Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for PAKHAR-22
Off-shore

Impact

Tropical Cyclone PAKHAR-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries South Korea, Japan, China, Taiwan, Philippines
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 76 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.8 m (11 Dec 11:00 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 76 km/h 0.8 m 84 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 94 km/h 0.8 m 224 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

94 km/h

Up to 4.9 million can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 11 Dec 2022 00:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormSouth Korea, Japan, China, Taiwan, Philippines4,892,657
+
South Korea155,363 
Japan1,136,530 
China18,690 
Taiwan3,579,231 
Philippines2,841 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 10 Dec 2022 18:00 72 -
- - - - - Japan, Taiwan
GREEN 2 11 Dec 2022 00:00 86 -
- - - - - South Korea, Japan, China, Taiwan, Philippines
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 11 Dec 2022 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmMalaysia, Indonesia369
+
Malaysia306 
Indonesia63 
50-100 mmPhilippines, Malaysia, Indonesia1,807,606
+
Philippines619,474 
Malaysia1,096,426 
Indonesia91,705 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 10 Dec 2022 18:00 98 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 11 Dec 2022 00:00 325 Few people
- - - - Philippines, Malaysia, Indonesia




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Jeollabuk-do, Kan, Republic of Korea. This height is estimated for 13/12/2022 06:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 11 Dec 2022 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
13/12/2022 06:00 Jeollabuk-do, Kan Republic of Korea  0.2
13/12/2022 06:00 Jeollanam-do, Chogun-mal Republic of Korea  0.2
13/12/2022 08:00 Jeollanam-do, Ikkum-ni Republic of Korea  0.2
10/12/2022 20:00 Quezon, Concepcion Philippines  0.2
11/12/2022 07:00 Fukui, Honshu Otomi Japan  0.2
13/12/2022 06:00 Jeollanam-do, Ach'on Republic of Korea  0.2
11/12/2022 08:00 Fukui, Honshu Sengodani Japan  0.2
11/12/2022 07:00 Kyoto, Honshu Oshima Japan  0.2
11/12/2022 07:00 Kyoto, Honshu Honjo-Hama Japan  0.2
11/12/2022 07:00 Kyoto, Honshu Rokumambu Japan  0.2
11/12/2022 07:00 Kyoto, Honshu Tsumo Japan  0.2
11/12/2022 07:00 Kyoto, Honshu Hirata Japan  0.2
11/12/2022 07:00 Kyoto, Honshu Oura Japan  0.2
11/12/2022 07:00 Kyoto, Honshu Kamiji Japan  0.2
11/12/2022 07:00 Kyoto, Honshu Nii Japan  0.2
11/12/2022 03:00 Bicol, Barana Philippines  0.2
11/12/2022 01:00 Penghu, Pai-sha Tao Ch'ang-an Taiwan  0.1
10/12/2022 20:00 Ilocos, Cabarruyan Island Santiago Philippines  0.1
12/12/2022 19:00 Tacloban City, Tacloban Philippines  0.1
10/12/2022 18:00 Palawan, Chindonan Island Culion Philippines  0.1
11/12/2022 00:00 Fujian, Tantou China  0.1
12/12/2022 09:00 Yamaguchi, Honshu Chofu Japan  0.1
13/12/2022 14:00 Hyogo, Awaji-shima Nantan Japan  0.1
13/12/2022 13:00 Central Visayas, Leyte Island Manjuyod Philippines  0.1
