Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for KARL-22
in Mexico
13 Oct 2022 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone KARL-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 58 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (13 Oct 15:45 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 58 km/h 0.3 m 198 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 76 km/h 0.5 m 489 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

76 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 13 Oct 2022 12:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 11 Oct 2022 18:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 12 Oct 2022 00:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 12 Oct 2022 06:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 12 Oct 2022 12:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 12 Oct 2022 18:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 13 Oct 2022 00:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 13 Oct 2022 06:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 13 Oct 2022 12:00 58 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 13 Oct 2022 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmCosta Rica, Panama156,387
+
Costa Rica5,454 
Panama150,932 
50-100 mmMexico, Guatemala, Honduras, El Salvador, Nicaragua, Costa Rica, Panama9,109,770
+
Mexico2,438,235 
Guatemala1,639,035 
Honduras8,734 
El Salvador300,206 
Nicaragua122,269 
Costa Rica3,499,617 
Panama1,101,671 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 11 Oct 2022 18:00 60 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 12 Oct 2022 00:00 150 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 12 Oct 2022 06:00 117 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 12 Oct 2022 12:00 107 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 12 Oct 2022 18:00 111 -
- - - - - United States, Panama
Blue 6 13 Oct 2022 00:00 69 -
- - - - - United States, Panama
Blue 7 13 Oct 2022 06:00 65 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 13 Oct 2022 12:00 437 160 thousand
- - - - Mexico, Guatemala, Honduras, El Salvador, Nicaragua, Costa Rica, Panama




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Tecomate, Mexico. This height is estimated for 13 Oct 2022 15:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 13 Oct 2022 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
13 Oct 2022 15:45 Tecomate Mexico  0.3
13 Oct 2022 15:45 Cabo Tepoca Mexico  0.3
13 Oct 2022 12:00 Isleta Panama  0.2
13 Oct 2022 12:00 Arraijan Panama  0.2
13 Oct 2022 12:00 Puerto Caimito Panama  0.2
13 Oct 2022 12:00 Vista Alegre Panama  0.2
13 Oct 2022 12:00 San Vicente de Bique Panama  0.2
13 Oct 2022 12:00 Vaca Monte Panama  0.2
13 Oct 2022 12:00 Vera Cruz Panama  0.2
13 Oct 2022 12:00 Rousseau Panama  0.2
13 Oct 2022 12:00 Lacona Panama  0.2
13 Oct 2022 12:00 Fuerte Kobbe Panama  0.2
13 Oct 2022 12:00 Albrook Panama  0.2
13 Oct 2022 12:00 Taboga Panama  0.2
13 Oct 2022 12:00 Ciudad de Panama Panama  0.2
13 Oct 2022 12:00 Juan Dias Panama  0.2
13 Oct 2022 12:00 Perequete Panama  0.2
13 Oct 2022 12:00 Pena Blanca Panama  0.2
13 Oct 2022 12:00 La Mitra Panama  0.2
13 Oct 2022 12:00 Playa Leona Panama  0.2
13 Oct 2022 12:00 Coco Panama  0.2
13 Oct 2022 12:00 Cruces Panama  0.2
