Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for PAKHAR-22
Off-shore

Impact

Tropical Cyclone PAKHAR-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries Japan
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 76 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.7 m (11 Dec 11:00 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 76 km/h 0.7 m 286 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 130 km/h 0.7 m 573 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

130 km/h

Up to Few people can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 11 Dec 2022 00:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormJapan260 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 10 Dec 2022 18:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 11 Dec 2022 00:00 137 -
- - - - - Japan
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 11 Dec 2022 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
50-100 mmJapan193 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 10 Dec 2022 18:00 335 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 11 Dec 2022 00:00 530 -
- - - - - Japan




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Quezon, Concepcion, Philippines. This height is estimated for 10/12/2022 20:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 11 Dec 2022 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
10/12/2022 20:00 Quezon, Concepcion Philippines  0.2
13/12/2022 03:00 , Bagatao Island Mualbual Philippines  0.1
11/12/2022 03:00 Bicol, Barana Philippines  0.1
10/12/2022 20:00 Ilocos, Cabarruyan Island Santiago Philippines  0.1
10/12/2022 18:00 Palawan, Chindonan Island Culion Philippines  0.1
11/12/2022 01:00 Penghu, Pai-sha Tao Ch'ang-an Taiwan  0.1
11/12/2022 06:00 Fukui, Honshu Otomi Japan  0.1
11/12/2022 03:00 Bicol, Virac Philippines  0.1
12/12/2022 04:00 Tacloban City, Tacloban Philippines  0.1
12/12/2022 14:00 Central Visayas, Bantayan Island Bantayan Philippines  0.1
12/12/2022 03:00 Western Visayas, Panay Island Concepcion Philippines  0.1
12/12/2022 15:00 Central Visayas, Leyte Island Manjuyod Philippines  0.1
11/12/2022 06:00 Fukui, Honshu Sengodani Japan  0.1
12/12/2022 15:00 Negros Oriental, Leyte Island Ayungon Philippines  0.1
12/12/2022 15:00 Negros Oriental, Leyte Island Tayasan Philippines  0.1
12/12/2022 15:00 Central Visayas, Leyte Island Guihulngan Philippines  0.1
12/12/2022 15:00 Central Visayas, Leyte Island Calamba Philippines  0.1
13/12/2022 02:00 Iloilo, Punta Buri Philippines  0.1
11/12/2022 06:00 Kyoto, Honshu Oshima Japan  0.1
11/12/2022 06:00 Kyoto, Honshu Honjo-Hama Japan  0.1
11/12/2022 06:00 Kyoto, Honshu Rokumambu Japan  0.1
11/12/2022 06:00 Kyoto, Honshu Tsumo Japan  0.1
11/12/2022 06:00 Kyoto, Honshu Hirata Japan  0.1
11/12/2022 06:00 Kyoto, Honshu Oura Japan  0.1
11/12/2022 06:00 Kyoto, Honshu Kamiji Japan  0.1
11/12/2022 06:00 Kyoto, Honshu Nii Japan  0.1
12/12/2022 15:00 Western Visayas, Leyte Island Escalante Philippines  0.1
12/12/2022 15:00 Western Visayas, Leyte Island Calatrava Philippines  0.1