13/12/2022 13:00 Negros Oriental, Leyte Island Ayungon Philippines  0.1
12/12/2022 16:00 , Mauban Island Calamias Philippines  0.1
13/12/2022 13:00 Negros Oriental, Leyte Island Tayasan Philippines  0.1
13/12/2022 06:00 Chungcheongnam-do, Eocheong-do Och'ong Republic of Korea  0.1
11/12/2022 03:00 Bicol, Virac Philippines  0.1
12/12/2022 03:00 Central Visayas, Leyte Island Guihulngan Philippines  0.1
12/12/2022 03:00 Central Visayas, Leyte Island Calamba Philippines  0.1
12/12/2022 03:00 Western Visayas, Leyte Island Calatrava Philippines  0.1
12/12/2022 03:00 Western Visayas, Leyte Island Santo Nino Philippines  0.1
12/12/2022 02:00 Western Visayas, Leyte Island Escalante Philippines  0.1
12/12/2022 16:00 Southern Tagalog, Polillo Island Bisliang Philippines  0.1
12/12/2022 19:00 Eastern Visayas, Tanauan Philippines  0.1
13/12/2022 13:00 Hyogo, E-jima Maura Japan  0.1
12/12/2022 05:00 , Bagatao Island Mualbual Philippines  0.1
13/12/2022 01:00 Western Visayas, Panay Island Concepcion Philippines  0.1
12/12/2022 22:00 Sabah, Taburan Malaysia  0.1
13/12/2022 13:00 Iloilo, Punta Buri Philippines  0.1
13/12/2022 05:00 Jeollanam-do, Bunkai-ri Republic of Korea  0.1
12/12/2022 09:00 Fukuoka, Kyushu Moji Japan  0.1
12/12/2022 23:00 Fujian, Shihu China  0.1
11/12/2022 01:00 Fujian, Fengwo China  0.1
11/12/2022 01:00 Fujian, Yunlong China  0.1
10/12/2022 23:00 Guangdong, Shangchuan Dao Dalangwan China  0.1
11/12/2022 19:00 Okinawa, Okinawa-jima Atsuta Japan  0.1
13/12/2022 09:00 Hiroshima, Etajima Japan  0.1
13/12/2022 07:00 Hiroshima, Honshu Hama Japan  0.1
11/12/2022 06:00 Hiroshima, O-shima Minamiura Japan  0.1
13/12/2022 07:00 Hiroshima, Kuchisubo Japan  0.1
13/12/2022 09:00 Hiroshima, Honshu Hama Japan  0.1
13/12/2022 09:00 Hiroshima, Shimonohama Japan  0.1
13/12/2022 09:00 Hiroshima, Miyajima Japan  0.1
10/12/2022 18:00 Zhejiang, Hsieh-fu China  0.1
12/12/2022 21:00 Hiroshima, Nakanohama Japan  0.1
12/12/2022 21:00 Hiroshima, Hata Japan  0.1
12/12/2022 21:00 Hiroshima, Tsukumo Japan  0.1
12/12/2022 21:00 Hiroshima, Honshu Kuba Japan  0.1
12/12/2022 21:00 Hiroshima, Mino Japan  0.1
12/12/2022 21:00 Hiroshima, Korenaga Japan  0.1
13/12/2022 10:00 Chiba, Honshu Katakai Japan  0.1
11/12/2022 03:00 Shizuoka, Honshu Arai Japan  0.1
10/12/2022 18:00 Tokushima, Shikoku Anan Japan  0.1
11/12/2022 01:00 Penghu, Chi-pei Tao Chi-pei Taiwan  0.1
10/12/2022 18:00 Hyogo, Awaji-shima Iwaya Japan  0.1
13/12/2022 07:00 Hiroshima, Munagata Japan  0.0
13/12/2022 12:00 Chiba, Honshu Hasunuma Japan  0.0
12/12/2022 21:00 Hiroshima, Atada Japan  0.0
13/12/2022 08:00 Hiroshima, Sannose Japan  0.0
12/12/2022 08:00 Yamaguchi, Honshu Kurosaki Japan  0.0
12/12/2022 21:00 Hiroshima, Kanokawa Japan  0.0
10/12/2022 18:00 Tokushima, Shikoku Nakashima Japan  0.0
12/12/2022 22:00 Hiroshima, Hatami Japan  0.0
13/12/2022 08:00 Hiroshima, Shimojima Japan  0.0
13/12/2022 08:00 Hiroshima, Ojizo Japan  0.0
13/12/2022 07:00 Hiroshima, Mitarai Japan  0.0
13/12/2022 18:00 Chiba, Honshu Tokawacho Japan  0.0
13/12/2022 18:00 Chiba, Honshu Inuwaka Japan  0.0
