Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for NORU-22
in Viet Nam, Laos, Philippines

Impact

Tropical Cyclone NORU-22 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Taiwan, Philippines
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 76 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (22 Sep 17:30 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Vietnam)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 76 km/h 0.3 m 138 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 209 km/h 1.2 m 618 mm 1.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

209 km/h

Up to 520 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 22 Sep 2022 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormTaiwan, Philippines520,516
+
Taiwan516,363 
Philippines4,153 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 22 Sep 2022 00:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 22 Sep 2022 06:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 22 Sep 2022 12:00 101 -
- - - - - Taiwan, Philippines
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 22 Sep 2022 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmLaos, Vietnam13,412
+
Vietnam13,199 
Laos213 
100-250 mmJapan, India, Vietnam, Laos, Philippines, Thailand, Cambodia, Micronesia5,665,944
+
Japan105,423 
India45,092 
Vietnam4,082,975 
Thailand785,917 
Laos180,033 
Philippines433,444 
Cambodia31,643 
Micronesia1,414 
50-100 mmJapan, China, India, Myanmar, Vietnam, Thailand, Laos, Philippines, Paracel Islands, Cambodia, Northern Mariana Islands, Micronesia, Palau, Malaysia, Indonesia66,905,964
+
Japan377,376 
China2,940,023 
India2,315,171 
Myanmar1,785,645 
Vietnam12,131,017 
Thailand31,339,866 
Laos1,213,737 
Philippines6,425,799 
Paracel Islands30 
Cambodia5,893,549 
Northern Mariana Islands2,567 
Micronesia10,164 
Palau9,693 
Malaysia2,308,686 
Indonesia152,635 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 22 Sep 2022 00:00 52 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 22 Sep 2022 06:00 67 -
- - - - - Vietnam
Blue 3 22 Sep 2022 12:00 337 5.7 million
- - - Japan, China, India, Myanmar, Vietnam, Thailand, Laos, Philippines, Paracel Islands, Cambodia, Northern Mariana Islands, Micronesia, Palau, Malaysia, Indonesia




