Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for NORU-22
in Viet Nam, Laos, Philippines
27 Sep 2022 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone NORU-22 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries Vietnam, Paracel Islands
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 90 km/h
Maximum storm surge 1.1 m (28 Sep 12:30 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Vietnam)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 90 km/h 1.1 m 268 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 112 km/h 1.0 m 634 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

112 km/h

Up to 60 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 27 Sep 2022 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormVietnam, Paracel Islands56,279
+
Vietnam56,232 
Paracel Islands47 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 21 Sep 2022 12:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 22 Sep 2022 00:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 22 Sep 2022 12:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 23 Sep 2022 00:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 23 Sep 2022 12:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 24 Sep 2022 00:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 24 Sep 2022 12:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 25 Sep 2022 00:00 130 -
- - - - - Philippines
GREEN 9 25 Sep 2022 12:00 112 -
- - - - - Philippines
GREEN 10 26 Sep 2022 00:00 94 -
- - - - - Japan
GREEN 11 26 Sep 2022 12:00 97 -
- - - - - Japan, Paracel Islands
GREEN 12 27 Sep 2022 00:00 101 -
- - - - - Japan, Paracel Islands, Vietnam
GREEN 13 27 Sep 2022 12:00 101 -
- - - - - Vietnam, Paracel Islands
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 27 Sep 2022 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
500-750 mmLaos11,586 
250-500 mmVietnam, Laos355,248
+
Vietnam47,386 
Laos307,862 
100-250 mmChina, India, Vietnam, Laos, Thailand, Myanmar, Cambodia, Philippines, Indonesia39,373,402
+
China848,613 
India321 
Myanmar5,388,958 
Vietnam20,699,760 
Laos1,421,820 
Thailand10,076,600 
Philippines7,459 
Cambodia528,661 
Indonesia401,205 
50-100 mmJapan, China, India, Myanmar, Vietnam, Laos, Thailand, Philippines, Cambodia, Malaysia, Indonesia105,424,132
+
Japan19,570 
China14,786,524 
India17,134 
Myanmar18,837,596 
Vietnam29,270,816 
Laos2,794,592 
Thailand22,574,724 
Philippines12,293,508 
Cambodia1,121,644 
Malaysia1,077,682 
Indonesia2,630,337 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 21 Sep 2022 12:00 244 -
- - - - - India, Myanmar
Blue 2 22 Sep 2022 00:00 81 -
- - - - - India, Myanmar, Laos, Vietnam
Blue 3 22 Sep 2022 12:00 305 4 thousand
- - - Japan, China, India, Paracel Islands, Brunei
Blue 4 23 Sep 2022 00:00 168 2 thousand
- - - - Japan, China, India, Laos, Thailand, Philippines
Blue 5 23 Sep 2022 12:00 187 20 thousand
- - - - China, India, Myanmar, Vietnam, Laos, Thailand
Blue 6 24 Sep 2022 00:00 115 -
- - - - - India, Taiwan, Vietnam, Laos, Philippines
Blue 7 24 Sep 2022 12:00 114 Few people
- - - - India, Myanmar, China, Taiwan, Vietnam, Laos, Thailand
Blue 8 25 Sep 2022 00:00 318 450 thousand
- - - India, Taiwan, Myanmar, Philippines
Blue 9 25 Sep 2022 12:00 217 4.4 million
- - - - Myanmar, Thailand, Philippines
Blue 10 26 Sep 2022 00:00 163 Few people
- - - - Myanmar, Philippines, Malaysia
Blue 11 26 Sep 2022 12:00 197 260 thousand
- - - - Myanmar, Thailand, Paracel Islands, Philippines
Blue 12 27 Sep 2022 00:00 232 30 thousand
- - - - Japan, China, Vietnam, Paracel Islands, Philippines, Indonesia
Blue 13 27 Sep 2022 12:00 557 39.7 million
- - Japan, China, India, Myanmar, Vietnam, Laos, Thailand, Philippines, Cambodia, Malaysia, Indonesia




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

1.1 m

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 27 Sep 2022 12:00 UTC