12/12/2022 21:00 Yamaguchi, Honshu Tsuzu Japan  0.0
12/12/2022 21:00 Yamaguchi, Honshu Tsutsu Japan  0.0
10/12/2022 22:00 Nagasaki, Kyushu Yue Japan  0.0
10/12/2022 22:00 Nagasaki, Kyushu Isahaya Japan  0.0
10/12/2022 22:00 Nagasaki, Kyushu Conagai Japan  0.0
10/12/2022 18:00 Aichi, Honshu Hukue Japan  0.0
12/12/2022 21:00 Yamaguchi, Honshu Yu Japan  0.0
11/12/2022 00:00 Mie, Honshu Karasu Japan  0.0
11/12/2022 00:00 Mie, Honshu Ueno Japan  0.0
12/12/2022 21:00 Hiroshima, Oko Japan  0.0
10/12/2022 23:00 Aichi, Honshu Oitsu Japan  0.0
10/12/2022 18:00 Hyogo, Awaji-shima Yura Japan  0.0
10/12/2022 22:00 Guangdong, Huanglong China  0.0
11/12/2022 07:00 Okayama, Choba Japan  0.0
12/12/2022 22:00 Fujian, Lianhe China  0.0
12/12/2022 08:00 Yamaguchi, Honshu Tonomi Japan  0.0
12/12/2022 06:00 Nagasaki, Kyushu Tairamachi Japan  0.0
10/12/2022 18:00 Wakayama, Honshu Tatsugahama Japan  0.0
11/12/2022 21:00 Jeollanam-do, Changdo-ri Republic of Korea  0.0
12/12/2022 07:00 Ehime, Aoshima Japan  0.0
12/12/2022 21:00 Yamaguchi, Hashirajima Japan  0.0
11/12/2022 00:00 Aichi, Honshu Irago Japan  0.0
10/12/2022 18:00 Okinawa, Okinawa-jima Kin Japan  0.0
10/12/2022 18:00 Kagoshima, Kyushu Kagoshima Japan  0.0
12/12/2022 22:00 Fujian, Shijing China  0.0
12/12/2022 08:00 Yamaguchi, Oura Japan  0.0
12/12/2022 06:00 Nagasaki, Kyushu Matsuomachi Japan  0.0
10/12/2022 18:00 Zhejiang, Changchuanba China  0.0
12/12/2022 09:00 Yamaguchi, Ihota Japan  0.0
10/12/2022 18:00 Nagasaki, Kyushu Yuki Japan  0.0
12/12/2022 21:00 Fujian, Hsia-mei China  0.0
11/12/2022 01:00 Penghu, Hua-hsu Taiwan  0.0
12/12/2022 22:00 Fujian, Fengwei China  0.0
12/12/2022 21:00 Fujian, Wutian China  0.0
12/12/2022 05:00 Nagasaki, Kyushu Kareki Japan  0.0
11/12/2022 01:00 Penghu, Chung-p'ing Taiwan  0.0
12/12/2022 08:00 Yamaguchi, Yodai Japan  0.0
10/12/2022 23:00 Fujian, Tung-ch'ung China  0.0
12/12/2022 06:00 Kumamoto, Iwaya Japan  0.0
12/12/2022 06:00 Kumamoto, Kyushu Misumi Japan  0.0
12/12/2022 21:00 Fujian, Guleitou China  0.0
12/12/2022 07:00 Oita, Kyushu Sashioi Japan  0.0
12/12/2022 07:00 Oita, Kyushu Uwaura Japan  0.0
10/12/2022 20:00 Kochi, Shikoku Susaki Japan  0.0
12/12/2022 21:00 Fujian, Gangkou China  0.0
12/12/2022 08:00 Oita, Kyushu Hotojima Japan  0.0
10/12/2022 20:00 Jiangsu, Ta-yu-chien China  0.0
12/12/2022 07:00 Oita, Kyushu Saganoseki Japan  0.0
11/12/2022 06:00 Hong Kong SAR, Sz Pak Hong Kong (China)  0.0
12/12/2022 06:00 Nagasaki, Kyushu Arie Japan  0.0
11/12/2022 07:00 Macau SAR, Taipa Macau (China)  0.0
13/12/2022 05:00 Jeollanam-do, Chehang-ni Republic of Korea  0.0
12/12/2022 07:00 Jeollanam-do, Ch'ongam Republic of Korea  0.0
11/12/2022 22:00 Gyeongsangnam-do, Mareug-do Chop'o Republic of Korea  0.0
10/12/2022 21:00 Nagasaki, Izuhara Japan  0.0
10/12/2022 18:00 Guangdong, Rudong China
10/12/2022 18:00 Guangdong, Santouzui China
10/12/2022 18:00 Guangdong, Hsi-t'ou China
10/12/2022 18:00 Macau SAR, Coloane Macau (China)
10/12/2022 18:00 Guangdong, Cheng'anwei China
10/12/2022 18:00 Guangdong, Dawanshan Dao Wanshan China
10/12/2022 18:00 Guangdong, Lajiwei China
