Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for MEGI-22
in Philippines
10 Apr 2022 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone MEGI-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries Philippines
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 68 km/h
Maximum storm surge 1.0 m (10 Apr 13:45 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Philippines)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 68 km/h 1.0 m 295 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 97 km/h 1.0 m 933 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

97 km/h

Up to 130 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 10 Apr 2022 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormPhilippines133,473 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 08 Apr 2022 12:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 09 Apr 2022 00:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 09 Apr 2022 12:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 10 Apr 2022 00:00 72 -
- - - - - Philippines
GREEN 5 10 Apr 2022 12:00 90 -
- - - - - Philippines
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 10 Apr 2022 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
500-750 mmPhilippines75,207 
250-500 mmPhilippines4,147,789 
100-250 mmJapan, China, Philippines, Guam, Micronesia13,651,204
+
China688,500 
Japan273,004 
Philippines12,519,151 
Guam169,884 
Micronesia662 
50-100 mmChina, Japan, Northern Mariana Islands, Philippines, Micronesia90,464,296
+
China77,720,663 
Japan2,219,694 
Northern Mariana Islands2,567 
Philippines10,513,187 
Micronesia8,182 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 08 Apr 2022 12:00 165 -
- - - - - Philippines, Micronesia, Malaysia
Blue 2 09 Apr 2022 00:00 183 10 thousand
- - - - Philippines, Malaysia
Blue 3 09 Apr 2022 12:00 142 770 thousand
- - - - Philippines, Micronesia
Blue 4 10 Apr 2022 00:00 267 1 million
- - - Philippines
Blue 5 10 Apr 2022 12:00 794 17.9 million
- - China, Japan, Northern Mariana Islands, Philippines, Guam, Micronesia




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

1 m

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 10 Apr 2022 12:00 UTC