13 Oct 2022 12:00 Majagul Panama  0.2
13 Oct 2022 12:00 San Jose Panama  0.2
13 Oct 2022 16:00 Puerto Libertad Mexico  0.2
13 Oct 2022 16:15 El Desemboque Mexico  0.2
13 Oct 2022 17:15 San Rafael Mexico  0.2
13 Oct 2022 16:45 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.2
13 Oct 2022 16:45 Tastiota Mexico  0.2
13 Oct 2022 17:00 Guasimas Mexico  0.2
13 Oct 2022 18:00 Belle Isle Estates United States  0.2
13 Oct 2022 18:00 Friendfield United States  0.2
13 Oct 2022 18:00 Denny Corner United States  0.2
13 Oct 2022 18:00 Caines United States  0.2
13 Oct 2022 18:00 Quarantine United States  0.2
13 Oct 2022 18:00 Clambank United States  0.2
13 Oct 2022 18:00 De Bordieu Colony United States  0.2
13 Oct 2022 18:00 Hagley Estates United States  0.2
13 Oct 2022 18:00 Birds Nest United States  0.2
13 Oct 2022 18:00 Pawleys Island United States  0.2
13 Oct 2022 17:00 Empalme Mexico  0.2
13 Oct 2022 17:15 Guaymas Mexico  0.2
13 Oct 2022 17:00 San Carlos Mexico  0.2
13 Oct 2022 17:15 Liliba Mexico  0.2
13 Oct 2022 17:30 Atanacio Mexico  0.2
13 Oct 2022 17:30 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.2
13 Oct 2022 17:30 Borabampo Mexico  0.2
13 Oct 2022 12:00 El Libano Panama  0.2
13 Oct 2022 12:00 Los Calabazos Panama  0.2
13 Oct 2022 12:00 El Tigre Panama  0.2
13 Oct 2022 12:00 La Boca de Chame Panama  0.2
13 Oct 2022 12:00 Claridad Panama  0.2
13 Oct 2022 12:00 Punta Chame Panama  0.2
13 Oct 2022 12:00 Otoque Occidente Panama  0.2
13 Oct 2022 12:00 Otoque Oriente Panama  0.2
13 Oct 2022 17:00 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.2
13 Oct 2022 16:45 San Bruno Mexico  0.2
13 Oct 2022 17:00 Mulege Mexico  0.2
13 Oct 2022 17:00 Los Dolores Mexico  0.2
13 Oct 2022 12:00 Condega Honduras  0.2
13 Oct 2022 12:00 Mangle Alto Nicaragua  0.2
13 Oct 2022 12:00 Albania Honduras  0.2
13 Oct 2022 18:00 True Blue United States  0.2
13 Oct 2022 18:00 Chapel Creek United States  0.2
13 Oct 2022 18:00 Parkersville United States  0.2
13 Oct 2022 18:00 Annieville United States  0.2
13 Oct 2022 18:00 North Litchfield Beach United States  0.2
13 Oct 2022 17:15 San Jose Mexico  0.2
13 Oct 2022 17:00 Camahuiroa Mexico  0.1
13 Oct 2022 17:00 San Ignacio Mexico  0.1
13 Oct 2022 17:00 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.1
13 Oct 2022 16:45 Las Bocas Mexico  0.1
13 Oct 2022 17:45 Huntington Marsh United States  0.1
13 Oct 2022 17:45 Oak Hill United States  0.1
13 Oct 2022 17:45 Murrells Inlet United States  0.1
13 Oct 2022 17:45 Inlet Harbor United States  0.1
13 Oct 2022 15:45 Myrtle Beach United States  0.1
13 Oct 2022 15:45 Ocean Forest United States  0.1
13 Oct 2022 15:45 Arcadian Shores United States  0.1
13 Oct 2022 15:45 Briarcliffe Acres United States  0.1
13 Oct 2022 15:45 Atlantic Beach United States  0.1
13 Oct 2022 15:45 Ingram Beach United States  0.1
13 Oct 2022 15:45 North Myrtle Beach United States  0.1
13 Oct 2022 15:45 Nixons Crossroads United States  0.1
13 Oct 2022 15:45 Cherry Grove Beach United States  0.1
13 Oct 2022 15:45 Creekside United States  0.1
13 Oct 2022 15:45 Little River United States  0.1
13 Oct 2022 17:45 Mount Gilead United States  0.1
13 Oct 2022 17:45 Garden City United States  0.1
13 Oct 2022 17:45 Surfside Beach United States  0.1