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Guangdong, Tung-li, China. This height is estimated for 24/09/2022 02:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 22 Sep 2022 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
24/09/2022 02:00 Guangdong, Tung-li China  0.3
23/09/2022 13:00 Ha Tinh, Hoi Thong Vietnam  0.3
23/09/2022 15:00 Ha Tinh, Trung Thinh Vietnam  0.3
23/09/2022 17:00 Thanh Hoa, Xi Dua Vietnam  0.2
23/09/2022 17:00 Thanh Hoa, Hoang Xa Vietnam  0.2
22/09/2022 22:00 Zhejiang, Hsieh-fu China  0.2
24/09/2022 01:00 Guangdong, Donghai Dao Houhai China  0.2
24/09/2022 01:00 Guangdong, Naozhou Dao Huangwu China  0.2
23/09/2022 19:00 Guangdong, Cheng'anwei China  0.2
23/09/2022 04:00 Fujian, Tantou China  0.2
24/09/2022 01:00 Guangdong, Naozhou Dao Doulongcun China  0.2
23/09/2022 18:00 Thanh Hoa, Dot Dong Vietnam  0.2
23/09/2022 16:00 Guangdong, Shangchuan Dao Dalangwan China  0.2
23/09/2022 16:00 Nam Dinh, Quan Phuong Trung Trai Vietnam  0.2
23/09/2022 16:00 Nam Dinh, Lien Phu Vietnam  0.2
24/09/2022 20:00 Quang Ninh, Hoang Chau Vietnam  0.2
23/09/2022 13:00 Ha Tinh, Vinh Son Vietnam  0.2
23/09/2022 04:00 Fujian, Fengwo China  0.2
23/09/2022 04:00 Fujian, Yunlong China  0.2
24/09/2022 22:00 Guangxi, Yingluo China  0.2
23/09/2022 19:00 Chon Buri, Ko Si Chang Ban Si Racha Thailand  0.2
23/09/2022 16:00 Fujian, Shihu China  0.2
22/09/2022 22:00 Zhejiang, Changchuanba China  0.2
23/09/2022 20:00 Phetchaburi, Ban Pak Khlong Thailand  0.1
23/09/2022 20:00 Phetchaburi, Ban Hua Hin Thailand  0.1
24/09/2022 07:00 Tanintharyi, Kanmaw Kyun Bemagyauk Ywa Myanmar  0.1
23/09/2022 14:00 Guangdong, Rudong China  0.1
23/09/2022 23:00 Ca Mau, Xom Rach Tau Vietnam  0.1
24/09/2022 20:00 Central Visayas, Bantayan Island Bantayan Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 20:00 Western Visayas, Leyte Island Calatrava Philippines  0.1
23/09/2022 17:00 Phetchaburi, Ban Huai Sai Tai Thailand  0.1
23/09/2022 17:00 Phetchaburi, Ban Bang Gwai Thailand  0.1
24/09/2022 20:00 Western Visayas, Leyte Island Escalante Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 20:00 Central Visayas, Leyte Island Manjuyod Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 20:00 Central Visayas, Leyte Island Guihulngan Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 20:00 Negros Oriental, Leyte Island Ayungon Philippines  0.1
23/09/2022 18:00 , Bagatao Island Mualbual Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 19:00 Bicol, Barana Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 20:00 Negros Oriental, Leyte Island Tayasan Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 20:00 Central Visayas, Leyte Island Calamba Philippines  0.1
23/09/2022 19:00 Tanintharyi, Kanmaw Kyun Mawgaungdon Ywa Myanmar  0.1
23/09/2022 14:00 Guangdong, Santouzui China  0.1
23/09/2022 14:00 Guangdong, Hsi-t'ou China  0.1
24/09/2022 21:00 Quezon, Concepcion Philippines  0.1
23/09/2022 17:00 Prachuap Khiri Khan, Hua Hin Thailand  0.1
24/09/2022 08:00 Iloilo, Punta Buri Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 20:00 Western Visayas, Leyte Island Santo Nino Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 20:00 Southern Tagalog, Polillo Island Bisliang Philippines  0.1
23/09/2022 20:00 Tanintharyi, Kawthaung Myanmar  0.1
24/09/2022 08:00 Western Visayas, Panay Island Concepcion Philippines  0.1
23/09/2022 21:00 Krabi, Ban Khlong Sai Thailand  0.1
22/09/2022 22:00 Satun, Bagan Tohit Thailand  0.1
24/09/2022 05:00 Penghu, Pai-sha Tao Ch'ang-an Taiwan  0.1
23/09/2022 16:00 Macau SAR, Taipa Macau (China)  0.1
24/09/2022 07:00 Mon, Kwanhla Myanmar  0.1
24/09/2022 20:00 , Mauban Island Calamias Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 20:00 , Palasan Island Abucay Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 08:00 Western Visayas, Panay Island Binon-an Philippines  0.1
23/09/2022 17:00 Trat, Ban Pak Khlong Tha Luan Thailand  0.1
24/09/2022 20:00 , Batbatan Island Bitoon Philippines  0.1
23/09/2022 17:00 Trat, Ban Ao Cho Thailand  0.1
24/09/2022 18:00 Fujian, Hsia-mei China  0.1
24/09/2022 19:00 Cebu, Cebu Island Maya Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 17:00 Central Luzon, Samal Philippines  0.1
23/09/2022 20:00 Tanintharyi, Ale-man Kyun Ale-hman Myanmar  0.1
24/09/2022 21:00 Tacloban City, Tacloban Philippines  0.1
23/09/2022 19:00 Koh Kong, Bang Krassop Cambodia  0.1
24/09/2022 16:00 Quang Ninh, Cai Kien Vietnam  0.1
24/09/2022 08:00 , Tagauayan Island Lo-oc Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 20:00 Quang Tri, Mui Lay Vietnam  0.1
24/09/2022 17:00 Central Luzon, Abucay Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 22:00 Guangxi, Wanwei China  0.1
24/09/2022 23:00 Guangxi, Bailong China  0.1
23/09/2022 11:00 Ben Tre, Ap Phu My Vietnam  0.1