12/12/2022 15:00 Western Visayas, Leyte Island Santo Nino Philippines  0.1
11/12/2022 01:00 Southern Tagalog, Polillo Island Bisliang Philippines  0.1
12/12/2022 08:00 Eastern Visayas, Tanauan Philippines  0.1
12/12/2022 15:00 Western Visayas, Panay Island Binon-an Philippines  0.1
11/12/2022 05:00 , Guintinua Island Banacboc Philippines  0.1
12/12/2022 18:00 Southern Tagalog, Palawan Palarican Philippines  0.1
11/12/2022 16:00 , Mauban Island Calamias Philippines  0.1
10/12/2022 22:00 Guangdong, Shangchuan Dao Dalangwan China  0.1
12/12/2022 05:00 Okinawa, Okinawa-jima Atsuta Japan  0.1
12/12/2022 13:00 Hiroshima, Honshu Hama Japan  0.1
12/12/2022 10:00 Yamaguchi, Honshu Kurosaki Japan  0.1
12/12/2022 09:00 Yamaguchi, Honshu Chofu Japan  0.1
11/12/2022 00:00 Fujian, Tantou China  0.1
12/12/2022 14:00 Mie, Honshu Karasu Japan  0.1
12/12/2022 13:00 Hiroshima, Etajima Japan  0.1
12/12/2022 13:00 Hiroshima, Kuchisubo Japan  0.1
12/12/2022 14:00 Mie, Honshu Ueno Japan  0.1
13/12/2022 04:00 Jeollabuk-do, Kan Republic of Korea  0.1
12/12/2022 09:00 Fukuoka, Kyushu Moji Japan  0.1
12/12/2022 13:00 Hiroshima, Honshu Hama Japan  0.1
12/12/2022 13:00 Hiroshima, Shimonohama Japan  0.1
12/12/2022 13:00 Hiroshima, Miyajima Japan  0.1
12/12/2022 04:00 Nagasaki, Kyushu Yue Japan  0.1
12/12/2022 04:00 Nagasaki, Kyushu Isahaya Japan  0.1
12/12/2022 04:00 Nagasaki, Kyushu Conagai Japan  0.1
10/12/2022 23:00 Aichi, Honshu Oitsu Japan  0.1
12/12/2022 22:00 Fujian, Shihu China  0.1
12/12/2022 05:00 Nagasaki, Kyushu Tairamachi Japan  0.1
12/12/2022 13:00 Hiroshima, Honshu Kuba Japan  0.1
12/12/2022 12:00 Hiroshima, Munagata Japan  0.1
12/12/2022 12:00 Hiroshima, Sannose Japan  0.1
11/12/2022 03:00 Shizuoka, Honshu Arai Japan  0.1
13/12/2022 10:00 Jeollanam-do, Ikkum-ni Republic of Korea  0.1
12/12/2022 13:00 Hiroshima, Nakanohama Japan  0.1
12/12/2022 13:00 Hiroshima, Hata Japan  0.1
12/12/2022 13:00 Hiroshima, Tsukumo Japan  0.1
10/12/2022 18:00 Zhejiang, Hsieh-fu China  0.1
12/12/2022 12:00 Hiroshima, Mitarai Japan  0.1
11/12/2022 01:00 Penghu, Chi-pei Tao Chi-pei Taiwan  0.1
12/12/2022 05:00 Nagasaki, Kyushu Matsuomachi Japan  0.1
12/12/2022 12:00 Hiroshima, Shimojima Japan  0.1
12/12/2022 12:00 Hiroshima, Ojizo Japan  0.1
12/12/2022 12:00 Hiroshima, Hatami Japan  0.1
11/12/2022 05:00 Hiroshima, O-shima Minamiura Japan  0.1
13/12/2022 05:00 Jeollanam-do, Chogun-mal Republic of Korea  0.1
13/12/2022 00:00 Chiba, Honshu Katakai Japan  0.0
12/12/2022 13:00 Hiroshima, Mino Japan  0.0
12/12/2022 13:00 Hiroshima, Korenaga Japan  0.0
10/12/2022 18:00 Tokushima, Shikoku Anan Japan  0.0
12/12/2022 13:00 Hyogo, Awaji-shima Iwaya Japan  0.0
12/12/2022 10:00 Yamaguchi, Honshu Tonomi Japan  0.0
13/12/2022 00:00 Chiba, Honshu Hasunuma Japan  0.0
12/12/2022 12:00 Yamaguchi, Honshu Yu Japan  0.0
12/12/2022 12:00 Yamaguchi, Honshu Tsuzu Japan  0.0
12/12/2022 12:00 Yamaguchi, Honshu Tsutsu Japan  0.0
10/12/2022 18:00 Tokushima, Shikoku Nakashima Japan  0.0
12/12/2022 13:00 Hyogo, Awaji-shima Yura Japan  0.0