13 Oct 2022 17:45 Deer Track Villas United States  0.1
13 Oct 2022 17:45 Crystal Lake United States  0.1
13 Oct 2022 17:45 Pebble Beach United States  0.1
13 Oct 2022 17:45 Myrtle Ridge United States  0.1
13 Oct 2022 12:00 El Sitio Panama  0.1
13 Oct 2022 12:00 Ciudad Radial Panama  0.1
13 Oct 2022 12:00 Palo Grande Panama  0.1
13 Oct 2022 17:15 San Juanico Mexico  0.1
13 Oct 2022 12:00 El Salado Panama  0.1
13 Oct 2022 12:00 Boca de Parita Panama  0.1
13 Oct 2022 12:00 Chitre Panama  0.1
13 Oct 2022 12:00 Bayano Panama  0.1
13 Oct 2022 14:15 Burnside View United States  0.1
13 Oct 2022 14:15 The Landings United States  0.1
13 Oct 2022 14:15 Wilmington Island United States  0.1
13 Oct 2022 12:00 Puerto Aguadulce Panama  0.1
13 Oct 2022 12:00 Arenas Blancas Panama  0.1
13 Oct 2022 12:00 El Guineo Panama  0.1
13 Oct 2022 12:00 Boca Nueva Panama  0.1
13 Oct 2022 17:15 San Bruno Mexico  0.1
13 Oct 2022 17:00 Loreto Mexico  0.1
13 Oct 2022 17:45 Ligui Mexico  0.1
13 Oct 2022 12:00 Boca de Pacora Panama  0.1
13 Oct 2022 17:30 Tripui Mexico  0.1
13 Oct 2022 17:00 El Aquajito Mexico  0.1
13 Oct 2022 17:00 Los Burros Mexico  0.1
13 Oct 2022 18:00 Bennetts Point United States  0.1
13 Oct 2022 18:00 Cedar Reef Villas United States  0.1
13 Oct 2022 18:00 Seabrook United States  0.1
13 Oct 2022 18:00 Edisto Beach United States  0.1
13 Oct 2022 18:00 Edisto Island United States  0.1
13 Oct 2022 18:00 Freedman United States  0.1
13 Oct 2022 18:00 Oakgrove United States  0.1
13 Oct 2022 18:00 Rockville United States  0.1
13 Oct 2022 18:00 Seabrook Island United States  0.1
13 Oct 2022 12:00 Rio Chico Panama  0.1
13 Oct 2022 12:00 Chepillo Panama  0.1
13 Oct 2022 12:00 Sabaneta Panama  0.1
13 Oct 2022 12:00 Boca de Torin Panama  0.1
13 Oct 2022 12:00 Chinina Panama  0.1
13 Oct 2022 12:30 Las Pozas Nicaragua  0.1
13 Oct 2022 12:30 La Chacara Nicaragua  0.1
13 Oct 2022 12:30 El Capulin Nicaragua  0.1
13 Oct 2022 18:00 McClellanville United States  0.1
13 Oct 2022 18:00 Frogmore United States  0.1
13 Oct 2022 12:00 Juan Hombron Panama  0.1
13 Oct 2022 17:15 Cachoana Mexico  0.1
13 Oct 2022 16:30 San Cosme Mexico  0.1
13 Oct 2022 17:15 Santa Marta Mexico  0.1
13 Oct 2022 17:45 Konig United States  0.1
13 Oct 2022 17:45 Plantation Point United States  0.1
13 Oct 2022 12:00 Saboga Panama  0.1
13 Oct 2022 15:30 Buck Hall United States  0.1
13 Oct 2022 15:30 Tibwin United States  0.1
13 Oct 2022 15:30 McCellanville United States  0.1
13 Oct 2022 17:00 Datilito Mexico  0.1
13 Oct 2022 17:00 La Paz Mexico  0.1
13 Oct 2022 17:00 Rosario Mexico  0.1
13 Oct 2022 12:00 Finca Santa Monica Panama  0.1
13 Oct 2022 12:00 Rio Hato Panama  0.1
13 Oct 2022 12:00 El Farallon del Chiru Panama  0.1
13 Oct 2022 17:30 San Juan de la Costa Mexico  0.1
13 Oct 2022 17:30 Kiawah Island United States  0.1
13 Oct 2022 17:30 Legareville United States  0.1
13 Oct 2022 17:30 Folly Beach United States  0.1
13 Oct 2022 15:30 Cape Canaveral United States  0.1
13 Oct 2022 18:00 Bayfront United States  0.1
13 Oct 2022 18:00 Lakeview Of Lawton Bluff United States  0.1
13 Oct 2022 18:00 Centerville United States  0.1
13 Oct 2022 18:00 Secessionville United States  0.1
13 Oct 2022 18:00 Fort Johnson Estates United States  0.1
13 Oct 2022 17:00 Tambobiche Mexico  0.1
13 Oct 2022 12:00 Paquera Costa Rica  0.1
