Overall Orange Tropical Cyclone alert for GULAB-21/SHAHEEN-21 in Oman from 24 Sep 2021 06:00 UTC to 03 Oct 2021 18:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for GULAB-21/SHAHEEN-21

in Oman

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Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone GULAB-21/SHAHEEN-21 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	50 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.4 m (27 Sep 18:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	Medium (Oman)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
GFS Current	50 km/h	0.4 m	45 mm	0.5
GFS Overall	112 km/h	0.8 m	399 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

112 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 27 Sep 2021 12:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
1	24 Sep 2021 06:00	61	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	24 Sep 2021 12:00	58	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	24 Sep 2021 18:00	61	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	25 Sep 2021 00:00	54	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	25 Sep 2021 06:00	76	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	25 Sep 2021 12:00	94	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	25 Sep 2021 18:00	94	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	26 Sep 2021 00:00	79	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	26 Sep 2021 06:00	83	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	26 Sep 2021 12:00	76	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
11	26 Sep 2021 18:00	72	-		-	-	-	-	-	Afghanistan, Iran
12	27 Sep 2021 00:00	72	-		-	-	-	-	-	Afghanistan, Iran
13	27 Sep 2021 06:00	68	-		-	-	-	-	-	Afghanistan, Iran
14	27 Sep 2021 12:00	54	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 27 Sep 2021 12:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
250-500 mm	India	9,438
100-250 mm	Bangladesh, India	82,018,761	+
	India	74,974,485
	Bangladesh	7,044,275
50-100 mm	Nepal, India, Myanmar, Bangladesh	121,399,740	+
	Nepal	4,153,600
	India	106,715,411
	Myanmar	24,609
	Bangladesh	10,506,118

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	24 Sep 2021 06:00	100	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	24 Sep 2021 12:00	34	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	24 Sep 2021 18:00	98	-		-	-	-	-	-	Myanmar
4	25 Sep 2021 00:00	231	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	25 Sep 2021 06:00	195	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	25 Sep 2021 12:00	161	-		-	-	-	-	-	Thailand
7	25 Sep 2021 18:00	139	3 thousand			-	-	-	-	Thailand, Myanmar
8	26 Sep 2021 00:00	253	-		-	-	-	-	-	Myanmar
9	26 Sep 2021 06:00	69	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	26 Sep 2021 12:00	156	-		-	-	-	-	-	Myanmar, Thailand
11	26 Sep 2021 18:00	160	1.1 million			-	-	-	-	India, Myanmar
12	27 Sep 2021 00:00	143	20 thousand			-	-	-	-	India, Thailand, Myanmar