12/12/2022 13:00 Hiroshima, Atada Japan  0.0
10/12/2022 18:00 Jeollanam-do, Ach'on Republic of Korea  0.0
12/12/2022 13:00 Hiroshima, Kanokawa Japan  0.0
13/12/2022 00:00 Chiba, Honshu Tokawacho Japan  0.0
13/12/2022 00:00 Chiba, Honshu Inuwaka Japan  0.0
10/12/2022 18:00 Zhejiang, Changchuanba China  0.0
10/12/2022 18:00 Aichi, Honshu Hukue Japan  0.0
10/12/2022 18:00 Shizuoka, Honshu Nakano Japan  0.0
10/12/2022 18:00 Shizuoka, Honshu Ajiro Japan  0.0
12/12/2022 13:00 Wakayama, Honshu Tatsugahama Japan  0.0
12/12/2022 12:00 Hiroshima, Oko Japan  0.0
12/12/2022 09:00 Yamaguchi, Oura Japan  0.0
10/12/2022 22:00 Jeollanam-do, Changdo-ri Republic of Korea  0.0
12/12/2022 05:00 Nagasaki, Kyushu Kareki Japan  0.0
12/12/2022 13:00 Yamaguchi, Hashirajima Japan  0.0
11/12/2022 01:00 Penghu, Hua-hsu Taiwan  0.0
10/12/2022 18:00 Okinawa, Okinawa-jima Kin Japan  0.0
12/12/2022 04:00 Kumamoto, Iwaya Japan  0.0
12/12/2022 04:00 Kumamoto, Kyushu Misumi Japan  0.0
10/12/2022 21:00 Nagasaki, Azuchi Japan  0.0
11/12/2022 01:00 Penghu, Chung-p'ing Taiwan  0.0
12/12/2022 14:00 Aichi, Honshu Irago Japan  0.0
12/12/2022 04:00 Nagasaki, Kyushu Arie Japan  0.0
10/12/2022 21:00 Miyazaki, Kyushu Haruguchi Japan  0.0
10/12/2022 21:00 Kochi, Shikoku Susaki Japan  0.0
12/12/2022 11:00 Ehime, Aoshima Japan  0.0
12/12/2022 04:00 Nagasaki, Kyushu Yuki Japan  0.0
12/12/2022 11:00 Yamaguchi, Ihota Japan  0.0
12/12/2022 11:00 Yamaguchi, Yodai Japan  0.0
11/12/2022 00:00 Fujian, Fengwo China  0.0
11/12/2022 00:00 Fujian, Yunlong China  0.0
10/12/2022 18:00 Kagoshima, Kyushu Kagoshima Japan  0.0
11/12/2022 01:00 Penghu, Chu-mu-shui Taiwan  0.0
10/12/2022 23:00 Ehime, Shikoku Takayama Japan  0.0
12/12/2022 15:00 Wakayama, Honshu Yunosaki Japan  0.0
13/12/2022 04:00 Chungcheongnam-do, Eocheong-do Och'ong Republic of Korea  0.0
10/12/2022 21:00 Nagasaki, Izuhara Japan  0.0
12/12/2022 04:00 Nagasaki, Kuro-shima Tashiro Japan  0.0
12/12/2022 10:00 Oita, Kyushu Sashioi Japan  0.0
12/12/2022 10:00 Oita, Kyushu Uwaura Japan  0.0
11/12/2022 20:00 Jeollanam-do, Ch'ongam Republic of Korea  0.0
12/12/2022 14:00 Miyazaki, Kyushu Nobeoka Japan  0.0
10/12/2022 22:00 Guangdong, Huanglong China  0.0
10/12/2022 20:00 Kochi, Shikoku Simo-Kawaguti Japan  0.0
12/12/2022 12:00 Kochi, Shikoku Nada Japan  0.0
12/12/2022 15:00 Kochi, Shikoku Tsuro Japan  0.0
12/12/2022 15:00 Kochi, Shikoku Muroto Japan  0.0
10/12/2022 19:00 Okinawa, Okinawa-jima Fusozaki Japan  0.0
12/12/2022 10:00 Oita, Kyushu Saganoseki Japan  0.0
12/12/2022 13:00 Tokushima, Shikoku Abe Japan  0.0
12/12/2022 05:00 Nagasaki, Uku-shima Konoura Japan  0.0
12/12/2022 05:00 Nagasaki, Uku-shima Taira Japan  0.0
12/12/2022 10:00 Ehime, Shikoku Natori Japan  0.0
10/12/2022 20:00 Jiangsu, Ta-yu-chien China  0.0
12/12/2022 13:00 Tokushima, Shikoku Hiwasa Japan  0.0
12/12/2022 12:00 Kochi, Okino-shima Hirose Japan  0.0
10/12/2022 18:00 Guangdong, Rudong China
10/12/2022 18:00 Guangdong, Santouzui China
10/12/2022 18:00 Guangdong, Hsi-t'ou China
10/12/2022 18:00 Macau SAR, Taipa Macau (China)