24/09/2022 20:00 Central Visayas, Poro Island Puertobello Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 20:00 Central Visayas, San Francisco Island Unidos Philippines  0.1
23/09/2022 20:00 Ranong, Ban Sin Hai Thailand  0.1
24/09/2022 20:00 Central Visayas, Cebu Island Tindog Philippines  0.1
23/09/2022 19:00 Tanintharyi, Tawbyagyi Myanmar  0.1
24/09/2022 20:00 Central Visayas, Bantayan Island Madridejos Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 21:00 Bohol, Bilangbilangan Island Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 20:00 , Higatangan Island Gigantangan Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 20:00 Central Visayas, Cebu Island Borbon Philippines  0.1
23/09/2022 19:00 Rayong, Ban Ko Kok Thailand  0.1
25/09/2022 00:00 Yangon, Ale-ywa Myanmar  0.1
23/09/2022 18:00 Fujian, Lianhe China  0.1
24/09/2022 20:00 , Guintinua Island Banacboc Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 20:00 , Agutay Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 19:00 , Almagro Island Bacjao Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 20:00 Eastern Visayas, Puertobello Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 20:00 Eastern Visayas, Merida Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 20:00 , Ponson Island Pilar Philippines  0.1
23/09/2022 18:00 Quang Tri, Thon My Thuy Vietnam  0.1
24/09/2022 18:00 Western Visayas, Panay Island Carles Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 20:00 Danao City, Cebu Island Danao Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 20:00 Central Visayas, Cebu Island Catmon Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 20:00 Central Visayas, Cebu Island Compostela Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 20:00 Central Visayas, Cebu Island Carmen Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 20:00 Lapu-Lapu City, Mactan Island Punta Engana Philippines  0.1
23/09/2022 18:00 Chon Buri, Sattahip Thailand  0.1
23/09/2022 18:00 Chon Buri, Ban Chong Samae San Thailand  0.1
24/09/2022 19:00 , Tagapul-an Island Sogud Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 19:00 , San Antonio Pilar Philippines  0.1
23/09/2022 19:00 Rayong, Ban Nong Mapring Thailand  0.1
23/09/2022 18:00 Rayong, Ban Phra La Thailand  0.1
23/09/2022 19:00 Chanthaburi, Ban Ta Lian Thailand  0.1
24/09/2022 18:00 , South Gigante Island Gabi Philippines  0.1
23/09/2022 17:00 Prachuap Khiri Khan, Ban Bo Nok Thailand  0.1
24/09/2022 19:00 Fujian, Wutian China  0.1
24/09/2022 18:00 Eastern Visayas, Biliran Island Culaba Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 20:00 Eastern Visayas, Tanauan Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 20:00 Eastern Visayas, Biliran Island Tucdao Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 18:00 , Burias Island Madanlog Philippines  0.1
23/09/2022 16:00 Prachuap Khiri Khan, Dhungnoi Thailand  0.1
22/09/2022 22:00 Zhejiang, Cheng-chia-tai China  0.1
22/09/2022 17:00 Kochi, Shikoku Tsuro Japan  0.1
22/09/2022 17:00 Kochi, Shikoku Muroto Japan  0.1
24/09/2022 19:00 Northern Samar, Maragat Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 15:00 , Palawan Pagauanen Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 14:00 Ilocos, Cabarruyan Island Santiago Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 18:00 Thua Thien-Hue, Thai Duong Thuong Vietnam  0.1
24/09/2022 18:00 Thua Thien-Hue, Thon Thai Duong Ha Vietnam  0.1
24/09/2022 19:00 Southern Tagalog, Diniyog Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 19:00 Southern Tagalog, Mangero Philippines  0.1
24/09/2022 19:00 Southern Tagalog, San Andres Philippines  0.1
22/09/2022 16:00 Fujian, Fengwei China  0.1
24/09/2022 18:00 Fujian, Gangkou China  0.1
23/09/2022 14:00 Chumphon, Ban Choeng Kra Thailand  0.1
24/09/2022 19:00 Fujian, Shijing China  0.1
23/09/2022 14:00 Chumphon, Ban Bang Man Thailand  0.1
23/09/2022 14:00 Chumphon, Ban Hin Sam Kon Thailand  0.1
23/09/2022 14:00 Surat Thani, Ban Tha Krachai Thailand  0.1
23/09/2022 00:00 Zhejiang, Hsing-hsing-chen China  0.1
23/09/2022 04:00 Fujian, Shicheng China  0.1
23/09/2022 04:00 Fujian, Nanri Dao Fuye China  0.1
24/09/2022 19:00 Fujian, Weitou China  0.1
23/09/2022 04:00 Fujian, Meizhou Dao Meizhou China  0.1
23/09/2022 04:00 Fujian, Gaoshan China  0.1
22/09/2022 00:00 Fujian, Pinghai China  0.1
24/09/2022 23:00 Guangdong, Liusha China  0.1
22/09/2022 00:00 Zhejiang, Lingmen China  0.0
22/09/2022 00:00 Zhejiang, Yuhuan Dao Kanmen China  0.0
25/09/2022 00:00 Zhejiang, Beilong China  0.0
24/09/2022 21:00 Fujian, Sansha China  0.0
22/09/2022 00:00 Zhejiang, Sha-fan-chieh China  0.0
22/09/2022 02:00 Zhejiang, Dai Shan Gaoting China  0.0
22/09/2022 00:00 Zhejiang, Litang China  0.0
24/09/2022 14:00 , Fangang China  0.0
24/09/2022 15:00 , Dachu Shan Tiantu China  0.0
22/09/2022 00:00 Zhejiang, T'ien-hou-kung China
22/09/2022 00:00 Zhejiang, Nan 'ao China
22/09/2022 00:00 , Sheng Shan Shengshan China