Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for NORU-22
in Viet Nam, Laos, Philippines

Impact

Tropical Cyclone NORU-22 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Taiwan
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 65 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (22 Sep 06:45 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Vietnam)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 65 km/h 0.4 m 67 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 209 km/h 1.2 m 618 mm 1.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

209 km/h

Up to 530 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 22 Sep 2022 06:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormTaiwan533,339 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 22 Sep 2022 00:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 22 Sep 2022 06:00 79 -
- - - - - Taiwan
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 22 Sep 2022 06:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmJapan, Vietnam, Laos, Philippines, Thailand, Cambodia, Micronesia5,556,087
+
Japan159,077 
Vietnam4,773,151 
Philippines213,913 
Laos48,962 
Thailand284,317 
Cambodia67,821 
Micronesia8,843 
50-100 mmJapan, China, India, Myanmar, Vietnam, Philippines, Laos, Thailand, Paracel Islands, Cambodia, Micronesia, Palau, Malaysia, Indonesia64,903,399
+
Japan54,876 
China5,448,220 
India4,158,719 
Myanmar2,605,300 
Vietnam21,650,457 
Philippines2,230,675 
Laos1,824,437 
Thailand21,942,625 
Paracel Islands30 
Cambodia4,943,970 
Micronesia1,834 
Palau13,458 
Malaysia7,764 
Indonesia21,028 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 22 Sep 2022 00:00 52 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 22 Sep 2022 06:00 313 5.6 million
- - - - Japan, China, India, Myanmar, Vietnam, Philippines, Laos, Thailand, Paracel Islands, Cambodia, Micronesia, Palau, Malaysia, Indonesia