10/12/2022 18:00 Macau SAR, Coloane Macau (China)
10/12/2022 18:00 Guangdong, Cheng'anwei China
10/12/2022 18:00 Guangdong, Dawanshan Dao Wanshan China
10/12/2022 18:00 Guangdong, Lajiwei China
10/12/2022 18:00 Hong Kong SAR, Sz Pak Hong Kong (China)
10/12/2022 18:00 Hong Kong SAR, Lo So Shing Hong Kong (China)
10/12/2022 18:00 Guangdong, Zhelang China
10/12/2022 18:00 Fujian, Dongshan Dao Chencheng China
10/12/2022 18:00 Fujian, Wutian China
10/12/2022 18:00 Fujian, Guleitou China
10/12/2022 18:00 Fujian, Gangkou China
10/12/2022 18:00 Fujian, Hsia-mei China
10/12/2022 18:00 Fujian, Lianhe China
10/12/2022 18:00 Fujian, Shijing China
10/12/2022 18:00 Fujian, Weitou China
10/12/2022 18:00 Fujian, Fengwei China
10/12/2022 18:00 Fujian, Meizhou Dao Meizhou China
10/12/2022 18:00 Jiangsu, Jiuliqi China
10/12/2022 18:00 Fujian, Pinghai China
10/12/2022 18:00 Fujian, Shicheng China
10/12/2022 18:00 Jiangsu, Dongxi Liandao China
10/12/2022 18:00 Fujian, Gaoshan China
10/12/2022 18:00 Fujian, Nanri Dao Fuye China
10/12/2022 18:00 Shandong, Shijiusuo China
10/12/2022 18:00 Fujian, Haitan Dao Cao Yu China
10/12/2022 18:00 Fujian, Tung-ch'ung China
10/12/2022 18:00 Shandong, Houwan China
10/12/2022 18:00 Fujian, Sansha China
10/12/2022 18:00 Shandong, Yantaiqian China
10/12/2022 18:00 Shandong, Xianlang China
10/12/2022 18:00 Shandong, Beizhuang China
10/12/2022 18:00 Shandong, Ch'ing-tao China
10/12/2022 18:00 Zhejiang, Sha-fan-chieh China
10/12/2022 18:00 Shandong, Shazikou China
10/12/2022 18:00 Shandong, Aoshanwei China
10/12/2022 18:00 Zhejiang, Beilong China
10/12/2022 18:00 Zhejiang, Cheng-chia-tai China
10/12/2022 18:00 Zhejiang, Hsing-hsing-chen China
10/12/2022 18:00 Zhejiang, Yuhuan Dao Kanmen China
10/12/2022 18:00 Zhejiang, Lingmen China
10/12/2022 18:00 Ilan, Tou-cheng Taiwan
10/12/2022 18:00 Taipei, Fu-lien Taiwan
10/12/2022 18:00 Zhejiang, Dai Shan Gaoting China
10/12/2022 18:00 Zhejiang, Litang China
10/12/2022 18:00 , Dachu Shan Tiantu China
10/12/2022 18:00 , Fangang China
10/12/2022 18:00 Zhejiang, T'ien-hou-kung China
10/12/2022 18:00 Zhejiang, Nan 'ao China
10/12/2022 18:00 , Sheng Shan Shengshan China
10/12/2022 18:00 Jeollanam-do, Soheugsan-do Hang-ni Republic of Korea
10/12/2022 18:00 Jeollanam-do, Hong-do Chukhang Republic of Korea
10/12/2022 18:00 Jeollanam-do, Daeheugsan-do Amch'on Republic of Korea
10/12/2022 18:00 Jeollanam-do, Manjae-do Banzaito-ri Republic of Korea
10/12/2022 18:00 Jeollanam-do, Chehang-ni Republic of Korea
10/12/2022 18:00 Jeollanam-do, Bunkai-ri Republic of Korea
10/12/2022 18:00 Jeollanam-do, Bosei-ri Republic of Korea
10/12/2022 18:00 Jeollanam-do, Katsuto Republic of Korea
10/12/2022 18:00 Jeju-do, Cheju do Sinhyo-ri Republic of Korea
10/12/2022 18:00 Jeollanam-do, Haenggan-ni Republic of Korea
10/12/2022 18:00 Jeju-do, Cheju do Seogwipo Republic of Korea
10/12/2022 18:00 Jeollanam-do, Soan-do Bira-ri Republic of Korea
10/12/2022 18:00 Jeju-do, Cheju do Pyoseon-ri Republic of Korea
10/12/2022 18:00 Jeollanam-do, Cheongsan-do Chinsan-ni Republic of Korea