13	27 Sep 2021 06:00	55	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
14	27 Sep 2021 12:00	295	82 million				-	-	-	Nepal, India, Myanmar, Bangladesh

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.4m in Dakshin Char Fasson, Bangladesh. This height is estimated for 27 Sep 2021 18:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 27 Sep 2021 12:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	27 Sep 2021 18:00	Dakshin Char Fasson	Bangladesh	0.4
	27 Sep 2021 18:00	Char Pyarimohan	Bangladesh	0.4
	27 Sep 2021 18:00	Char Annadaprasad	Bangladesh	0.4
	27 Sep 2021 18:00	Char Faizuddin	Bangladesh	0.4
	27 Sep 2021 18:00	Char Krishnaprasad	Bangladesh	0.4
	27 Sep 2021 18:00	Char Manpura	Bangladesh	0.4
	27 Sep 2021 18:00	Char Kukuri Mukuri	Bangladesh	0.4
	27 Sep 2021 18:00	Ar Kalmi	Bangladesh	0.4
	27 Sep 2021 18:00	Char Aicha	Bangladesh	0.4
	27 Sep 2021 18:00	Char Paila	Bangladesh	0.4
	27 Sep 2021 18:00	Jahajmara	Bangladesh	0.4
	27 Sep 2021 18:00	Maijchara	Bangladesh	0.4
	27 Sep 2021 18:00	Dasher Hat	Bangladesh	0.4
	27 Sep 2021 18:00	Hatia	Bangladesh	0.4
	27 Sep 2021 18:00	Nalchira	Bangladesh	0.4
	27 Sep 2021 18:00	Sagaria	Bangladesh	0.4
	27 Sep 2021 18:00	Char Ishwar Ray	Bangladesh	0.4
	27 Sep 2021 18:00	Char Ishwar	Bangladesh	0.4
	27 Sep 2021 18:00	Sandwip	Bangladesh	0.3
	27 Sep 2021 18:00	Nayamasti	Bangladesh	0.3
	27 Sep 2021 17:15	Golbania	Bangladesh	0.3
	27 Sep 2021 17:15	Char Bagala	Bangladesh	0.3
	27 Sep 2021 17:15	Debpur	Bangladesh	0.3
	27 Sep 2021 17:15	Bhaylabania	Bangladesh	0.3
	27 Sep 2021 17:15	Chalitabunia	Bangladesh	0.3
	27 Sep 2021 17:15	Char Hare	Bangladesh	0.3
	27 Sep 2021 17:15	Neta	Bangladesh	0.3
	27 Sep 2021 17:15	Chhota Baisdia	Bangladesh	0.3
	27 Sep 2021 17:15	Andar Char	Bangladesh	0.3
	27 Sep 2021 17:15	Burirchar	Bangladesh	0.3
	27 Sep 2021 17:15	Char Lakshmi	Bangladesh	0.3
	27 Sep 2021 17:15	Char Manika	Bangladesh	0.3
	27 Sep 2021 18:00	Maitbhanga	Bangladesh	0.3
	27 Sep 2021 18:00	Kamla Char	Bangladesh	0.3
	27 Sep 2021 18:00	Dhalapara	Bangladesh	0.3
	27 Sep 2021 18:00	Jafarnagar	Bangladesh	0.3
	27 Sep 2021 18:00	Barabkunda	Bangladesh	0.3
	27 Sep 2021 18:00	Bansbaria	Bangladesh	0.3
	27 Sep 2021 18:00	Kumira	Bangladesh	0.3
	27 Sep 2021 18:00	Sitalpur	Bangladesh	0.3
	27 Sep 2021 18:00	Bhatiari	Bangladesh	0.3
	27 Sep 2021 18:00	Dakhin Kattali	Bangladesh	0.3
	27 Sep 2021 18:00	Bamnia	Bangladesh	0.3
	27 Sep 2021 18:00	Charparbati	Bangladesh	0.3
	27 Sep 2021 18:00	Munshir Hat	Bangladesh	0.3
	27 Sep 2021 18:00	Tulatali	Bangladesh	0.3
	27 Sep 2021 18:00	Char Fakura	Bangladesh	0.3
	27 Sep 2021 18:00	Char Chandia	Bangladesh	0.3
	27 Sep 2021 18:00	Bara Ahmadpur	Bangladesh	0.3
	27 Sep 2021 18:00	Banskhali	Bangladesh	0.3
	27 Sep 2021 18:00	Bariakhali	Bangladesh	0.3
	27 Sep 2021 18:00	Char Kalidas	Bangladesh	0.3
	27 Sep 2021 18:00	Akbar Hat	Bangladesh	0.3
	27 Sep 2021 18:00	Ghoshbagh	Bangladesh	0.3
	27 Sep 2021 18:00	Chittagong	Bangladesh	0.3
	27 Sep 2021 18:00	Khaser Hat	Bangladesh	0.3
	27 Sep 2021 18:00	Ewazbalia	Bangladesh	0.3