13 Oct 2022 12:00 Gigante Costa Rica  0.1
13 Oct 2022 12:00 Puerto Chomes Costa Rica  0.1
13 Oct 2022 12:00 San Lucas Costa Rica  0.1
13 Oct 2022 12:00 Trenconal Costa Rica  0.1
13 Oct 2022 12:00 Puntarenas Costa Rica  0.1
13 Oct 2022 12:00 Hacienda Puerto Alto Costa Rica  0.1
13 Oct 2022 12:00 Pitahaya Costa Rica  0.1
13 Oct 2022 12:00 Boca Barranca Costa Rica  0.1
13 Oct 2022 12:00 Barranca Costa Rica  0.1
13 Oct 2022 12:00 Corralillo Costa Rica  0.1
13 Oct 2022 12:00 Bajamar Costa Rica  0.1
13 Oct 2022 12:00 Casaya Panama  0.1
13 Oct 2022 14:00 Fort Screven United States  0.1
13 Oct 2022 14:00 Tybee Island United States  0.1
13 Oct 2022 18:00 Battery Marina Village United States  0.1
13 Oct 2022 18:00 Bram Landing United States  0.1
13 Oct 2022 18:00 Palmetto Dunes United States  0.1
13 Oct 2022 18:00 Hilton Head Plantation United States  0.1
13 Oct 2022 18:00 Gator Field United States  0.1
13 Oct 2022 18:00 Parris Island United States  0.1
13 Oct 2022 18:00 Folly Field United States  0.1
13 Oct 2022 18:00 Port Royal United States  0.1
13 Oct 2022 18:00 Fort Fremont United States  0.1
13 Oct 2022 18:00 Scott United States  0.1
13 Oct 2022 18:00 Longwood United States  0.1
13 Oct 2022 12:00 Pedro de Cocal Panama  0.1
13 Oct 2022 12:00 Don Bernardo Panama  0.1
13 Oct 2022 12:00 Floral Panama  0.1
13 Oct 2022 12:00 La Legua Panama  0.1
13 Oct 2022 12:00 Martin Perez Panama  0.1
13 Oct 2022 12:00 Palenque Panama  0.1
13 Oct 2022 12:00 Rio Sucio Adentro Panama  0.1
13 Oct 2022 12:00 Guinea Panama  0.1
13 Oct 2022 12:00 Rio Ostion Adentro Panama  0.1
13 Oct 2022 12:00 Medina del Este Panama  0.1
13 Oct 2022 12:00 La Ensenada Panama  0.1
13 Oct 2022 12:00 La Puntita Panama  0.1
13 Oct 2022 12:00 Playa Lagarto Panama  0.1
13 Oct 2022 18:00 South Beach Villas United States  0.1
13 Oct 2022 18:00 Greenwood Forest United States  0.1
13 Oct 2022 18:00 Calibogue Cay United States  0.1
13 Oct 2022 18:00 Spanish Wells United States  0.1
13 Oct 2022 18:00 Bay Pines United States  0.1
13 Oct 2022 18:00 Sea Pines Plantation United States  0.1
13 Oct 2022 18:00 Hickory Bluff United States  0.1
13 Oct 2022 18:00 Forest Beach United States  0.1
13 Oct 2022 18:00 Hilton Head Island United States  0.1
13 Oct 2022 18:00 Long Cove Plantation United States  0.1
13 Oct 2022 18:00 Seabrook Landing United States  0.1
13 Oct 2022 16:30 Topolobampo Mexico  0.1
13 Oct 2022 12:00 Anonal Panama  0.1
13 Oct 2022 12:00 El Jobo Panama  0.1
13 Oct 2022 12:00 Guarare Panama  0.1
13 Oct 2022 12:00 El Ajustillo Honduras  0.1
13 Oct 2022 12:00 Puerto Grande Honduras  0.1
13 Oct 2022 12:00 El Volcancillo Honduras  0.1
13 Oct 2022 12:00 Gualora Honduras  0.1
13 Oct 2022 12:00 Las Piletas Honduras  0.1
13 Oct 2022 12:00 El Moray Honduras  0.1
13 Oct 2022 12:00 Estero del Espino Honduras  0.1
13 Oct 2022 12:00 Campamento Honduras  0.1
13 Oct 2022 12:00 El Hato Honduras  0.1
13 Oct 2022 12:00 Barrancones Honduras  0.1
13 Oct 2022 12:00 Cedeno Honduras  0.1
13 Oct 2022 12:00 Buena Vista Honduras  0.1
13 Oct 2022 12:00 El Tambor Honduras  0.1
13 Oct 2022 18:00 Bethune Beach United States  0.1
13 Oct 2022 18:00 Eldora United States  0.1
13 Oct 2022 18:00 Valkaria United States  0.1
13 Oct 2022 18:00 Grant United States  0.1
13 Oct 2022 18:00 Melbourne Shores United States  0.1
