101800Z --- 11.7N 127.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 02 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
110600Z --- 12.0N 127.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 290 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
120600Z --- 13.7N 129.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
230 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
250 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
130600Z --- 15.2N 132.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 380 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
190 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
210 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
090900Z POSITION NEAR 10.8N 127.0E.
09APR22. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03W (THREE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 419
NM
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED EAST-
NORTHEASTWARD
AT 02 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT
AT
090600Z IS 10 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 091500Z, 092100Z, 100300Z AND
100900Z.
REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 02W (MALAKAS) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-
HOURLY
UPDATES.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN52 PGTW 090300
WARNING ATCG MIL 03W NWP 220409032405
2022040900 03W THREE 001 02 200 03 SATL 060
T000 107N 1268E 025
T012 112N 1267E 030
T024 114N 1270E 035 R034 000 NE QD 070 SE QD 100 SW QD 050 NW QD
T036 116N 1273E 040 R034 000 NE QD 080 SE QD 090 SW QD 050 NW QD
T048 118N 1278E 040 R034 000 NE QD 090 SE QD 110 SW QD 030 NW QD
T072 127N 1309E 040 R034 000 NE QD 150 SE QD 120 SW QD 000 NW QD
T096 177N 1384E 040 R034 060 NE QD 060 SE QD 060 SW QD 000 NW QD
AMP
072HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
096HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
SUBJ: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03W (THREE) WARNING NR 001
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03W (THREE) WARNING NR 001
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
090000Z --- NEAR 10.7N 126.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 200 DEGREES AT 03 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 10.7N 126.8E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
091200Z --- 11.2N 126.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 02 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
100000Z --- 11.4N 127.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 02 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
101200Z --- 11.6N 127.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
110000Z --- 11.8N 127.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
120000Z --- 12.7N 130.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 22 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
130000Z --- 17.7N 138.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
090300Z POSITION NEAR 10.8N 126.8E.
09APR22. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03W (THREE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
230 NM SOUTHEAST OF LEGAZPI, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED SOUTH-
SOUTHWESTWARD AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 090000Z IS 10 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 090900Z, 091500Z, 092100Z AND 100300Z.
//
0322040718 90N1284E 15
0322040800 96N1282E 15
0322040806 101N1279E 15
0322040812 107N1275E 20
0322040818 110N1269E 20
0322040900 107N1268E 25
NNNN

>