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Ha Tinh, Hoi Thong, Vietnam. This height is estimated for 23/09/2022 22:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 22 Sep 2022 06:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
23/09/2022 22:00 Ha Tinh, Hoi Thong Vietnam  0.3
23/09/2022 20:00 Guangdong, Tung-li China  0.3
23/09/2022 22:00 Ha Tinh, Trung Thinh Vietnam  0.2
23/09/2022 22:00 Thanh Hoa, Xi Dua Vietnam  0.2
23/09/2022 03:00 Zhejiang, Hsieh-fu China  0.2
23/09/2022 23:00 Thanh Hoa, Hoang Xa Vietnam  0.2
23/09/2022 23:00 Thanh Hoa, Dot Dong Vietnam  0.2
24/09/2022 00:00 Guangdong, Cheng'anwei China  0.2
24/09/2022 00:00 Nam Dinh, Quan Phuong Trung Trai Vietnam  0.2
24/09/2022 00:00 Nam Dinh, Lien Phu Vietnam  0.2
24/09/2022 07:00 Guangdong, Donghai Dao Houhai China  0.2
23/09/2022 21:00 Quang Ninh, Hoang Chau Vietnam  0.2
23/09/2022 06:00 Zhejiang, Changchuanba China  0.2
24/09/2022 08:00 Guangdong, Naozhou Dao Huangwu China  0.2
23/09/2022 22:00 Guangdong, Shangchuan Dao Dalangwan China  0.2
23/09/2022 09:00 Fujian, Tantou China  0.2
23/09/2022 20:00 Ha Tinh, Vinh Son Vietnam  0.2
23/09/2022 21:00 Guangdong, Naozhou Dao Doulongcun China  0.2
23/09/2022 23:00 Chon Buri, Ko Si Chang Ban Si Racha Thailand  0.2
23/09/2022 22:00 Quang Ninh, Cai Kien Vietnam  0.2
23/09/2022 21:00 Guangxi, Wanwei China  0.2
23/09/2022 22:00 Phetchaburi, Ban Pak Khlong Thailand  0.2
23/09/2022 22:00 Phetchaburi, Ban Hua Hin Thailand  0.2
23/09/2022 21:00 Guangxi, Bailong China  0.2
23/09/2022 23:00 Phetchaburi, Ban Huai Sai Tai Thailand  0.2
23/09/2022 23:00 Phetchaburi, Ban Bang Gwai Thailand  0.2
25/09/2022 00:00 Fujian, Shihu China  0.2
23/09/2022 09:00 Fujian, Fengwo China  0.2
23/09/2022 09:00 Fujian, Yunlong China  0.2
24/09/2022 18:00 Quezon, Concepcion Philippines  0.2
23/09/2022 23:00 Prachuap Khiri Khan, Hua Hin Thailand  0.1
23/09/2022 23:00 Trat, Ban Pak Khlong Tha Luan Thailand  0.1
23/09/2022 20:00 Guangdong, Rudong China  0.1
23/09/2022 18:00 Trat, Ban Ao Cho Thailand  0.1
24/09/2022 00:00 Chon Buri, Sattahip Thailand  0.1
24/09/2022 00:00 Chon Buri, Ban Chong Samae San Thailand  0.1
24/09/2022 14:00 Western Visayas, Leyte Island Calatrava Philippines  0.1
23/09/2022 03:00 Mon, Kwanhla Myanmar  0.1
24/09/2022 14:00 Western Visayas, Leyte Island Escalante Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 02:00 Koh Kong, Bang Krassop Cambodia  0.1
24/09/2022 06:00 Ca Mau, Xom Rach Tau Vietnam  0.1
24/09/2022 13:00 Central Visayas, Bantayan Island Bantayan Philippines  0.1
23/09/2022 22:00 Prachuap Khiri Khan, Dhungnoi Thailand  0.1
24/09/2022 14:00 Central Visayas, Leyte Island Guihulngan Philippines  0.1
23/09/2022 21:00 Rayong, Ban Phra La Thailand  0.1
24/09/2022 14:00 Central Visayas, Leyte Island Calamba Philippines  0.1
23/09/2022 05:00 Zhejiang, Cheng-chia-tai China  0.1
24/09/2022 14:00 Western Visayas, Leyte Island Santo Nino Philippines  0.1
23/09/2022 21:00 Macau SAR, Taipa Macau (China)  0.1
24/09/2022 14:00 Negros Oriental, Leyte Island Tayasan Philippines  0.1
23/09/2022 22:00 Rayong, Ban Ko Kok Thailand  0.1
24/09/2022 14:00 Central Visayas, Leyte Island Manjuyod Philippines  0.1
23/09/2022 22:00 Rayong, Ban Nong Mapring Thailand  0.1
24/09/2022 14:00 Negros Oriental, Leyte Island Ayungon Philippines  0.1
23/09/2022 22:00 Chanthaburi, Ban Ta Lian Thailand  0.1
23/09/2022 21:00 Prachuap Khiri Khan, Ban Bo Nok Thailand  0.1
23/09/2022 21:00 Prachuap Khiri Khan, Ban Wa Thon Thailand  0.1
22/09/2022 17:00 Guangxi, Yingluo China  0.1
24/09/2022 14:00 Iloilo, Punta Buri Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 11:00 , Bagatao Island Mualbual Philippines  0.1
23/09/2022 20:00 Chumphon, Ban Choeng Kra Thailand  0.1
23/09/2022 23:00 Trat, Ko Mak Ban Ao Fat Thailand  0.1
23/09/2022 20:00 Guangdong, Santouzui China  0.1