10/12/2022 18:00 Hong Kong SAR, Lo So Shing Hong Kong (China)
10/12/2022 18:00 Guangdong, Zhelang China
10/12/2022 18:00 Fujian, Dongshan Dao Chencheng China
10/12/2022 18:00 Fujian, Weitou China
10/12/2022 18:00 Fujian, Meizhou Dao Meizhou China
10/12/2022 18:00 Jiangsu, Jiuliqi China
10/12/2022 18:00 Fujian, Pinghai China
10/12/2022 18:00 Fujian, Shicheng China
10/12/2022 18:00 Jiangsu, Dongxi Liandao China
10/12/2022 18:00 Fujian, Gaoshan China
10/12/2022 18:00 Fujian, Nanri Dao Fuye China
10/12/2022 18:00 Shandong, Shijiusuo China
10/12/2022 18:00 Penghu, Chu-mu-shui Taiwan
10/12/2022 18:00 Fujian, Haitan Dao Cao Yu China
10/12/2022 18:00 Shandong, Hongshiya China
10/12/2022 18:00 Shandong, Houwan China
10/12/2022 18:00 Fujian, Sansha China
10/12/2022 18:00 Shandong, Yantaiqian China
10/12/2022 18:00 Shandong, Xianlang China
10/12/2022 18:00 Shandong, Beizhuang China
10/12/2022 18:00 Shandong, Ch'ing-tao China
10/12/2022 18:00 Zhejiang, Sha-fan-chieh China
10/12/2022 18:00 Shandong, Shazikou China
10/12/2022 18:00 Zhejiang, Beilong China
10/12/2022 18:00 Zhejiang, Cheng-chia-tai China
10/12/2022 18:00 Zhejiang, Hsing-hsing-chen China
10/12/2022 18:00 Zhejiang, Yuhuan Dao Kanmen China
10/12/2022 18:00 Zhejiang, Lingmen China
10/12/2022 18:00 Hualien, Chia-lu-lan Taiwan
10/12/2022 18:00 Hualien, Hsin-ch'eng Taiwan
10/12/2022 18:00 Ilan, Tou-cheng Taiwan
10/12/2022 18:00 Taipei, Fu-lien Taiwan
10/12/2022 18:00 Zhejiang, Dai Shan Gaoting China
10/12/2022 18:00 Zhejiang, Litang China
10/12/2022 18:00 , Dachu Shan Tiantu China
10/12/2022 18:00 , Fangang China
10/12/2022 18:00 Zhejiang, T'ien-hou-kung China
10/12/2022 18:00 Zhejiang, Nan 'ao China
10/12/2022 18:00 , Sheng Shan Shengshan China
10/12/2022 18:00 Jeollanam-do, Soheugsan-do Hang-ni Republic of Korea
10/12/2022 18:00 Jeollanam-do, Hong-do Chukhang Republic of Korea
10/12/2022 18:00 Jeollanam-do, Daeheugsan-do Amch'on Republic of Korea
10/12/2022 18:00 Jeollanam-do, Manjae-do Banzaito-ri Republic of Korea
10/12/2022 18:00 Jeollanam-do, Katsuto Republic of Korea
10/12/2022 18:00 Jeju-do, Cheju do Sinhyo-ri Republic of Korea
10/12/2022 18:00 Jeollanam-do, Haenggan-ni Republic of Korea
10/12/2022 18:00 Jeju-do, Cheju do Seogwipo Republic of Korea
10/12/2022 18:00 Jeollanam-do, Soan-do Bira-ri Republic of Korea
10/12/2022 18:00 Okinawa, Kume-jima Ohara Japan
10/12/2022 18:00 Jeju-do, Cheju do Pyoseon-ri Republic of Korea
10/12/2022 18:00 Jeollanam-do, Cheongsan-do Chinsan-ni Republic of Korea
10/12/2022 18:00 Okinawa, Aguni-jima Aguni Japan
10/12/2022 18:00 Okinawa, Aguni-jima Hama Japan
10/12/2022 18:00 Jeollanam-do, Changch'on Republic of Korea
10/12/2022 18:00 Okinawa, Tokashiki-shima Awaren Japan
10/12/2022 18:00 Okinawa, Tokashiki-shima Tokashiku Japan
10/12/2022 18:00 Jeollanam-do, Kok'ori Republic of Korea
10/12/2022 18:00 Jeollanam-do, Ando Republic of Korea
10/12/2022 18:00 Okinawa, Okinawa-jima Fusozaki Japan
10/12/2022 18:00 Okinawa, Ie-shima Higashieue Japan
10/12/2022 18:00 Gyeongsangnam-do, Hangch'on Republic of Korea
