Overall Red Tropical Cyclone alert for NORU-22 in Viet Nam, Laos, Philippines from 22 Sep 2022 00:00 UTC to 28 Sep 2022 00:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for NORU-22

in Viet Nam, Laos, Philippines

click on

to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone NORU-22 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GFS
Exposed countries	Vietnam
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	155 km/h
Maximum storm surge	1.2 m (27 Sep 19:30 UTC)
Vulnerability	High (Vietnam)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
GFS Current	155 km/h	1.2 m	220 mm	0.5
GFS Overall	209 km/h	1.2 m	618 mm	1.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 27 Sep 2022 18:00 UTC

Category	Country	Population
Tropical Storm	Vietnam	2,251,289

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
1	22 Sep 2022 00:00	65	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	22 Sep 2022 06:00	65	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	22 Sep 2022 12:00	76	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	22 Sep 2022 18:00	79	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	23 Sep 2022 00:00	68	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	23 Sep 2022 06:00	58	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	23 Sep 2022 12:00	101	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	23 Sep 2022 18:00	72	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	24 Sep 2022 00:00	97	-		-	-	-	-	-	Taiwan
10	24 Sep 2022 06:00	108	-		-	-	-	-	-	Taiwan
11	24 Sep 2022 12:00	148	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
12	24 Sep 2022 18:00	198	-		-	-	-	-	-	Philippines
13	25 Sep 2022 00:00	202	7 thousand			-	-	-	-	Philippines
14	25 Sep 2022 06:00	184	90 thousand				-	-	-	Philippines
15	25 Sep 2022 12:00	137	20 thousand			-	-	-	-	Philippines
16	25 Sep 2022 18:00	108	-		-	-	-	-	-	Philippines
17	26 Sep 2022 00:00	126	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
18	26 Sep 2022 06:00	137	-		-	-	-	-	-	Japan
19	26 Sep 2022 12:00	144	-		-	-	-	-	-	Japan, Paracel Islands
20	26 Sep 2022 18:00	166	-		-	-	-	-	-	Japan, Paracel Islands
21	27 Sep 2022 00:00	173	Few people			-	-	-	-	Japan, Paracel Islands, Vietnam
22	27 Sep 2022 06:00	209	Few people		-		-	-	-	Japan, China, Paracel Islands, Vietnam
23	27 Sep 2022 12:00	184	-		-	-	-	-	-	Paracel Islands, Vietnam
24	27 Sep 2022 18:00	155	-		-	-	-	-	-	Vietnam

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

618 mm

Up to 38 million can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 27 Sep 2022 18:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
250-500 mm	Vietnam, Laos	114,524	+
	Vietnam	99,367
	Laos	15,156
100-250 mm	China, Vietnam, Laos, Thailand, Cambodia, Myanmar, Indonesia	37,886,905	+
	Myanmar	704,253
	China	10,510,228
	Vietnam	20,004,516
	Laos	1,445,349
	Thailand	5,041,171
	Cambodia	51,167
	Indonesia	130,219
50-100 mm	India, Myanmar, China, Vietnam, Laos, Thailand, Philippines, Cambodia, Malaysia, Indonesia	58,598,576	+
	India	130,395
	Myanmar	1,487,939
	China	9,318,373
	Vietnam	16,339,519
	Laos	901,729
	Thailand	15,281,834
	Philippines	12,080,596
	Cambodia	821,381
	Malaysia	808,066
	Indonesia	1,428,737

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	22 Sep 2022 00:00	52	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	22 Sep 2022 06:00	67	-		-	-	-	-	-	Vietnam
3	22 Sep 2022 12:00	138	20 thousand			-	-	-	-	Japan, Thailand
4	22 Sep 2022 18:00	169	-		-	-	-	-	-	Vietnam
5	23 Sep 2022 00:00	99	-		-	-	-	-	-	Japan, India
6	23 Sep 2022 06:00	110	Few people			-	-	-	-	Japan
7	23 Sep 2022 12:00	167	-		-	-	-	-	-	Indonesia
8	23 Sep 2022 18:00	122	280 thousand			-	-	-	-	Vietnam, Laos, Thailand
9	24 Sep 2022 00:00	188	1.3 million			-	-	-	-	Vietnam, Laos, Thailand
10	24 Sep 2022 06:00	128	-		-	-	-	-	-	Cambodia, Philippines
11	24 Sep 2022 12:00	137	-		-	-	-	-	-	Thailand, Cambodia, Philippines
12	24 Sep 2022 18:00	258	-		-	-	-	-	-	Vietnam, Myanmar, Thailand, Philippines
13	25 Sep 2022 00:00	254	7 thousand			-	-	-	-	Thailand, Philippines
14	25 Sep 2022 06:00	225	230 thousand			-	-	-	-	Philippines, Thailand, Cambodia
15	25 Sep 2022 12:00	152	11.3 million			-	-	-	-	Philippines, Thailand, Cambodia
16	25 Sep 2022 18:00	174	440 thousand			-	-	-	-	Philippines, Paracel Islands
17	26 Sep 2022 00:00	144	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
18	26 Sep 2022 06:00	97	-		-	-	-	-	-	Cambodia, Vietnam
19	26 Sep 2022 12:00	112	-		-	-	-	-	-	Japan
20	26 Sep 2022 18:00	221	-		-	-	-	-	-	Paracel Islands
21	27 Sep 2022 00:00	199	-		-	-	-	-	-	Japan, Paracel Islands, Vietnam
22	27 Sep 2022 06:00	257	-		-	-	-	-	-	Vietnam, Paracel Islands, Philippines
23	27 Sep 2022 12:00	249	10 thousand			-	-	-	-	Vietnam, Laos, Indonesia
24	27 Sep 2022 18:00	346	38 million				-	-	-	India, Myanmar, China, Vietnam, Laos, Thailand, Philippines, Cambodia, Malaysia, Indonesia

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

1.2 m

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 27 Sep 2022 18:00 UTC

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.