23/09/2022 20:00 Guangdong, Hsi-t'ou China  0.1
23/09/2022 05:00 Tanintharyi, Kanmaw Kyun Bemagyauk Ywa Myanmar  0.1
23/09/2022 03:00 Satun, Bagan Tohit Thailand  0.1
23/09/2022 21:00 Prachuap Khiri Khan, Ban Chamuang Thailand  0.1
24/09/2022 11:00 Penghu, Pai-sha Tao Ch'ang-an Taiwan  0.1
24/09/2022 13:00 Western Visayas, Panay Island Concepcion Philippines  0.1
23/09/2022 20:00 Guangdong, Liusha China  0.1
23/09/2022 05:00 Tanintharyi, Kanmaw Kyun Mawgaungdon Ywa Myanmar  0.1
22/09/2022 22:00 Fujian, Fengwei China  0.1
23/09/2022 16:00 Quang Tri, Mui Lay Vietnam  0.1
24/09/2022 03:00 Krabi, Ban Khlong Sai Thailand  0.1
22/09/2022 11:00 Quang Tri, Thon My Thuy Vietnam  0.1
24/09/2022 13:00 Central Visayas, Bantayan Island Madridejos Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 13:00 , Tagauayan Island Lo-oc Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 13:00 Western Visayas, Panay Island Binon-an Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 13:00 , Batbatan Island Bitoon Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 12:00 Eastern Visayas, Biliran Island Culaba Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 17:00 Southern Tagalog, Polillo Island Bisliang Philippines  0.1
23/09/2022 05:00 Yangon, Ale-ywa Myanmar  0.1
23/09/2022 17:00 Ben Tre, Ap Phu My Vietnam  0.1
24/09/2022 13:00 Cebu, Cebu Island Maya Philippines  0.1
23/09/2022 21:00 Chumphon, Ban Hin Sam Kon Thailand  0.1
23/09/2022 22:00 Surat Thani, Ban Tha Krachai Thailand  0.1
24/09/2022 12:00 Eastern Visayas, Biliran Island Tucdao Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 17:00 , Mauban Island Calamias Philippines  0.1
23/09/2022 21:00 Chumphon, Ban Bang Man Thailand  0.1
23/09/2022 05:00 Zhejiang, Hsing-hsing-chen China  0.1
22/09/2022 10:00 Thua Thien-Hue, Thai Duong Thuong Vietnam  0.1
22/09/2022 10:00 Thua Thien-Hue, Thon Thai Duong Ha Vietnam  0.1
24/09/2022 13:00 , South Gigante Island Gabi Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 00:00 Fujian, Lianhe China  0.1
24/09/2022 08:00 Hong Kong SAR, Sz Pak Hong Kong (China)  0.1
22/09/2022 08:00 Fujian, Wutian China  0.1
24/09/2022 22:00 Ilocos, Cabarruyan Island Santiago Philippines  0.1
23/09/2022 20:00 Macau SAR, Coloane Macau (China)  0.1
24/09/2022 14:00 Western Visayas, Panay Island Carles Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 18:00 Bicol, Barana Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 12:00 , Higatangan Island Gigantangan Philippines  0.1
22/09/2022 08:00 Fujian, Hsia-mei China  0.1
22/09/2022 08:00 Fujian, Gangkou China  0.1
22/09/2022 08:00 Fujian, Guleitou China  0.1
22/09/2022 09:00 Guangdong, Huanglong China  0.1
22/09/2022 21:00 Fujian, Shijing China  0.1
23/09/2022 10:00 Fujian, Shicheng China  0.1
23/09/2022 18:00 Ben Tre, Ap An Thuan Vietnam  0.1
22/09/2022 22:00 Fujian, Meizhou Dao Meizhou China  0.1
23/09/2022 09:00 Fujian, Nanri Dao Fuye China  0.1
22/09/2022 06:00 Fujian, Gaoshan China  0.1
23/09/2022 23:00 Fujian, Weitou China  0.1
23/09/2022 15:00 Songkhla, Ban Hlem Son Thailand  0.1
23/09/2022 15:00 Songkhla, Songkhla Thailand  0.1
22/09/2022 05:00 Zhejiang, Lingmen China  0.1
22/09/2022 05:00 Fujian, Pinghai China  0.1
22/09/2022 05:00 Zhejiang, Yuhuan Dao Kanmen China  0.1
24/09/2022 01:00 Songkhla, Ban Map Bua Thailand  0.0
22/09/2022 09:00 Zhejiang, Sha-fan-chieh China  0.0
22/09/2022 09:00 Fujian, Sansha China  0.0
22/09/2022 07:00 Zhejiang, Beilong China  0.0
23/09/2022 02:00 Zhejiang, Dai Shan Gaoting China  0.0
22/09/2022 06:00 Zhejiang, Litang China  0.0
22/09/2022 07:00 Zhejiang, Nan 'ao China  0.0
22/09/2022 08:00 , Sheng Shan Shengshan China  0.0
22/09/2022 08:00 , Fangang China  0.0
22/09/2022 07:00 Zhejiang, T'ien-hou-kung China  0.0
22/09/2022 07:00 , Dachu Shan Tiantu China  0.0