Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for MANDOUS-22
in India, Sri Lanka
09 Dec 2022 00 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone MANDOUS-22 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries India
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 90 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (09 Dec 20:45 UTC)
Vulnerability High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 90 km/h 0.4 m 114 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 72 km/h 0.5 m 597 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

72 km/h

Up to 70 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 09 Dec 2022 00:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormIndia65,522 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 07 Dec 2022 00:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 07 Dec 2022 12:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 08 Dec 2022 00:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 08 Dec 2022 12:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 09 Dec 2022 00:00 90 -
- - - - - India
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 09 Dec 2022 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
500-750 mmIndonesia2,055 
250-500 mmIndonesia375,460 
100-250 mmIndia, Indonesia27,392,719
+
India24,199,440 
Indonesia3,193,278 
50-100 mmIndia, Thailand, Sri Lanka, Malaysia, Indonesia, Maldives59,425,362
+
India51,022,975 
Thailand167,391 
Sri Lanka120,637 
Malaysia38,893 
Indonesia8,056,531 
Maldives18,933 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 07 Dec 2022 00:00 255 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 07 Dec 2022 12:00 328 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 08 Dec 2022 00:00 316 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 08 Dec 2022 12:00 257 -
- - - - - India, Sri Lanka
Blue 5 09 Dec 2022 00:00 619 27.8 million
- - India, Thailand, Sri Lanka, Malaysia, Indonesia, Maldives




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

0.7 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.7m in Surat Thani, Ban Tha Krachai, Thailand. This height is estimated for 10/12/2022 00:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 09 Dec 2022 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
10/12/2022 00:00 Surat Thani, Ban Tha Krachai Thailand  0.7
10/12/2022 00:00 Chumphon, Ban Choeng Kra Thailand  0.7
10/12/2022 00:00 Chumphon, Ban Bang Man Thailand  0.7
10/12/2022 00:00 Chumphon, Ban Hin Sam Kon Thailand  0.7
10/12/2022 00:00 Prachuap Khiri Khan, Ban Chamuang Thailand  0.7
07/12/2022 18:00 Tamil Nadu, Ennore India  0.2
07/12/2022 00:00 Tamil Nadu, Kalapettai India  0.2
07/12/2022 03:00 Tamil Nadu, Marakkanam India  0.2
07/12/2022 20:00 Tanintharyi, Tawbyagyi Myanmar  0.1
08/12/2022 18:00 Tanintharyi, Kanmaw Kyun Bemagyauk Ywa Myanmar  0.1
08/12/2022 10:00 Krabi, Ban Khlong Sai Thailand  0.1
08/12/2022 18:00 Tanintharyi, Kanmaw Kyun Mawgaungdon Ywa Myanmar  0.1
07/12/2022 14:00 Andhra Pradesh, Pakala India  0.1
08/12/2022 02:00 Andhra Pradesh, Ullapalem India  0.1
07/12/2022 10:00 North Eastern, Brynthuraichenai Sri Lanka  0.1
07/12/2022 04:00 North Eastern, Ammanthanaveli Sri Lanka  0.1
08/12/2022 12:00 Mon, Kwanhla Myanmar  0.1
08/12/2022 14:00 Yangon, Ale-ywa Myanmar  0.1
07/12/2022 19:00 Andhra Pradesh, Vatturupallepalem India  0.1
08/12/2022 13:00 Tamil Nadu, Kattumavadi India  0.1
08/12/2022 13:00 Tamil Nadu, Kottaippattanam India  0.1
08/12/2022 17:00 West Bengal, Gangra India  0.1
08/12/2022 02:00 Tamil Nadu, Pamban India  0.1
07/12/2022 13:00 Orissa, Chandipur India  0.1
07/12/2022 13:00 West Bengal, Bijavbati India  0.0
07/12/2022 14:00 Barisal, Kanchanpur Bangladesh  0.0
07/12/2022 15:00 Chittagong, Kutubdia Island Dhurung Bangladesh  0.0
07/12/2022 14:00 Chittagong, Kutubdia Island Lemsikhali Bangladesh  0.0
08/12/2022 14:00 Barisal, Char Bagala Bangladesh  0.0