10/12/2022 18:00 Jeollanam-do, Changch'on Republic of Korea
10/12/2022 18:00 Jeollanam-do, Kok'ori Republic of Korea
10/12/2022 18:00 Jeollanam-do, Ando Republic of Korea
10/12/2022 18:00 Gyeongsangnam-do, Hangch'on Republic of Korea
10/12/2022 18:00 Okinawa, Izena-shima Izena Japan
10/12/2022 18:00 Gyeongsangnam-do, Jogji-do Chabup'o Republic of Korea
10/12/2022 18:00 Gyeongsangnam-do, Mareug-do Chop'o Republic of Korea
10/12/2022 18:00 Okinawa, Okino-erabu-shima China Japan
10/12/2022 18:00 Okinawa, Okino-erabu-shima Degi Japan
10/12/2022 18:00 Nagasaki, Fukue-jima Daiho Japan
10/12/2022 18:00 Okinawa, Okino-erabu-shima Nishibaru Japan
10/12/2022 18:00 Nagasaki, Fukue-jima Yamashita Japan
10/12/2022 18:00 Nagasaki, Funamawari Japan
10/12/2022 18:00 Nagasaki, Ashinoura Japan
10/12/2022 18:00 Nagasaki, Nakadori-jima Narao Japan
10/12/2022 18:00 Nagasaki, Nakadori-jima Iwaseura Japan
10/12/2022 18:00 Okinawa, Kakeroma-jima Saneku Japan
10/12/2022 18:00 Okinawa, Kakeroma-jima Satsukawa Japan
10/12/2022 18:00 Okinawa, Uke-shima Ikechi Japan
10/12/2022 18:00 Okinawa, Uke-shima Ukearnuro Japan
10/12/2022 18:00 Okinawa, Kakeroma-jima Ikenma Japan
10/12/2022 18:00 Okinawa, Katoku Japan
10/12/2022 18:00 Okinawa, Kominato Japan
10/12/2022 18:00 Kagoshima, Akuseki-shima Akusekishima Japan
10/12/2022 18:00 Okinawa, Tatsugo Japan
10/12/2022 18:00 Nagasaki, Matsu-shima Kamanoura Japan
10/12/2022 18:00 Okinawa, Akaogi Japan
10/12/2022 18:00 Kagoshima, Suwanose-shima Motomura Japan
10/12/2022 18:00 Okinawa, Sakibaru Japan
10/12/2022 18:00 Nagasaki, Kyushu Nomo Japan
10/12/2022 18:00 Nagasaki, Wakimisaki Japan
10/12/2022 18:00 Kagoshima, Shimo-koshiki-shima Imuta Japan
10/12/2022 18:00 Kagoshima, Taira Japan
10/12/2022 18:00 Okinawa, Kikai-shima Araki Japan
10/12/2022 18:00 Okinawa, Kikai-shima Somachi Japan
10/12/2022 18:00 Okinawa, Kikai-shima Shitooke Japan
10/12/2022 18:00 Kagoshima, Kyushu Makurazuki Japan
10/12/2022 18:00 Kagoshima, Kyushu Yamagawa Japan
10/12/2022 18:00 Kagoshima, Make-jima Hayama Japan
10/12/2022 18:00 Kagoshima, Make-jima Takabo Japan
10/12/2022 18:00 Kagoshima, Tanega-shima Masuda Japan
10/12/2022 18:00 Kagoshima, Tanega-shima Ikenohira Japan
10/12/2022 18:00 Kagoshima, Tanega-shima Kunigami Japan
10/12/2022 18:00 Kagoshima, Tanega-shima Kunikami Japan
10/12/2022 18:00 Kagoshima, Tanega-shima Minato Japan
10/12/2022 18:00 Kagoshima, Tanega-shima Shoiiura Japan
10/12/2022 18:00 Kagoshima, Kyushu Igatan Japan
10/12/2022 18:00 Miyazaki, Kyushu Miyanoura Japan
10/12/2022 18:00 Miyazaki, Kyushu Aburatsu Japan
10/12/2022 18:00 Miyazaki, Kyushu Uwae Japan
10/12/2022 18:00 Miyazaki, Kyushu Mimitsu Japan
10/12/2022 18:00 Oita, Kyushu Maruichibi Japan
10/12/2022 18:00 Oita, Kyushu Kamae Japan
10/12/2022 18:00 Oita, Kyushu Hotojima Japan
10/12/2022 18:00 Oita, Kyushu Tsurumi-zaki Japan
10/12/2022 18:00 Ehime, Shikoku Ajiro Japan
10/12/2022 18:00 Kochi, Shikoku Komame Japan
10/12/2022 18:00 Kochi, Shikoku Isa Japan
10/12/2022 18:00 Kochi, Shikoku Sakinohama Japan