Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for MANDOUS-22
in India, Sri Lanka
08 Dec 2022 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone MANDOUS-22 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries India
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 101 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (09 Dec 21:00 UTC)
Vulnerability High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 101 km/h 0.4 m 257 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 72 km/h 0.5 m 597 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

72 km/h

Up to 30 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 08 Dec 2022 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormIndia29,337 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 07 Dec 2022 00:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 07 Dec 2022 12:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 08 Dec 2022 00:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 08 Dec 2022 12:00 101 -
- - - - - India
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 08 Dec 2022 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmIndonesia405,353 
100-250 mmIndia, Sri Lanka, Thailand, Indonesia36,735,739
+
India28,511,073 
Sri Lanka144,665 
Thailand1,152 
Indonesia8,078,847 
50-100 mmIndia, Sri Lanka, Thailand, Malaysia, Indonesia, Maldives68,200,737
+
India60,634,007 
Sri Lanka2,888,105 
Thailand1,074,330 
Malaysia41,076 
Indonesia3,559,881 
Maldives3,334 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 07 Dec 2022 00:00 255 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 07 Dec 2022 12:00 328 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 08 Dec 2022 00:00 316 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 08 Dec 2022 12:00 319 37.1 million
- - - India, Sri Lanka, Thailand, Malaysia, Indonesia, Maldives




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

0.6 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.6m in Prachuap Khiri Khan, Ban Chamuang, Thailand. This height is estimated for 10/12/2022 00:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 08 Dec 2022 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
10/12/2022 00:00 Prachuap Khiri Khan, Ban Chamuang Thailand  0.6
09/12/2022 23:00 Chumphon, Ban Choeng Kra Thailand  0.6
10/12/2022 00:00 Surat Thani, Ban Tha Krachai Thailand  0.6
10/12/2022 00:00 Chumphon, Ban Hin Sam Kon Thailand  0.6
10/12/2022 00:00 Chumphon, Ban Bang Man Thailand  0.6
08/12/2022 07:00 Tamil Nadu, Ennore India  0.2
09/12/2022 07:00 Tanintharyi, Kanmaw Kyun Bemagyauk Ywa Myanmar  0.1
09/12/2022 07:00 Tanintharyi, Kanmaw Kyun Mawgaungdon Ywa Myanmar  0.1
08/12/2022 22:00 Krabi, Ban Khlong Sai Thailand  0.1
08/12/2022 12:00 Tamil Nadu, Marakkanam India  0.1
08/12/2022 13:00 Tamil Nadu, Kalapettai India  0.1
08/12/2022 14:00 Andhra Pradesh, Ullapalem India  0.1
09/12/2022 05:00 West Bengal, Gangra India  0.1
08/12/2022 14:00 Andhra Pradesh, Pakala India  0.1
08/12/2022 08:00 Tanintharyi, Tawbyagyi Myanmar  0.1
07/12/2022 10:00 North Eastern, Brynthuraichenai Sri Lanka  0.1
07/12/2022 03:00 North Eastern, Panama Sri Lanka  0.1
09/12/2022 00:00 Mon, Kwanhla Myanmar  0.1
07/12/2022 07:00 Tamil Nadu, Thoothukkudi India  0.1
07/12/2022 19:00 Ranong, Ban Sin Hai Thailand  0.1
09/12/2022 01:00 Yangon, Ale-ywa Myanmar  0.1
09/12/2022 06:00 Tamil Nadu, Kattumavadi India  0.1
07/12/2022 19:00 Tanintharyi, Kawthaung Myanmar  0.1
09/12/2022 03:00 Tamil Nadu, Kottaippattanam India  0.1
09/12/2022 02:00 Tamil Nadu, Pamban India  0.1
07/12/2022 00:00 Barisal, Kanchanpur Bangladesh  0.1
07/12/2022 09:00 West Bengal, Bijavbati India  0.0
08/12/2022 00:00 Barisal, Char Bagala Bangladesh  0.0
07/12/2022 04:00 Orissa, Chandipur India  0.0
09/12/2022 03:00 Chittagong, Kutubdia Island Lemsikhali Bangladesh  0.0
09/12/2022 03:00 Chittagong, Kutubdia Island Dhurung Bangladesh  0.0