	27 Sep 2021 18:00	Char Lakshia	Bangladesh	0.3
	27 Sep 2021 16:45	Kuakata	Bangladesh	0.3
	27 Sep 2021 16:45	Mahipur	Bangladesh	0.3
	27 Sep 2021 16:45	Char Chapli	Bangladesh	0.3
	27 Sep 2021 16:45	Bara Baliatali	Bangladesh	0.3
	27 Sep 2021 16:45	Kalapara	Bangladesh	0.3
	27 Sep 2021 18:00	Dakhin Patenga	Bangladesh	0.3
	27 Sep 2021 18:00	Bara Pata	Bangladesh	0.3
	27 Sep 2021 18:00	Char Madhyam Lamchhidhali	Bangladesh	0.3
	27 Sep 2021 18:00	Hazipur	Bangladesh	0.3
	27 Sep 2021 18:00	Chandpur	Bangladesh	0.3
	27 Sep 2021 18:00	Char Lakshmi	Bangladesh	0.3
	27 Sep 2021 18:00	Kanchanpur	Bangladesh	0.3
	27 Sep 2021 18:00	Rabipur	Bangladesh	0.3
	27 Sep 2021 18:00	Char Algi	Bangladesh	0.3
	27 Sep 2021 18:00	Char Gazi	Bangladesh	0.3
	27 Sep 2021 18:00	Char Ramiz	Bangladesh	0.3
	27 Sep 2021 18:00	Janali Hat	Bangladesh	0.3
	27 Sep 2021 18:00	Kalapul	Bangladesh	0.3
	27 Sep 2021 18:00	Anowara	Bangladesh	0.3
	27 Sep 2021 18:00	Char Falcon	Bangladesh	0.3
	27 Sep 2021 18:00	Char Bedama	Bangladesh	0.3
	27 Sep 2021 18:00	Chandhuri Hat	Bangladesh	0.3
	27 Sep 2021 18:00	Gahira	Bangladesh	0.3
	27 Sep 2021 18:00	Khankhanabad	Bangladesh	0.2
	27 Sep 2021 17:30	Purba Gomdandi	Bangladesh	0.2
	27 Sep 2021 13:15	Manfadh al Khafji	Saudi Arabia	0.2
	27 Sep 2021 13:15	Ras all Khafji	Saudi Arabia	0.2
	27 Sep 2021 18:00	Dhurung	Bangladesh	0.2
	27 Sep 2021 18:00	Lemsikhali	Bangladesh	0.2
	27 Sep 2021 18:00	Napura	Bangladesh	0.2
	27 Sep 2021 18:00	Ali Akbardeil	Bangladesh	0.2
	27 Sep 2021 18:00	Supati	Bangladesh	0.2
	27 Sep 2021 18:00	Bara Patharghata	Bangladesh	0.2
	27 Sep 2021 18:00	Chhota Nishanbaria Chak	Bangladesh	0.2
	27 Sep 2021 18:00	Dhalua	Bangladesh	0.2
	27 Sep 2021 18:00	Bara Bagi	Bangladesh	0.2
	27 Sep 2021 18:00	Chhota Bagi	Bangladesh	0.2
	27 Sep 2021 18:00	Chandkhali	Bangladesh	0.2
	27 Sep 2021 18:00	Magnama	Bangladesh	0.2
	27 Sep 2021 18:00	Dhalghata	Bangladesh	0.2
	27 Sep 2021 18:00	Kalarmarchara	Bangladesh	0.2
	27 Sep 2021 18:00	Uttar Nalbila	Bangladesh	0.2
	27 Sep 2021 18:00	Amavasyakhali	Bangladesh	0.2
	27 Sep 2021 18:00	Saflapur	Bangladesh	0.2
	27 Sep 2021 18:00	Dineshpur	Bangladesh	0.2
	27 Sep 2021 18:00	Bethua	Bangladesh	0.2
	27 Sep 2021 18:00	Coxs Bazar	Bangladesh	0.2
	27 Sep 2021 18:00	Ghatibhanga	Bangladesh	0.1
	27 Sep 2021 18:00	Khurushkul	Bangladesh	0.1
	27 Sep 2021 18:00	Fasiakhali	Bangladesh	0.1
	27 Sep 2021 13:30	Jhol	Pakistan	0.1
	27 Sep 2021 13:30	Gadanjo	Pakistan	0.1
	27 Sep 2021 18:00	Kelatali	Bangladesh	0.1
	27 Sep 2021 13:45	Ywathitke	Myanmar	0.1
	27 Sep 2021 13:45	Sittwe	Myanmar	0.1
	27 Sep 2021 13:45	Kangyaung	Myanmar	0.1
	27 Sep 2021 13:45	Aindin	Myanmar	0.1
	27 Sep 2021 13:45	Pyaingdaung	Myanmar	0.1
	27 Sep 2021 13:45	Kyaukpyinseik	Myanmar	0.1
	27 Sep 2021 12:00	Hngetkyidaung	Myanmar	0.1
	27 Sep 2021 12:00	Thegondan	Myanmar	0.1
	27 Sep 2021 12:00	Thaunggon	Myanmar	0.1
	27 Sep 2021 12:00	Kyauktan	Myanmar	0.1
	27 Sep 2021 12:00	Mibya	Myanmar	0.1
	27 Sep 2021 12:00	Kala-ywa	Myanmar	0.1
	27 Sep 2021 12:00	Ase-ywa	Myanmar	0.1
