Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for NORU-22
in Viet Nam, Laos, Philippines
26 Sep 2022 00 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone NORU-22 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries Japan, Paracel Islands, Vietnam
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 94 km/h
Maximum storm surge 1.1 m (28 Sep 11:45 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Vietnam)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 94 km/h 1.1 m 163 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 112 km/h 1.0 m 634 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

112 km/h

Up to 320 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 26 Sep 2022 00:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormJapan, Paracel Islands, Vietnam317,150
+
Japan1,423 
Paracel Islands455 
Vietnam315,271 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 21 Sep 2022 12:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 22 Sep 2022 00:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 22 Sep 2022 12:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 23 Sep 2022 00:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 23 Sep 2022 12:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 24 Sep 2022 00:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 24 Sep 2022 12:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 25 Sep 2022 00:00 130 -
- - - - - Philippines
GREEN 9 25 Sep 2022 12:00 112 -
- - - - - Philippines
GREEN 10 26 Sep 2022 00:00 108 -
- - - - - Japan, Paracel Islands, Vietnam
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 26 Sep 2022 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmLaos, Vietnam1,067,943
+
Vietnam805,304 
Laos262,639 
100-250 mmChina, India, Myanmar, Japan, Vietnam, Laos, Thailand, Paracel Islands, Cambodia, Philippines, Indonesia19,115,696
+
Japan21 
China212,927 
India922 
Myanmar98,293 
Vietnam11,621,092 
Laos1,257,975 
Thailand5,276,867 
Philippines144,038 
Paracel Islands30 
Cambodia494,970 
Indonesia8,555 
50-100 mmJapan, China, India, Myanmar, Vietnam, Laos, Thailand, Philippines, Paracel Islands, Cambodia, Micronesia, Palau, Malaysia, Indonesia, Brunei95,386,215
+
Japan1,846,087 
China7,635,075 
India589,112 
Myanmar5,805,170 
Vietnam24,687,208 
Laos1,096,511 
Thailand23,040,040 
Philippines26,541,721 
Paracel Islands424 
Cambodia1,919,937 
Micronesia01 
Palau3,789 
Malaysia1,385,362 
Indonesia829,880 
Brunei5,891 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 21 Sep 2022 12:00 244 -
- - - - - India, Myanmar
Blue 2 22 Sep 2022 00:00 81 -
- - - - - India, Myanmar, Laos, Vietnam
Blue 3 22 Sep 2022 12:00 305 4 thousand
- - - Japan, China, India, Paracel Islands, Brunei
Blue 4 23 Sep 2022 00:00 168 2 thousand
- - - - Japan, China, India, Laos, Thailand, Philippines
Blue 5 23 Sep 2022 12:00 187 20 thousand
- - - - China, India, Myanmar, Vietnam, Laos, Thailand
Blue 6 24 Sep 2022 00:00 115 -
- - - - - India, Taiwan, Vietnam, Laos, Philippines
Blue 7 24 Sep 2022 12:00 114 Few people
- - - - India, Myanmar, China, Taiwan, Vietnam, Laos, Thailand
Blue 8 25 Sep 2022 00:00 318 450 thousand
- - - India, Taiwan, Myanmar, Philippines
Blue 9 25 Sep 2022 12:00 217 4.4 million
- - - - Myanmar, Thailand, Philippines
Blue 10 26 Sep 2022 00:00 485 20.2 million
- - - Japan, China, India, Myanmar, Vietnam, Laos, Thailand, Philippines, Paracel Islands, Cambodia, Micronesia, Palau, Malaysia, Indonesia, Brunei




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

1.1 m

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 26 Sep 2022 00:00 UTC