13 Oct 2022 18:00 Evans Pines United States  0.1
13 Oct 2022 18:00 Ballard Pines United States  0.1
13 Oct 2022 18:00 Cummings United States  0.1
13 Oct 2022 18:00 Wabasso United States  0.1
13 Oct 2022 18:00 Orchid United States  0.1
13 Oct 2022 18:00 Indian River Shores United States  0.1
13 Oct 2022 17:45 Fort Moultrie United States  0.1
13 Oct 2022 17:45 Sullivan's Island United States  0.1
13 Oct 2022 16:00 Novillero Mexico  0.1
13 Oct 2022 16:00 Cuantla Mexico  0.1
13 Oct 2022 12:00 Santa Clara Panama  0.1
13 Oct 2022 12:00 Platanal Panama  0.1
13 Oct 2022 12:00 Nancito Panama  0.1
13 Oct 2022 12:00 Las Guias Panama  0.1
13 Oct 2022 17:45 Tropic United States  0.1
13 Oct 2022 17:45 Melbourne Beach United States  0.1
13 Oct 2022 17:45 Indian Harbour Beach United States  0.1
13 Oct 2022 17:45 Canova Beach United States  0.1
13 Oct 2022 17:45 Indialantic United States  0.1
13 Oct 2022 12:00 Santa Lucia Costa Rica  0.1
13 Oct 2022 12:00 Cabo Blanco Costa Rica  0.1
13 Oct 2022 16:00 Cuamecate Mexico  0.1
13 Oct 2022 15:45 Island of Palms United States  0.1
13 Oct 2022 15:45 Porcher Bluff United States  0.1
13 Oct 2022 15:45 Isle of Palms United States  0.1
13 Oct 2022 15:45 Ten Mile United States  0.1
13 Oct 2022 16:45 Charleston United States  0.1
13 Oct 2022 16:45 Hobcaw Point United States  0.1
13 Oct 2022 16:45 The Groves United States  0.1
13 Oct 2022 16:45 Mount Pleasant United States  0.1
13 Oct 2022 16:45 Cassina Heights United States  0.1
13 Oct 2022 16:45 Palmetto Fort United States  0.1
13 Oct 2022 18:00 Riomar United States  0.1
13 Oct 2022 18:00 Seabreeze United States  0.1
13 Oct 2022 18:00 South Daytona United States  0.1
13 Oct 2022 18:00 Daytona Beach Shores United States  0.1
13 Oct 2022 18:00 Allandale United States  0.1
13 Oct 2022 18:00 Halifax Estates United States  0.1
13 Oct 2022 18:00 Wilbur-by-the-Sea United States  0.1
13 Oct 2022 18:00 Isleboro United States  0.1
13 Oct 2022 18:00 New Smyrna Beach United States  0.1
13 Oct 2022 18:00 Ponce Inlet United States  0.1
13 Oct 2022 18:00 Ponce Park United States  0.1
13 Oct 2022 17:15 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
13 Oct 2022 16:15 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.1
13 Oct 2022 12:00 Camaronal Costa Rica  0.1
13 Oct 2022 18:00 Daufuskie Landing United States  0.1
13 Oct 2022 18:00 Cooper River Landing United States  0.1
13 Oct 2022 12:00 Boca de Teta Panama  0.1
13 Oct 2022 12:00 San Jose Panama  0.1
13 Oct 2022 12:00 Los Nisperos Panama  0.1
13 Oct 2022 12:00 Agua Mina Panama  0.1
13 Oct 2022 12:00 Coloncito Panama  0.1
13 Oct 2022 12:00 El Celaje Panama  0.1
13 Oct 2022 12:00 Playa Coronado Panama  0.1
13 Oct 2022 12:00 Playa Cporonado Panama  0.1
13 Oct 2022 12:00 La Paz Panama  0.1
13 Oct 2022 12:00 Santa Cruz Panama  0.1
13 Oct 2022 12:00 Chame Panama  0.1
13 Oct 2022 12:00 Espave Panama  0.1
13 Oct 2022 12:00 Gorgona Panama  0.1
13 Oct 2022 12:00 El Mangate Panama  0.1
13 Oct 2022 12:00 Pajonal Panama  0.1
13 Oct 2022 12:00 Lagarto Costa Rica  0.1
13 Oct 2022 12:00 Morales Costa Rica  0.1
13 Oct 2022 17:00 La Ventana Mexico  0.1
13 Oct 2022 14:45 Sapelo Island United States  0.1
13 Oct 2022 14:45 Raccoon Bluff United States  0.1
13 Oct 2022 16:15 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.1