	27 Sep 2021 18:00	Dubla	Bangladesh	0.1
	27 Sep 2021 12:00	Shangyaung	Myanmar	0.1
	27 Sep 2021 14:15	Sidongyaung	Myanmar	0.1
	27 Sep 2021 14:15	Thechaung	Myanmar	0.1
	27 Sep 2021 14:15	Kanmaw	Myanmar	0.1
	27 Sep 2021 14:15	Bemagyauk Ywa	Myanmar	0.1
	27 Sep 2021 14:15	Mawgaungdon Ywa	Myanmar	0.1
	27 Sep 2021 14:15	Medaw	Myanmar	0.1
	27 Sep 2021 14:15	Tawbya	Myanmar	0.1
	27 Sep 2021 14:15	Thedangyi	Myanmar	0.1
	27 Sep 2021 15:45	Dakhinpara	Bangladesh	0.1
	27 Sep 2021 15:45	Kanyinchaung	Myanmar	0.1
	27 Sep 2021 15:45	Jaliapara	Bangladesh	0.1
	27 Sep 2021 15:45	Nyaunggyaung	Myanmar	0.1
	27 Sep 2021 15:45	Zawmadat	Myanmar	0.1
	27 Sep 2021 15:45	Anauk Myinhlut	Myanmar	0.1
	27 Sep 2021 15:45	Kyaukpandu	Myanmar	0.1
	27 Sep 2021 12:00	Gangra	India	0.1
	27 Sep 2021 12:00	Kakdwip	India	0.1
	27 Sep 2021 12:00	Belpukur	India	0.1
	27 Sep 2021 12:00	Kulpi	India	0.1
	27 Sep 2021 14:30	Leiktaung	Myanmar	0.1
	27 Sep 2021 14:30	Awebindat	Myanmar	0.1
	27 Sep 2021 12:00	Al Mish ab	Saudi Arabia	0.1
	27 Sep 2021 12:00	As Saffaniyah	Saudi Arabia	0.1
	27 Sep 2021 17:30	Pechardwip	Bangladesh	0.1
	27 Sep 2021 17:30	Fulchhari	Bangladesh	0.1
	27 Sep 2021 18:00	Char Hijla	Bangladesh	0.1
	27 Sep 2021 18:00	Char Chandra Prasad	Bangladesh	0.1
	27 Sep 2021 18:00	Chandpur	Bangladesh	0.1
	27 Sep 2021 18:00	Char Kali	Bangladesh	0.1
	27 Sep 2021 18:00	Pangasia	Bangladesh	0.1
	27 Sep 2021 18:00	Harni	Bangladesh	0.1
	27 Sep 2021 18:00	Goal Bhaor	Bangladesh	0.1
	27 Sep 2021 18:00	Char Medua	Bangladesh	0.1
	27 Sep 2021 18:00	South Dighaldi	Bangladesh	0.1
	27 Sep 2021 18:00	Kalupura	Bangladesh	0.1
	27 Sep 2021 18:00	Char Munsi	Bangladesh	0.1
	27 Sep 2021 18:00	Hazari	Bangladesh	0.1
	27 Sep 2021 18:00	Jagannathpur	Bangladesh	0.1
	27 Sep 2021 18:00	Char Lawrence	Bangladesh	0.1
	27 Sep 2021 16:15	New Kandla	India	0.1
	27 Sep 2021 17:15	Kambhat	India	0.1
	27 Sep 2021 17:15	Kavi	India	0.1
	27 Sep 2021 17:15	Sarod	India	0.1
	27 Sep 2021 12:00	Mahameik	Myanmar	0.1
	27 Sep 2021 12:00	Shwe-o	Myanmar	0.1
	27 Sep 2021 12:00	Alanbya	Myanmar	0.1
	27 Sep 2021 12:00	Mokkamu	Myanmar	0.1
	27 Sep 2021 12:00	Boyagyi	Myanmar	0.1
	27 Sep 2021 12:00	Kyaikto	Myanmar	0.1
	27 Sep 2021 12:00	Kyaikpi	Myanmar	0.1
	27 Sep 2021 12:00	Kawbein	Myanmar	0.1
	27 Sep 2021 18:00	Sakusia	Bangladesh	0.1
	27 Sep 2021 12:00	Thamaseikta	Myanmar	0.1
	27 Sep 2021 12:00	Damathat	Myanmar	0.1
	27 Sep 2021 17:15	Wadgam	India	0.1
	27 Sep 2021 15:30	Ghuar Mota	India	0.1
	27 Sep 2021 12:00	Ale-ywa	Myanmar	0.1
	27 Sep 2021 13:45	Bada	Pakistan	0.1
	27 Sep 2021 13:45	Cheru	Pakistan	0.1
	27 Sep 2021 13:45	Sonmiani	Pakistan	0.1
	27 Sep 2021 12:00	Namkhana	India	0.1
	27 Sep 2021 18:00	Baga	Bangladesh	0.1
	27 Sep 2021 18:00	Char Kadira	Bangladesh	0.1
	27 Sep 2021 12:00	Zokali	Myanmar	0.1
	27 Sep 2021 18:00	Miar Hat	Bangladesh	0.1
	27 Sep 2021 12:00	Pauktaw	Myanmar	0.1
	27 Sep 2021 12:00	Taungxun	Myanmar	0.1
	27 Sep 2021 13:15	Jatar Deul	India	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.