10/12/2022 18:00 Okinawa, Izena-shima Izena Japan
10/12/2022 18:00 Gyeongsangnam-do, Jogji-do Chabup'o Republic of Korea
10/12/2022 18:00 Okinawa, Okino-erabu-shima China Japan
10/12/2022 18:00 Okinawa, Okino-erabu-shima Degi Japan
10/12/2022 18:00 Nagasaki, Fukue-jima Daiho Japan
10/12/2022 18:00 Okinawa, Okino-erabu-shima Nishibaru Japan
10/12/2022 18:00 Nagasaki, Fukue-jima Yamashita Japan
10/12/2022 18:00 Nagasaki, Funamawari Japan
10/12/2022 18:00 Nagasaki, Ashinoura Japan
10/12/2022 18:00 Nagasaki, Nakadori-jima Narao Japan
10/12/2022 18:00 Nagasaki, Nakadori-jima Iwaseura Japan
10/12/2022 18:00 Nagasaki, Uku-shima Konoura Japan
10/12/2022 18:00 Nagasaki, Uku-shima Taira Japan
10/12/2022 18:00 Okinawa, Kakeroma-jima Saneku Japan
10/12/2022 18:00 Okinawa, Kakeroma-jima Satsukawa Japan
10/12/2022 18:00 Okinawa, Uke-shima Ikechi Japan
10/12/2022 18:00 Okinawa, Uke-shima Ukearnuro Japan
10/12/2022 18:00 Okinawa, Kakeroma-jima Ikenma Japan
10/12/2022 18:00 Okinawa, Katoku Japan
10/12/2022 18:00 Nagasaki, Kuro-shima Tashiro Japan
10/12/2022 18:00 Okinawa, Kominato Japan
10/12/2022 18:00 Kagoshima, Akuseki-shima Akusekishima Japan
10/12/2022 18:00 Okinawa, Tatsugo Japan
10/12/2022 18:00 Nagasaki, Matsu-shima Kamanoura Japan
10/12/2022 18:00 Okinawa, Akaogi Japan
10/12/2022 18:00 Kagoshima, Suwanose-shima Motomura Japan
10/12/2022 18:00 Okinawa, Sakibaru Japan
10/12/2022 18:00 Nagasaki, Kyushu Nomo Japan
10/12/2022 18:00 Nagasaki, Wakimisaki Japan
10/12/2022 18:00 Kagoshima, Shimo-koshiki-shima Imuta Japan
10/12/2022 18:00 Kagoshima, Taira Japan
10/12/2022 18:00 Okinawa, Kikai-shima Araki Japan
10/12/2022 18:00 Kagoshima, Kyushu Makurazuki Japan
10/12/2022 18:00 Kagoshima, Kyushu Yamagawa Japan
10/12/2022 18:00 Kagoshima, Make-jima Hayama Japan
10/12/2022 18:00 Kagoshima, Make-jima Takabo Japan
10/12/2022 18:00 Kagoshima, Tanega-shima Masuda Japan
10/12/2022 18:00 Kagoshima, Tanega-shima Ikenohira Japan
10/12/2022 18:00 Kagoshima, Tanega-shima Kunigami Japan
10/12/2022 18:00 Kagoshima, Tanega-shima Kunikami Japan
10/12/2022 18:00 Kagoshima, Tanega-shima Minato Japan
10/12/2022 18:00 Kagoshima, Tanega-shima Shoiiura Japan
10/12/2022 18:00 Kagoshima, Kyushu Igatan Japan
10/12/2022 18:00 Miyazaki, Kyushu Miyanoura Japan
10/12/2022 18:00 Miyazaki, Kyushu Aburatsu Japan
10/12/2022 18:00 Miyazaki, Kyushu Haruguchi Japan
10/12/2022 18:00 Miyazaki, Kyushu Uwae Japan
10/12/2022 18:00 Miyazaki, Kyushu Mimitsu Japan
10/12/2022 18:00 Miyazaki, Kyushu Nobeoka Japan
10/12/2022 18:00 Oita, Kyushu Maruichibi Japan
10/12/2022 18:00 Oita, Kyushu Kamae Japan
10/12/2022 18:00 Oita, Kyushu Tsurumi-zaki Japan
10/12/2022 18:00 Ehime, Shikoku Natori Japan
10/12/2022 18:00 Ehime, Shikoku Takayama Japan
10/12/2022 18:00 Ehime, Shikoku Ajiro Japan
10/12/2022 18:00 Kochi, Shikoku Komame Japan
10/12/2022 18:00 Kochi, Shikoku Simo-Kawaguti Japan
10/12/2022 18:00 Kochi, Shikoku Nada Japan
10/12/2022 18:00 Kochi, Shikoku Sakinohama Japan
10/12/2022 18:00 Tokushima, Shikoku Hiwasa Japan
10/12/2022 18:00 Tokushima, Shikoku Abe Japan
10/12/2022 18:00 Wakayama, Honshu Yunosaki Japan